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dual_stage_attention_rnn

In an attempt to learn Tensorflow, I have implemented the model in A Dual-Stage Attention-Based Recurrent Neural Network for Time Series Prediction using Tensorflow 1.13.

  • Nasdaq data is used for testing, which is from repo da-rnn.
  • Based on the discussion, i implemented both cases where current exogenous factor is included, i.e., as well as excluded, i.e. . The switch between the two modes is control by FLAGS.use_cur_exg in da_rnn/main.py.
  • To avoid overfitting, a flag to shuffle the train data has been added, activated by FLAGS.shuffle_train in da_rnn/main.py.
  • A ModelRunner class is added to control the pipeline of model training and evaluation.

Run

Source Data

Put the downloaded Nasdaq csv file under data/data_nasdaq.

da_rnn
|__data
    |__data_nasdaq
            |__nasdaq100_padding.csv

Run the training and prediction pipeline

Suppose we want to run 100 epochs and use Tensorboard to visualize the process

cd da_rnn
python main.py --write_summary True --max_epoch 200

To check the description of all flags

python main.py -helpful

To open tensorboard

tensorboard --logdir=path

where path can be found in the log which shows the relative dir where the model is saved, e.g. logs/ModelWrapper/lr-0.001_encoder-32_decoder-32/20190922-103703/saved_model/tfb_dir.

Test result

Results of my experiments are listed below. Running more epochs and applying larger encoder/decoder dimension could possibly achieve better results.

# Epoch Shuffle Train Use Current Exg Econder/Decoder Dim RMSE MAE MAPE
100 False False 32 105.671 104.60 2.15%
100 True False 32 29.849 29.033 0.59%
100 False True 32 46.287 32.398 0.66%
100 True True 32 1.491 1.172 0.024%
# To shuffle the train data and use current exogeneous factor
python main.py --write_summary True --max_epoch 100 --shuffle_train True --use_cur_exg True

After 100 epochs(with data shuffled and current exogenous factors used) the prediction is plot as

Requirement

tensorflow==1.13.1
scikit-learn==0.21.3
numpy==1.16.4

Although I have not tested, I guess it should be working under tf 1.12 and tf 1.14 as well.

Reference