Oxford Economics

Are you prepared for the rising tide of regulatory and consumer interest in human rights? 🌍 With Europe’s CSDDD mandating human rights due diligence and global regulations on modern slavery increasing, companies now face critical requirements to address human rights across their operations and value chains. Join our upcoming webinar on 14 November to see how our advanced tools can help identify and manage human rights impacts effectively. https://okt.to/1k8dDP #humanrights #supplychain #CSDDD

How will the results of the US elections affect global markets? Register now for our Global Markets webinar on ⏰ 6 November: https://okt.to/5f3Uio By 6 November, the world will likely have increased certainty over the winner of the US election. In our upcoming webinar, our heads of global macro strategy, Gabriel Sterne and Javier Corominas, will assess how market reactions to the poll results stack up against our ex-ante views, and where markets may be right or wrong in the weeks and months ahead. #USElections2024 #Harris #Trump

Americans are moving south, despite the high risk of heatwaves and hurricanes. We forecast that many of the fastest-growing metros in the period to 2028 will be located along the southern coast, continuing the trend of the past few years. Yet several of these cities, including Houston, Orlando, Myrtle Beach, Lakeland (FL), and The Villages (FL), rank among the most at-risk metros for economic disruption caused by natural hazards. More in our blog: https://okt.to/RnEeFk #Climate #ExtremeWeather

The unpredictable US presidential election is drawing to a close. We're sharing our post-election forecast for tax policy and financial markets under both candidates. Watch the video below for insights into our Trump scenario, and if you haven't seen it, go to our page to find our Harris scenario posted yesterday. Discover the economic and business impact of each potential election outcome to the US and global economy. https://okt.to/kr91xp #harris #trump #electionday.

UK Budget 2024: How have markets reacted? Markets reacted strongly to the UK Budget due to concerns over additional borrowing and potential economic impacts, leading to increased gilt yields. Despite this, there are reasons to expect stability ahead, with fiscal adjustments and realistic growth outlooks offering a foundation for calmer market conditions. Read more for insights on the Budget’s potential impact and market expectations. https://okt.to/AGPD6I #UKBudget #MarketVolatility #EconomicOutlook

The US presidential and congressional elections remain a toss-up. How will either leading presidential candidate impact tax, spending, and commercial policies? Leading up to Election Day, our Chief US Economist, Ryan Sweet, and Lead US Economist, Bernard Yaros Jr., provided clients with the final results of the Oxford Economics election scenarios. Moderated by Debra D'Agostino, Managing Director of Oxford Economics USA, Ryan and Bernard provide the broader economic implications of a coin flip election. We will update these scenarios with either presidential candidate’s proposal of new policy, to keep you informed of our outlook for the US economy. For insights to benchmark your decision-making, explore our 2024 US Presidential Election: https://okt.to/RBrZN9 #uselection #tax #economics.

As US election campaigning comes to a close, we join Seerist and Control Risks to look at the potential implications of a victory on Europe, Middle East and Asia Pacific, focusing on foreign affairs, economics and security risk. Watch our video series now: Europe: https://okt.to/s5jrMu Middle East: https://okt.to/ambTKP Asia Pacific: https://okt.to/nPkaCA #USElection #MiddleEast #Europe #AsiaPacific

What was the impact of "Return to Las Sabinas" on the Spanish economy? Explore the full report in collaboration with Motion Picture Association - EMEA: https://okt.to/UE2KRg During 2023-2024, the production of "Return to Las Sabinas" in Spain generated €12.2 million in total spending. Most of the expenditure, around 53%, or €6.5 million, was allocated to wages and salaries for local production crew and other labour. The remaining 47% of spending, totalling €5.7 million, went towards local suppliers of goods and services. This spending supported a total contribution to Spain’s GDP worth €17.1 million and 530 full-time and part-time jobs across the country. #RegresoALasSabinas #Spain #MPA

The US presidential elections, now just days away, could trigger a reordering in global trade, especially if Donald Trump is re-elected and ratchets up tariffs on China. This is raising expectations in India that it could benefit from an increase in US substitution demand, propelling its struggling manufacturing sector. Alexandra Hermann, Lead economist from Oxford Economics Asia Macro team, has a strong non-consensus call about the effects on India from tariffs on China. In her latest publication, Alexandra argues that the benefits to India are limited. 📌Read more: https://okt.to/zHLAkb #USElection2024 #USpresidentialelection #macroeconomics

Five key commodity trends to watch for in 2025 Looking into the next 12 months, we see a more nuanced outlook for commodities market. 1️⃣ OPEC dilemma will see supply increase next year 2️⃣ Natural gas will have a boom year driven by demand 3️⃣ Steel overcapacity will get worse 4️⃣ Gold will continue to shine 5️⃣ Grain prices will bottom out Read our latest blog: https://okt.to/ezf4PW