Richard Seewald

"With the use of network disruption increasing and the prohibitions against it melting away, here’s what we can expect. Israel’s pager attack is a crude preview of what a significant zero-day disruption would look like. For example, a conflict with China over Taiwan could result in millions of modified devices (large and small) malfunctioning, catching fire, or bricking the moment the conflict begins. This would be followed by relentless disruptive attacks on critical infrastructure (cyber and physical/drone). Conflicts will become increasingly deadly to the civilians of the participants as they are stripped of their protective status. Furthermore, disruptive attacks by the protagonists will cause waves of failure that cascade across borders. For example, the destruction of the Nord Stream pipeline and the Houthi drone blockade on global shipping (related to the Israel/Hamas war). Small states and established non-state groups will become increasingly adept at using increasingly autonomous drones to project power, damage enemies, and profit from conflicts. However, they will quickly learn that the effectiveness, sustainability, and impact of their drone operations become radically better when they are focused on network disruptions (regardless of the civilian impact) rather than direct military engagements." https://lnkd.in/gZ2MS9AD