What does it mean that Masoud Pezeshkian is Iran’s first “reformist” president in twenty years? How does he differ from his hard-line predecessor Ebrahim Raisi? Read expert Ray Takeyh's take on what could change under Iran’s new president:
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Why do some so called charismatic leaders seem to think that they will have the Midas touch when it comes to world affairs? So the Brazilian leader thinks he can invite Putin next year and not comply to to the requirements of being a signatory of the International Criminal Court and not arrest war criminals. Equally nauseating is the G20 declaration that won’t declare Russia as the belligerent aggressor. In its totally it all adds up to meaningless diplomatic waffle. Understandable why, if you are Ukrainian, you would take quite a jaundiced view of all this. https://lnkd.in/e-REGJYu
Lula says Putin can attend next year’s G20 in Rio without fear of arrest
theguardian.com
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Research Analyst In International Security, Terrorism and Diplomacy. My Specialization is in the South China Sea, the Korean Peninsula, ASEAN, AI, and the Taiwan Strait.
My new article just came out and my view on the new President https://lnkd.in/g-Nzs6Kd
Masoud Pezeshkian: A New Era Of Moderation And Reform In Iran – OpEd
https://www.eurasiareview.com
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Good read by Joshua Kucera on where Armenia and Azerbaijan stand when it comes to the peace negotiations. Also includes my commentary. https://lnkd.in/gVZmarmX
As Peace Negotiations Advance, Armenia And Azerbaijan Are Going It Alone
rferl.org
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Senior USAF Intelligence OfficerRtd-General Manager _Organizational Development \Workforce\ Resources -HR
#LeadershipVacuuminTehranWhatnext? An unplanned leadership upset in Iran has triggered a series of movements and shifts within the country. With the President out of the picture, it's time to assess new alliances and power dynamics. Key points to consider include: - Impending war with Israel through proxy forces or directly including usa 🇺🇸. - Significant 50% inflation rate - Cooperation with the US to prevent a major conflict - Russia and China strategically leveraging their positions to challenge the US and Israel - Providing weapons to Russia to offset the loss of precision strikes. SaudiArabia on the cusp of normalizing defense agreement with 🇺🇸 Hard liners vs OTHERS Some questions about HOW the Chopper crashed or was sabotaged. Everyone suspect _ lots of promises to join in cabals. My Question? Is this an orchestrated conspiracy and if so what are next steps ? Purges likevvwejust witnessed in China and Russia? SeeAdibEnayatis Analysis here! Change is underway in Iran, and the ripple effects are felt across the geopolitical landscape. #IranianMischiefunderwayathome 🇮🇷🌍
Raisi’s death throws a wrench into internal Iranian politics
responsiblestatecraft.org
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US-China Tensions Persist Despite Biden-Xi Call. What's behind the strained relationship and how will Secretary of State Antony Blinken's four-day visit to China affect relations? Find out here: https://buff.ly/4b8Gqd1 #geopolitics #chinarisk #china #USChinarelations #chinarisk #pamirconsulting #consulting #chinaconsulting #chinabusiness #doingbusinessinChina #IPtheft #USChina
US-China Tensions Persist Despite Biden-Xi Call
pamirllc.com
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The first foreign trip of President Putin since the ICC arrest warrant was to attend the CIS Summit in Kyrgyzstan. Yet, the CIS summit this year showed some low points with absence of Armenia, withdrawal of Moldova and Ukraine, and lack of practical deals among the member states. Here is my general observations and summary of the summit.
In #Putin's first foreign trip since the ICC issued him an arrest warrant, he met with the leaders of the CIS in Bishkek. As the membership of the CIS shrinks, and its regional impact declines, the future of the Russian-dominated group remains uncertain. https://lnkd.in/gzGdCrD8
CPC | The Beginning of An End to the CIS?
caspianpolicy.org
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Negotiating #Power and #Principles in the Wake of #Russia’s #War on #Ukraine By Mikhail Troitskiy, Professor of Practice at University of Wisconsin-Madison "Although Russia’s war in Ukraine is ongoing, how it ends will influence lessons on #negotiation and #conflict #resolution. A key emerging question from the conflict is to what extent threats of the use of #force will become the norm in international negotiations. So far, we have not seen a slide to power-based international politics as the key players continue to ground their positions in the principles of #fairness. These stances indicate that global public opinion still matters, so attempts to ignore it are likely to backfire. ... " https://lnkd.in/dMtMz4eW
Negotiating Power and Principles in the Wake of Russia’s War on Ukraine
https://sites.tufts.edu/fletcherrussia
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What explains Japan’s security policy change in recent decades? Resentment, status dissatisfaction, and the emotional underpinnings of Japanese security policy Thao-Nguyen Ha, Linus Hagström International Relations of the Asia-Pacific, Volume 23, Issue 3, September 2023, Pages 383–415, https://lnkd.in/g8cARqYZ Published: 30 June 2022 Article history Heeding the ‘emotional turn’ in International Relations, this article applies a resentment-based framework, which defines resentment as a long-lasting form of anger and the product of status dissatisfaction. Leveraging interviews with 18 conservative Japanese lawmakers and senior officials, the article discusses the role, function, and prevalence of resentment in the remaking of Japan’s security policy, premised on constitutional revision. The analysis reveals that conservative elites are acutely status-conscious; and that those who blame a perceived inferior status on Japan’s alleged pacifism are more likely to see a revision of Article 9 as an end in itself. For a subset of conservatives, however, the goal is rather to stretch the Constitution to enhance Japan’s means of deterrence vis-à-vis objects of fear or in solidarity with allies. Overall, the article demonstrates that resentment provides a fruitful lens for analyzing status dissatisfaction in international politics. https://lnkd.in/gumUPzAv #status, #security, #narratives, #emotions (especially #resentment), and/or #Japan? Said Cherkaoui _ Contact: [email protected] - 9/22/2023
Resentment, status dissatisfaction, and the emotional underpinnings of Japanese security policy
academic.oup.com
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