Portal for the course "Unemployment" [ECON 182] at UCSC in Fall 2024

Code and data for the paper "Has the Recession Started?"

Code and data for the paper "A Macroeconomic Approach to Optimal Unemployment Insurance: Applications"

Code and data for the paper "Do Matching Frictions Explain Unemployment? Not in Bad Times"

Code and data for the paper "Optimal Public Expenditure with Inefficient Unemployment"

Source files of the minicourse "Business Cycles and How to Tame Them"

A blog about the U.S. economy, labor market, and statistical analysis using survey data.

The purpose of this report is to identify the most appropriate model to forecast future unemployment rate in the US using the historical data. We present an in-depth study of the forecasts for the monthly U.S. unemployment rate using various time series models and comparing them to further our understanding of the strengths and deficiencies of t…