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A soft-landing trade has gripped the U.S. equity markets, but it may also be gaining impetus from Donald Trump’s growing poll lead, writes Multi-Asset CIO Erik Knutzen. Read the full #CIOWeekly below.

A Change in Leadership?

A Change in Leadership?

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Peter Zabierek

Portfolio Manager @ Sugi Capital | Helping investors optimize their portfolios

2mo

Appreciate the insights. To your point, the last two years have been disappointing for small-cap REIT investors, but sentiment has definitely shifted over the past 3 months. We are seeing three market rotations that are supportive of small-cap REITs. You highlight the first broad market effect, "the natural consequence of a soft landing: declining inflation and policy rates combining with resilient economic growth and a steady jobs market." REITs have always done very well in that environment. The second is a shift from momentum to value. We have seen the beaten-down/cheap names (e,g. shopping centers and self storage) outperform the trendy/higher growth sectors like data centers and single family rentals. And the third is a move from large to small, with an appetite for slightly higher leverage. We think all three rotations are very powerful and have room to run. As for the change in US political leadership, we don't see a strong connection....yet!

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