Albion Financial Advice Services Ltd’s Post

Mortgage Market Update 22.07.2024 Mixed Economic Signals Last week presented mixed economic indicators that could affect the Bank of England's interest rate decision on August 1st. 📉📈 A significant IT failure on Friday, dubbed the 'Biggest IT fail ever' by Elon Musk, followed issues with the CHAPS payment system on Thursday, which disrupted many home moves. 🏠💻 Inflation and Wage Growth Headline inflation remained at 2% on Wednesday, which might suggest a rate cut is possible next month. However, services inflation stayed high at 5.7%, which is a concern for the Bank of England. 💸 Wage growth dropped to 5.7% for the three months ending in May. This decline wasn't enough to convince the Bank of England that a rate cut is necessary, despite the demand from businesses and households. 💼 Retail Sales and Financial Strain Retail sales fell by 1.2% in June, much worse than expected. This decline is due to prolonged financial strain on households, not the weather. Over the past four years, the economy has faced a global pandemic, high inflation, and rising interest rates. 📉🌧️ Rising Insolvencies Insolvency data revealed that 10,395 people in England and Wales entered insolvency in June 2024, an 11% increase from May and 33% higher than June 2023. Company insolvencies also rose by 16% from May and 17% from the previous year. 📊💔 Bank of England's Focus on Inflation Despite the economic struggles, the Bank of England remains focused on its 2% inflation target, although it has only achieved this target 30% of the time since 1997. 🎯 Positive News on Mortgage Rates Major lenders like Halifax, TSB, and NatWest continued to reduce mortgage rates last week, which is good news for borrowers and the property market. Property prices rose by 2.2% in the year to the end of May, according to the Land Registry. 🏡📉 Lenders seem to anticipate a rate cut, possibly following the lead of the US Federal Reserve, which markets expect to cut rates in September. If this happens, the Bank of England may follow, providing much-needed support to businesses and households. However, as the rising insolvency figures suggest, this support might come too late for many. 🚀 Conclusion As the economy faces multiple challenges, the Bank of England's actions will be closely watched in the coming weeks. 👀 --- #MortgageUpdate #Economy #BankofEngland #Inflation #MortgageRates #FinancialNews #PropertyMarket #Insolvencies

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