What do you do if you need to choose between classification and regression in Machine Learning?
Machine learning is a powerful and versatile skill that can help you solve various problems and tasks. However, before you apply any machine learning algorithm, you need to decide what kind of problem you are dealing with and what kind of output you want. In this article, you will learn how to choose between classification and regression in machine learning, and what are the main differences and similarities between them.
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Agash UthayasuriyanData Analyst Intern @ IDEXX | M.S. in Information Systems at Northeastern University
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Ali AounSoftware Engineer 💻 | AI/ML Engineer | Mobile Application Developer 📱 | Machine Learning | Flutter | Python | Dart |…
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Sayak ChowdhuryResearch Scholar | IIITB MSR'25 (CS) | ex-TCS | AI & ML
Classification and regression are two types of supervised learning, which means that you have a set of labeled data that you use to train and evaluate your model. Classification is the task of predicting a discrete category or class for a given input, such as whether an email is spam or not, or whether a tumor is benign or malignant. Regression is the task of predicting a continuous value or quantity for a given input, such as the price of a house, or the height of a person.
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If the target variable is a column that could be groped into categories (eg. Red / white, 1 / 0 or Cats / dogs), then classification has to be performed. Else if the target variable has continuous values (eg. salary, price, temperature), then regression has to be performed.
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Tanto a Classificação quanto a Regressão têm como objetivo a predição de um “atributo alvo” com base nas características de uma ocorrência. 1) Na Classificação, estimamos um alvo “qualitativo”, ou seja, um rótulo ou uma característica discreta da ocorrência. 2) Na Regressão, estimamos um valor “quantitativo”, correspondente a um número contínuo. Exemplos de Classificação incluem: (a) No crédito: definir se alguém é Bom Pagador ou Mau Pagador; (b) Na classificação de notícias: categorizar como Economia, Esporte, Saúde ou Tecnologia. Exemplos de Regressão incluem: (a) Determinar o preço de uma casa, como R$ 234.567,89; (b) Prever o valor de uma ação na bolsa, como R$ 10,63; (c) Estimar a altura de uma pessoa, como 1,92m.
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1.Determine if the task involves predicting categories (classification) or continuous values (regression). 2. Analyze the target variable to identify if it's categorical or continuous, guiding the choice between classification and regression. 3. Decide if the output needs to be class labels (classification) or numerical values (regression) for the problem context. 4. Choose appropriate evaluation metrics based on the problem type to assess model performance effectively.
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It always starts with planning. Determine first what types of data will be collected based on the outcomes set by an organization. The rest now lies in the hands of the analyst. Most of the time, the classification model is used in some business problems such as sentiment analysis to predict customer ratings, while typically regression model is employed in economic studies/forecasting (predicting GDP, GNP, etc) since researchers here rely heavily on time series data, which the primary data requirement for regression model.
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When deciding between classification and regression in machine learning, consider the following: In classification, the model predicts categorical outcomes, such as probabilities for each class, as seen in image classification tasks. In regression, the model predicts continuous numeric values, as seen in time series forecasting. In computer vision, tasks like semantic segmentation and image classification typically use CNNs as classification models. Conversely, object detection methods like YOLO combine classification (for objectness and class probabilities) with regression (for bounding box prediction).
How do you know which one to use for your problem? The first thing to consider is the nature of your target variable or output. If your output is categorical, then you need classification. If your output is numerical, then you need regression. For example, if you want to predict the sentiment of a tweet, you need classification, because the output is either positive, negative, or neutral. If you want to predict the number of likes a tweet will get, you need regression, because the output is a number.
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Choosing between classification and regression in machine learning is like selecting the right tool for a specific task and it depends on the type of output you're predicting. For instance, if you're trying to determine whether an email is spam or not, you'd use classification - sorting messages into "spam" or "not spam" categories. On the other hand, if you're estimating the price of a house based on its features like size, location and amenities, regression would be the better choice. Just match the type of output to the right method and you're good to go.
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Choosing between classification and regression depends on your target variable. If your goal is to categorize or classify data into distinct groups, like identifying fruit types, then classification is your path. If you're predicting a continuous quantity, such as the temperature next Tuesday, then regression is what you need. Even though some models can handle both, choosing the right one depends on your needs. High precision in numerical values demands regression, while accurate categorization needs classification. The difference between these approaches is what you're predicting, and that dictates the model and how you assess its performance.
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First, you have to figure out the problem you're trying to solve and what you want the algorithm to tell you. If you're looking for a continuous result, like predicting prices or weights, you'll use regression techniques like Linear Regression or Polynomial Regression. But if you want a yes or no answer, you'll use classification techniques like Tree-based methods or Logistic Regression. It's also important to adjust your model based on how accurate it is and try different models before settling on the best one.
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-Consider predicting whether a customer will purchase a product based on certain demographic and behavioral features. Features: Age, Gender, Income, Number of website visits, Purchased, Amount etc. Nature of the Target Variable: The target variable (Purchased) is categorical, representing whether a customer made a purchase (yes or no). Therefore, this problem falls under classification. -Let's consider predicting the amount of money a customer is likely to spend on that purchase. The target variable (Purchase Amount) is continuous, representing a numerical value indicating the amount of money spent on a purchase. Therefore, this problem falls under regression. Clear contract considering the nature and features could make it easier.
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The nature of predictions that need to be determined decide which technique needs to be used. For categorical prediction (including binary prediction) Classification is the best approach. For regression the prediction needs to be a real number or some probability that is not divided into discrete groups. For Classification output must be divisible into one of a limited number of classes or categories. For Regression the output variable must be continuous and numerical, meaning it can take any value within a range.
Depending on the setup of the problem and data, there are various algorithms that can perform both classification and regression. Linear models, such as logistic regression for classification and linear regression for regression, are simple and fast algorithms that assume a linear relationship between the input and the output. Decision trees, like CART or ID3 for classification and CART or M5 for regression, split the data into smaller subsets based on some criteria until they reach a leaf node with a prediction. Neural networks, such as multilayer perceptron or convolutional neural network for classification and multilayer perceptron or recurrent neural network for regression, mimic the structure and function of the brain with interconnected nodes that process the input to produce the output.
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The problem statement decides which algorithms should be used. There are many algorithms which can provide both classification and regression functionality based on the input data. Linear models assume a linear relationship between input and output. Neural Networks are great functional approximators, Decision trees, recursively split data based on criteria to predict at leaf nodes can also be used for both regression and classification. Classification Algorithms include Logistic Regression, Decision Trees, Random Forest, Support Vector Machines (SVM), K-Nearest Neighbors (kNN). Regression Algorithms include Linear Regression, Ridge and Lasso Regression, Support Vector Regression, and Decision Trees for Regression.
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In machine learning, various algorithms can tackle both classification and regression tasks depending on the problem and data. Linear models, like logistic regression for classification and linear regression for regression, assume a linear relationship between input and output. Decision trees, such as CART or ID3 for classification and CART or M5 for regression, segment data based on criteria until reaching a prediction. Neural networks, like multilayer perceptron or convolutional neural network for classification and regression, simulate the brain's structure to process inputs and generate outputs. These algorithms offer diverse options for handling classification and regression challenges.
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Classification Algorithms: - Logistic Regression - Decision Trees - Random Forest - Support Vector Machines (SVM) - K-Nearest Neighbors (KNN) Regression Algorithms: - Linear Regression - Ridge Regression - Lasso Regression - Decision Trees for Regression - Support Vector Regression (SVR)
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For classification some algorithms are: Logistic Regression (t's a classification method), Decision Trees, SMVs, and Neural Networks. Each can be tailored to fit binary or multiclass classification problems. In regression some algorithms are: Linear Regression, Polynomial Regression, Decision Trees (which can also be used for regression tasks), Neural Networks (yes for both). The choice of algorithm depends on the type and in the complexity of the data, the interpretability of the model, and computational efficiency.
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Another common classification model is a rules-based model, sometimes called an expert systems model. This model uses rules to make predictions, instead of—or in addition to—statistics-based machine learning. For example, my client needed a text labeling model which could return predictions with extremely high explainability. I manually set the classification parameters for the model instead of relying on statistics for predictions. This involved a look-up system for the mode to index potential predictions based on information from the user’s input. Still, for a less statistical predictive model we needed to use regular classification evaluation metrics like F1-scores, precision and recall!
When deciding between classification and regression, it is important to measure the performance and accuracy of your model. There are various metrics used for different tasks that reflect the quality of your model. Accuracy is the percentage of correct predictions made by your model and is used for classification. Mean squared error is used for regression and is the average of the squared differences between the actual and predicted values. F1-score is a measure of the balance between precision and recall, two aspects of classification performance, and ranges from 0 to 1, with 1 being the best. R-squared measures how well your model fits the data and ranges from 0 to 1, with 1 being the best.
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Evaluation metrics are crucial in assessing the performance of machine learning models. Common metrics include accuracy, precision, recall, and F1-score for classification tasks, while mean squared error (MSE) and R-squared are used for regression tasks. These metrics provide insights into a model's predictive power, its ability to generalize to unseen data, and its potential biases. Choosing the right evaluation metric depends on the specific problem and the desired outcome, ensuring that the model meets the project's objectives effectively.
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Other evaluation metrics for regression model (multivariate) are: ADF test to check for unit root, White's test for heteroskedasticity of data, and DW test for serial correlation.
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When deciding between classification and regression in Machine Learning based on evaluation metrics, examine the nature of the target variable and available metrics. If the target variable is categorical, like binary or multiclass labels, and the evaluation metric focuses on classification performance, such as accuracy or F1 score, opt for classification. Conversely, if the target variable is continuous and the evaluation metric assesses prediction accuracy or error, such as mean absolute error or root mean squared error, choose regression. Evaluate the performance of both approaches using relevant metrics on validation or test data, selecting the one that achieves superior results based on the chosen evaluation metric.
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Classification Metrics: - Accuracy - Precision - Recall - F1-Score - Area Under the Receiver Operating Characteristic Curve (AUC-ROC) Regression Metrics: - Mean Absolute Error (MAE) - Mean Squared Error (MSE) - Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE) - R-squared (R2) Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE)
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The metrics used to evaluate classification and regression models differ due to the nature of their predictions. For classification use accuracy, precision, recall, F1 score, and AUC-ROC metrics, each providing insights into different aspects of the model's performance. Regression models are evaluated using metrics like MAE, MSE, or R-squared, which measure the discrepancy between the predicted values and the actual values, indicating the model's prediction accuracy and the variance explained by the model.
Selecting between classification and regression is not always easy, and there are certain trade-offs and challenges that need to be taken into account. Data quality is one such factor; it is important to make sure your data is clean, consistent, complete, and representative of the problem domain. Additionally, you must consider the complexity of your model and how it affects the speed, accuracy, and interpretability of your model. You must also find the optimal values for your hyperparameters, which can improve the performance and accuracy of your model. This process can be time-consuming and tedious, so methods like grid search, random search, or Bayesian optimization are often used. Ultimately, by understanding the differences between classification and regression in machine learning, you can make a better choice and build a better model.
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Classification models are usually simpler to interprate and regression models have a better predicition. Classification models can be more straightforward to explain but may oversimplify problems where the nuances of quantity are essential. Regression models provide a detailed prediction but can be more susceptible to outliers and may require careful consideration of how features interact. Challenges include ensuring data quality and preprocessing steps align with the type of task, selecting appropriate features, and handling imbalanced data in classification or outliers in regression.
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Here's a comparison of classification and regression along with the trade-offs and challenges: 1. Nature of the Problem: a. Classification b. Regression 2. Interpretability: a. Classification b. Regression 3. Model Complexity: a. Classification b. Regression 4. Performance Metrics: a. Classification b. Regression 5. Handling Imbalanced Data: a. Classification b. Regression Ultimately, the choice between classification and regression depends on the nature of the problem, the characteristics of the data, the interpretability requirements, and the performance metrics of interest.
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Data Representation: Classification predicts discrete class labels; regression predicts continuous numerical values. Evaluation Metrics: Classification uses accuracy, precision, recall, F1-score; regression uses MAE, MSE, R-squared. Complexity and Flexibility: Regression captures complex relationships, risking overfitting; classification faces bias-variance trade-offs. Handling Imbalanced Data: Classification struggles with imbalanced data, requiring techniques like resampling and class weighting. Robustness to Outliers: Regression and classification models may be affected by outliers, potentially skewing results.
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Choosing classification vs. regression isn't always straightforward. Data quality is key - ensure it's clean and reflects the problem. Model complexity is a balancing act - simpler models can be faster to train but might not capture intricate relationships. Hyperparameter tuning, like grid search, is crucial for optimal performance but can be time-consuming. By understanding these trade-offs, you'll be well-equipped to choose the right approach and build effective machine learning models!
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- Model Complexity: Classification deals with imbalanced data; regression requires addressing outliers and feature relationships. - Evaluation Metrics: Accurate evaluation in classification requires careful metric selection; regression uses MSE or RMSE, which may not capture all performance aspects. - Data Preprocessing: Classification needs encoding and class balance; regression focuses on outlier management and data normalization. - Interpretability vs. Accuracy: Simpler models may be more interpretable but less accurate, affecting both classification and regression. - Maintenance: Both models need updates, but strategies differ—classification may require rebalancing, while regression might need recalibration.
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One aspect worth considering is the interpretability of the model. In many real-world scenarios, especially those with regulatory or ethical implications, it's crucial to understand how the model arrives at its predictions. Classification models often provide straightforward insights, categorizing inputs into distinct classes. On the other hand, regression models, while potentially more accurate for certain tasks, might present challenges in explaining how continuous outputs are derived. Balancing accuracy with interpretability is essential for building trust in the model's predictions and ensuring transparency in decision-making processes.
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Feature Engineering: - Preprocess and engineer features based on the chosen type (classification or regression). - Transform features to better fit the selected algorithms. Model Interpretability: - Consider the need for interpretable models for stakeholder understanding. - Regression models often provide coefficients that show feature importance. Ensemble Methods: - Explore ensemble methods like Random Forest for both classification and regression tasks. - These methods can improve performance and provide robustness.
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Consider the interpretability of the model's predictions. Some regression models, such as linear regression, provide easily interpretable coefficients that can help explain the relationship between input features and the target variable.
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In earlier phases of the project, when you are working closely with stakeholders to communicate how the model is being built, it can help to focus on how you’re shaping the ML application, rather than focusing on optimizing the model for performance at the cost of explainability. Classification and regression can be applied using very simple models, or using complex models. It can be helpful to start simple—in machine learning and AI, usually the models are interchangeable so you can make the process more complex after stakeholders have begun to understand the solution. Starting with simple model concepts helps you and your team to develop stronger infrastructure around your solution, before you upgrade your model to peak performance.
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In machine learning, choosing between classification and regression boils down to the type of prediction you need. For continuous outputs like house prices, regression is your go-to method, aiming to fit a line or curve through your data. If your outputs are discrete categories like spam or not-spam, classification algorithms excel at separating your data into distinct classes.
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