Rational 360’s Post

Check out the latest edition of our newsletter “What the Polls Don’t Tell Us” to learn how House Republicans alienated the entire political spectrum: https://lnkd.in/eGKQBSXU

🗳️ The political landscape is heating up with the first 2024 Republican presidential primary debate. With Donald Trump's notable absence and the presence of eight primary rivals, the debate was filled with significant moments.  Want to know more? Click the link below! ⬇️    https://lnkd.in/e2xNRzuT  #RepublicanDebate #2024Primary #DonaldTrump #PoliticalInsights #ElectionNews #GOPCandidates #PresidentialRace #PoliticalDynamics #DebateHighlights #USPolitics

RealClearPolitics polling average for the GOP New Hampshire primary puts Donald Trump at 46.8%, with Nikki Haley at 33.3%. https://lnkd.in/dkq7dVdy While this still is a commanding lead for Donald Trump, it may very well be understating it. Two of the polls used in the current average for RCP, WHDH-TV/Emerson and CNN/UNH, are from two weeks ago. Meanwhile, earlier iterations of the Boston Globe/Suffolk poll over the past week show Donald Trump rising and now put him at over 52%. The St Anselm Poll likewise puts him at 52%. If anything, it is highly likely the RCP poll average understates Donald Trump’s support. We will not know until the 23rd, but do not be surprised if Donald Trump wins more than 50% of the New Hampshire voters on the 23rd. #DonaldTrump #NikkiHaley #GOP #Republicans #newhampshire

How to Watch the Fourth Republican Debate

2024 Presidential Poll: Trump Edges Ahead of Biden as Voters Seek Fresh Faces WASHINGTON, Jan 25 — In an unexpected turn of events, former President Donald Trump has taken a significant lead over President Joe Biden, as revealed by a recent Reuters/Ipsos nationwide poll. Despite the lead, a sentiment of fatigue is sweeping across the American electorate, with a notable desire for new candidates in the upcoming 2024 Presidential race. Voter Sentiment: Desire for Change The poll, involving 1,250 U.S. adults, positions Trump ahead with a 40% to 34% margin against Biden. The data suggests a restless electorate, with the majority expressing dissatisfaction with the prospect of another election featuring familiar faces. "I hate to think that we're constantly navigating... https://lnkd.in/gQ7tSpTN

https://lnkd.in/ejzGyWq4 'Chaos' is the word for #Republicans, and the #media has finally noticed by Mark Sumner ..."With both the House and the Senate #GOP leaderships disintegrating, and with nothing getting done amid a festering cauldron of boiling egos, the media has to say it: Republicans are in chaos. At The Washington Post, a headline from Wednesday mentions “unrest” and “chaotic, bugled votes.” The phrase “dysfunction in the House Republican conference” also makes an appearance as the Post explains how, despite Speaker of the House Mike Johnson slavishly following Donald Trump’s every whim and Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell still laboring under the illusion that he has the power to get a bill through his own caucus, neither of them can get a damn thing done. The Atlantic gets both “chaos” and “Trump” into one Wednesday headline as the outlet rightly points out that things gang aft agley is a hallmark of Trumpism. Chaos is also dead certain to be generated when legislators subvert their own goals, to follow the orders of a leader who sees their inability to act as a good thing. The Atlantic also gets in a “fiasco” when describing the failed attempt to impeach Homeland Security Secretary Alejandro Mayorkas, as well as pointing out that while Johnson benefited from “conservative rebels” to land his tall chair, he doesn’t appear so fond of rebellion these days. CNN leaves “chaos” out of its own headline, referring to “disasters” when talking about Republican defeats on both ends of the Hill. But it does launch the article with “Chaos has been a common theme for the 118th Congress.” CNN then gets more specific in pinning the problems on Republicans. In doing so, it comes up with what may be the best and funniest description of Johnson’s problems in trying to rule over “a rambunctious and anemic majority.” Like a bunch of college bros who are low on iron. Barron’s is not exactly a reliable source of Republican criticism, but they did choose to run a Wednesday article from French news agency AFP, which couldn’t help but notice “back-to-back legislative defeats” amid “Republican chaos.” Republicans earn another “dysfunction” and pick up an “embarrassed,” along with a “missteps,” and finish off with a quote of Johnson admitting that things in the House are a “mess.” That’s pretty much a clean sweep in the Ineffectual Sweepstakes. AFP also puts some numbers around just how awful things are in the House. Rank-and-file conservatives have repeatedly tanked legislation pushed by the leadership, meaning Republicans were able to pass only 27 bills that became law last year, despite holding 724 votes. Note that leaders generally bring up a bill for a vote only when they expect to win. Somewhere along the line, Republicans apparently banned basic math. Also worth n"...

Yep. After some initial momentum, Kennedy’s “independent” campaign continues to lose steam and stumble. And is totally failing to galvanize the ~49% of us in America that are independent. https://lnkd.in/gkTsR8Ws But he is on the ballot in 5 states: Utah, Delaware, Oklahoma, Michigan and Tennessee. And he’ll likely get two more in Hawaii and California. Michigan is the one to really watch. If Kennedy gets just a few thousand votes there, it could tip the state for Biden or Trump, and impact the whole election. ‪It’s also a place where Cornell West and protest votes will have an impact. ‬ A significant share of 2020 Biden voters support third-party candidates or say they are undecided, according to a new USA Today poll released Sunday. https://lnkd.in/guhwy6Ss “In Michigan, 54.4 percent of surveyed Black voters say they support Biden, down 22 percentage points from those who say they voted for him in 2020.” https://lnkd.in/guhwy6Ss This is a major problem for Biden that’s not going away. I’ll have more later today in my weekly segment on #NewsNation with #ConnellMcShane, maybe on #MSNBC with Nicolle Wallace and tomorrow in a new #IndependentAmericans: www.GoIndy.us. School is out/ending, but the political chaos is just getting started. #StayVigilant