Longspur Capital’s Post

View organization page for Longspur Capital, graphic

1,803 followers

🍺 💡 What does Beer have to do with Energy System Flexibility?   This morning Longspur Capital published a 40-page deep dive report on the UK’s Energy System Flexibility from the viewpoint of Drax Group. At its most basic, flexibility is the ability to choose when power is generated and dispatched. As the UK, and most other national grids, transition to net zero they are more reliant on intermittent sources of energy. So they are long renewables but fundamentally short flexibility. This creates huge risks to the stability and reliability of a grid. Drax has a portfolio of assets across uniquely placed to provide the solution. It is likely the financial market’s near-term focus on the sustainability of Drax’ biomass assets is clouding value elsewhere. Specifically the critical role the company plays in the stability of the UK’s future energy system at a time when its sorely needed. More events such as the governments recent REMA report (which placed huge emphasis on the need for flexibility) and the recent government biomass consultation paper (which ruled out mothballing Drax’ biomass assets due to their critical importance) will shift the market’s perception of Drax and its long-term earnings potential. While this research note acts as an extensive teach-in on the flexibility market, our findings drive wholesale changes to our forecasts for Drax resulting in outer year earnings upgrades and an increase in our central case valuation. As for the opening comment about Beer – you’ll have to read on to find out. If you would like a copy of the report and to discuss it please reach out to Adam Forsyth (Head of Research), Adam Robertson, CFA (Distribution), Max Campbell (Research), or Cameron Robertson (Research) or email [email protected]. #energytransition #investmentresearch #flexibility #nationalgrid

  • No alternative text description for this image
Chris Simpson

Investor relations manager at Drax Group

3mo

Dunkenflaute became my word of the week, and 2024 to date, off the back of this note.

Like
Reply

To view or add a comment, sign in

Explore topics