David Energy’s Post

#Hedgefunds have ramped up their bearish Treasuries bets to a record. Short selling on this volatile scenario could be risky the 'squeeze' could break the market. The market is not considering the real risks of a sticky #inflation. Therefore, sufficiently high for sufficiently long to get #inflation down sustainably to 2%, will be the message from the #Fed #ECB #BoE https://lnkd.in/dnyfzhN8 The positioning in non-commercial Treasury futures across the 2, 5, and 10 year maturities is at record net short levels. Hedge funds supercharged bearish Treasury bets to historic levels. We need to be mindful that some of those positions are tail risk hedging for another banking crisis and debt ceiling. https://lnkd.in/d-WZ-d2x

We enter this spike in energy prices with a VERY uniform and long positioning in bonds/duration. Not good news for bonds, rather the contrary. Our positioning/flow report -> https://buff.ly/3EIzchs

Electricity demand is on the rise, and there is no doubt about it. 💡📈 For those skeptical about the extent of demand growth, the Midcontinent Independent Systems Operator (MISO) has released its long-term load forecasts. Check it out here ⬇️ https://lnkd.in/g6YS7_Tu

Interesting Read

The price of a gallon of gas has increased by 20% year-to-date. What’s driving the recent price increases, and what impact is costlier gas likely to have on the U.S. consumer, and consequently, the markets? Watch this week’s Money with Murphy for our latest view on the economy. To view the video, visit https://lnkd.in/eaYdwCB #FiduciaryAdvisors #401k #403b #MarketUpdate #GasPrices #USConsumer #Inflation #Economy www.fiduciaryadvisors.biz

A nice updated energy map of the US grid

Here's an interesting piece from the Central Statistics Office on electricity demand and supply" - Five things you probably didn’t know about where your electricity comes from. https://shorturl.at/pty45

Energy Market Volatility... Which way will it go? For clients waiting until the final hour to secure an energy rate - market volatility is a real threat to their energy budget. Yesterdays outer year trading strips saw a decline of a few cents while the current terms 2023-2024 saw similar increases. Today 23-24 continue to trade up. Waiting is not a strategy. While colder weather is beginning to enter the forecast, and exports continue to climb, the waiting game needs to end. Reach out for a disciplined strategy to better manage your energy budget and remain in the drivers seat. Denise Carter 410-513-4500 [email protected]

I recommend reading an article written by my colleagues from Next Kraftwerke, describing the occasional high balancing energy prices events in Germany. Electricity prices are neither good nor bad. They are a heartbeat of the power system state and a stimulus for certain actions when reaching extreme levels. "The occasional high price peaks in the balancing power market also have positive aspects from a market perspective. They are currently creating significant investment incentives that are driving the development of new marketing strategies, technologies and robust infrastructures." #energymarket #flexibility #aFRR #electricityprices #balancing

Have you fixed yet? Don’t miss out on this great deal. The government price cap is coming down on 1st July but why wait until then? At UW the fixed rate has already been reduced so you can start saving NOW! Don’t be fooled, prices are coming down when you use the least amount of energy, over the summer, but unless you fix now you will be paying much more over the winter as prices are predicted to rise again in October by 12%. Message me or comment ‘Yes’ below and I’ll show you how much you can save. It’s quick and easy, we handle the switch if you decide to switch but there’s no obligation to do so. So you’ve got nothing to lose by finding out.