2020 Gilgit-Baltistan Assembly election
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24 of the 33 seats in the Gilgit-Baltistan Legislative Assembly[b] 17 seats needed for a majority | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Registered | 745,362[2] | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Turnout | 48.12% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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 Gilgit Baltistan Assembly Constituencies and winning parties | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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The 2020 Gilgit-Baltistan Assembly elections were held on 15 November 2020.[3][4][5][6] Elections were held in 24 constituencies, each electing one member to the 3rd Gilgit-Baltistan Legislative Assembly.[7][8] 330 candidates contested these elections,[9] either representing one of the political parties of Gilgit-Baltistan[9] (at the time of the 2020 elections) or being an independent candidate.
The elections were originally scheduled to be held on 18 August 2020,[10][11] but were postponed in July[12][13] due to the COVID-19 pandemic, which severely affected Gilgit-Baltistan.
The Pakistan Army was not called in to preside over the polls at the Election, with Mir Afzal, the Caretaker Chief Minister of Gilgit-Baltistan, giving a statement that the caretaker government had the capacity to hold free, fair, and transparent elections in Gilgit-Baltistan.[14][15]
Opinion polling taken before the election had shown the Pakistan Muslim League (Nawaz), the ruling party prior to the 2020 election, being the third-most-popular political party in Gilgit-Baltistan, falling from its earlier position of making the province's government and having the largest vote-bank. The Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf, which ruled nationally, led in the polls and the Pakistan Peoples Party had been shown as the second-most-popular political party.
745,362 voters in Gilgit-Baltistan had the ability to exercise their right to vote in the elections and will be able to vote across nearly 1,234 polling places across the province. This showed an increase of 126,998 new voters since 2015, when only 618,364 people were registered to vote. 405,365 of the people registered to vote are male and 339,997 are female (which shows a gender gap of 9%).[2][16][17]
The elections were postponed in the constituency GBA-3 (Gilgit-III), due to the PTI candidate in that constituency, who was the provincial party leader, dying of COVID-19 in early October. The election there were held on November 22, seven days after the election throughout the rest of Gilgit-Baltistan.[18][1]
Preliminary and unofficial results showed the Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf being all set to form the next government in Gilgit-Baltistan. They had won eleven general seats, Independent politicians had won seven seats, the Pakistan Peoples Party had won three seats, the Pakistan Muslim League (Nawaz) had won two seats, and the Majlis Wahdat-e-Muslimeen had won one seat.
In late November 2020, the final results revealed that the PTI won a two-thirds majority of seats (22 of 33). The PPP and PML-N won five and three seats, respectively. [19][20]
Full results by districts were published on November 24. The latter two parties made claims of election fraud and supporters staged demonstrations to protest against the alleged rigging. [21]
 | This article needs to be updated. (December 2022) |
Background
[edit]2015 elections
[edit]Following the elections in 2015, Pakistan Muslim League (N), emerged as the largest party winning 15 of the 24 general seats in the Gilgit-Baltistan Assembly, and securing a supermajority in the assembly after the three technocrat (two who went to PML(N)) and six women representatives (four who went to PML(N)) were added with a final total of 21 out of 33 seats. Hafiz Hafeezur Rehman was elected as the Chief Minister of Gilgit-Baltistan.[22][23]
Timeline
[edit]
- April 30, 2020: The Supreme Court of Pakistan allows the federal government to form a caretaker government in late June 2020 and hold a general election in Gilgit-Baltistan less than sixty days after the formation of the caretaker government.[24][25]
- June 24, 2020: The members of the second assembly of Gilgit-Baltistan complete their full five-year terms and the assembly is dissolved.[26] Mir Afzal is sworn in as the Chief Minister of Gilgit-Baltistan, serving as a caretaker.[27][28]
- June 27, 2020: The President of Pakistan, Dr. Arif Alvi releases a statement scheduling the date August 18, 2020 to be the date of polling in the 2020 Gilgit-Baltistan Assembly election.[10][11]
- July 2, 2020: An election schedule is issued by the Gilgit-Baltistan Election Commission confirming August 18, 2020 to be the date of polling.[13]
- July 11, 2020: The Gilgit-Baltistan Election Commission postpones the upcoming election and suspends the previously published schedule in light of the COVID-19 pandemic. New dates of polling in October 2020 are deliberated upon.[12][13]
- September 23, 2020: The President of Pakistan, Dr. Arif Alvi gives approval to the proposed polling date of November 15, 2020 for the 2020 Gilgit-Baltistan Assembly election.[3][4]
- September 24, 2020: A detailed election schedule is issued by the Gilgit-Baltistan Election Commission confirming the new date of polling, November 15, 2020.[5][6]
- October 3, 2020: The Caretaker Chief Minister of Gilgit-Baltistan Mir Afzal states that the Pakistan military's help will not be required in holding free and fair elections throughout Gilgit-Baltistan.[14][15]
- October 19, 2020: The final revised list of the candidates running in each constituency is published by the Election Commission of Gilgit-Baltistan.[6][9]
- October 20, 2020: Election Symbols are allotted to political parties and candidates.[6][9]
- November 13, 2020: Official electoral rolls[2] and lists of polling stations[29] are released.
- November 15, 2020: Elections held in all general seats of Gilgit-Baltistan except GBA-3 (Gilgit-III).[3][4][5][6][18]
- November 22, 2020: Election held in GBA-3 (Gilgit-III).
- November 24, 2020: Final results are revealed.
Parties
[edit]The table below lists the ten political parties that fielded at least three candidates (out of a possible 24 constituencies) or won at least one assembly seat in the 2020 Gilgit-Baltistan Assembly election,[9] and gives a detailed overview of their characteristics. Parties are initially ordered by their voteshare in the 2015 Gilgit-Baltistan Assembly Election.
| Name | National Leader |
Claimed Ideology(ies) |
Voteshare in 2015 |
General Assembly Seats won in the 2015 election[c] |
Total seats in the 2nd Gilgit-Baltistan Assembly[c] |
Total seats in the 3rd Gilgit-Baltistan Assembly[d] |
Symbol | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PML(N) | Pakistan Muslim League (Nawaz) پاکستان مسلم لیگ (نواز) |
Shehbaz Sharif | Conservatism Economic liberalism Federalism |
34.17% | 15 / 24
|
21 / 33
|
3 / 33
|
Tiger | |
| PPP | Pakistan Peoples Party پاکستان پیپلز پارٹی |
Bilawal Bhutto Zardari |
Social Democracy Secularism Social liberalism |
18.26% | 1 / 24
|
1 / 33
|
5 / 33
|
Arrow | |
| PTI | Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf پاکستان تحريکِ انصاف |
Imran Khan | Populism Islamic Democracy Welfarism |
11.11% | 1 / 24
|
1 / 33
|
22 / 33
|
Bat | |
| MWM | Majlis Wahdat-e-Muslimeen مجلس وحدتِ مسلمین |
Allama Raja Nasir Abbas |
Pan-Islamism Welfarism Populism |
10.50% | 2 / 24
|
3 / 33
|
1 / 33
|
Tent | |
| ITP | Islami Tehreek Pakistan اسلامی تحریک پاکستان |
Syed Sajid Ali Naqvi |
Pan-Islamism | 4.88% | 2 / 24
|
3 / 33
|
0 / 33
|
Two Swords | |
| JUI(F) | Jamiat Ulema-e-Islam (Fazl) جمیعت علمائے اسلام (فضل) |
Fazl-ur-Rahman | Islamism Clericalism Conservatism |
2.94% | 1 / 24
|
3 / 33
|
1 / 33
|
Book | |
| BNF[e] | Balawaristan National Front (Naji) بلاورستان نيشنل فرنٹ (ناجی) |
Nawaz Khan Naji | Gilgit-Baltistan Autonomy |
1.39% | 1 / 24
|
1 / 33
|
1 / 33
|
Revolver | |
| APML | All Pakistan Muslim League آل پاکستان مسلم لیگ |
Pervez Musharraf | Pakistani Nationalism Islamic Democracy Atlanticism |
1.18% | 0 / 24
|
0 / 33
|
0 / 33
|
Eagle | |
| MQM(P) | Muttahida Qaumi Movement (Pakistan) (متحدہ قومی موومنٹ (پاکستان |
Khalid Maqbool Siddiqui | Liberalism Muhajir Nationalism Secularism |
0.16% | 0 / 24
|
0 / 33
|
0 / 33
|
Kite | |
| PSP | Pak Sarzameen Party پاک سرزمین پارٹی |
Syed Mustafa Kamal |
Pakistani Nationalism | Did Not Contest 2015 Elections | 0 / 33
|
Dolphin | |||
| PML(Q) | Pakistan Muslim League (Quaid e Azam) پاکستان مسلم لیگ (قائد اعظم) |
Shujaat Hussain | Conservatism Pakistani Nationalism |
Did Not Contest 2015 Elections | 0 / 33
|
Tractor | |||
Opinion Polls
[edit]In the run up to the 2020 Gilgit-Baltistan elections, various organisations have carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention throughout Gilgit-Baltistan. The results of such polls are displayed in this section. The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous general election, held on 8 June 2015, to the present day.
Voting Intention
[edit]The table below shows the results of polls taken which asked the people of Gilgit-Baltistan which political party they would vote for in the 2020 election.
| Polling firm | Last date of polling |
Link | PML(N) | PPP | PTI | JUI(F) | Indep. | Other | Lead | Margin of error |
Sample size |
Polling method |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pulse Consultant | 8 November 2020 | HTML | 14% | 26% | 35% | 4% | 12% | 9% | 9% | N/A | 1,423 | Field Interviews |
| Gallup Pakistan | 6 November 2020 | 14% | 24% | 27% | 4% | 12% | 19% | 3% | ±2-3% | ~1,000 | Unknown | |
| 2015 Election | 8 June 2015 | ECGB | 34.17% | 18.40% | 11.11% | 4.45% | 31.87% | 15.77% | N/A | 379,032 | Final Election Results | |
Results
[edit]The two tables below show the results of the 2020 Gilgit-Baltistan Assembly Election by Political Party. The first table shows the results for the elections provincewide, through all 24 constituencies, and shows each political party's standing. The second table shows more detailed results for each of the 24 general constituencies.
On November 24, 2020, full results were published on the official Pakistani elections sites. PTI received 10 additional seats, earning it a historic two-thirds majority in the Assembly.[30] Independent candidates won 7 seats; Six of the independent candidates joined PTI after the election and the party already had a seat adjustment arrangement with the MWM. PPP got one seat reserved for women and one seat reserved for technocrats, whereas PMLN only got one reserved seat for women. The PPP party refused to accept the results and claimed election fraud.[31][32]
Provincewide
[edit] | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Votes | % | Seats | |||||
| General | Women | Technocrats | Total | /– | ||||
| Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf | 16 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 21 | |||
| Pakistan Peoples Party | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | |||
| Pakistan Muslim League (N) | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | –18 | |||
| Majlis Wahdat-e-Muslimeen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | –2 | |||
| All Pakistan Muslim League | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Islami Tehreek Pakistan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | –4 | |||
| Jamiat Ulema-e-Islam (F) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |||
| Muttahida Qaumi Movement–Pakistan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | New | |||
| Pakistan Muslim League (Q) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | New | |||
| Pak Sarzameen Party | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | New | |||
| Balawaristan National Front (Naji) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |||
| Independents | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Total | 24 | 6 | 3 | 33 | 0 | |||
| Registered voters/turnout | 745,362 | – | ||||||
By Constituency
[edit]| Constituency[9] | Winner[9] | Runner-up[9] | Margin | Registered Voters |
Votes Cast |
Voter Turnout | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| District | Name | Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Candidate | Party | Votes | % | ||||
| Gilgit | GBA-1 | Amjad Hussain Azar | PPP | 11,178 | Sultan Rais | IND | 8,356 | 2,822 | 35,992 | ||||
| GBA-2 | Fatehullah Khan | PTI | 6,698 | 27.16% | Jamil Ahmed | PPP | 6,694 | 27.14% | 4 | 41,108 | 24,661 | 60.00% | |
| GBA-3 | Syed Sohail Abbas Shah | PTI | 6,873 | Muhammad Iqbal | IND | 4,678 | 2,195 | 41,360 | 26,461 | 63.98% | |||
| Nagar | GBA-4 | Amjad Hussain Azar | PPP | 4,716 | Muhammad Ayub | ITP | 4,291 | 425 | 23,171 | 14,837 | 64.03% | ||
| GBA-5 | Javed Ali Manwa | IND | 2,570 | Rizwan Ali | MWM | 1,850 | 720 | 14,001 | |||||
| Hunza | GBA-6 | Abaid Ullah Baig | PTI | 5,710 | Noor Muhammad | IND | 4,683 | 2,014 | 43,603 | 23,060 | 52.89% | ||
| Skardu | GBA-7 | Raja Muhammad Zakaria Khan Maqpoon | PTI | 5,565 | Syed Mehdi Shah | PPP | 4,113 | 1,452 | 17,127 | ||||
| GBA-8 | Muhammad Kazim Maisam | MWM | 7,842 | 35.35% | Syed M. Ali Shah | PPP | 6,904 | 31.12% | 938 | 39,567 | 22,182 | 56.06% | |
| GBA-9 | Wazir Muhammad Saleem | IND | 6,286 | Fida Muhammad Nashad | PTI | 5,187 | 1,099 | 25,562 | |||||
| GBA-10 | Raja Nasir Ali Khan Maqpoon | IND | 4,811 | 27.18% | Wazir Hassan | PTI | 3,439 | 19.43% | 1,372 | 26,839 | 17,702 | 65.96% | |
| Kharmang | GBA-11 | Syed Amjad Ali Zaidi | PTI | 5,733 | Syed Muhsin Rizvi | IND | 2,016 | 3,717 | 26,869 | ||||
| Shigar | GBA-12 | Raja Azam Khan Amacha | PTI | 10,674 | Imran Nadeem | PPP | 8,886 | 1,788 | 36,183 | 24,804 | 68.55% | ||
| Astore | GBA-13 | Muhammad Khalid Khurshid Khan | PTI | 4,836 | Abdul Hamid Khan | PPP | 3,117 | 1,719 | 33,378 | 16,298 | 48.83% | ||
| GBA-14 | Shamsul Haq | PTI | 5,354 | Muzaffar Ali | PPP | 3,473 | 1,881 | 29,023 | 15,513 | 53.45% | |||
| Diamer | GBA-15 | Shah Baig | IND | 2,713 | Muhammad Dilpazir | IND | 2,309 | 404 | 35,185 | 22,237 | 63.20% | ||
| GBA-16 | Muhammad Anwar | PML(N) | 4,813 | Attaullah | IND | 2,576 | 2,237 | 35,405 | 21,458 | 60.61% | |||
| Tangir | GBA-17 | Rehmat Khaliq | JUI(F) | 5,389 | Haider Khan | PTI | 5,126 | 263 | 29,955 | 12,870 | 42.96% | ||
| Darel | GBA-18 | Gulbar Khan | PTI | 6,793 | Malik Kifayat Ur Rehman | IND | 5,986 | 807 | 18,907 | 9,669 | 51.14% | ||
| Ghizer | GBA-19 | Nawaz Khan Naji | BNF(N) | 6,208 | Pir Jalal Ali Shah | PPP | 4,967 | 1,241 | 37,808 | ||||
| GBA-21 | Ghulam Muhammad | PML(N) | 4,334 | M. Ayub Shah | PPP | 3,430 | 904 | 34,973 | 20,053 | 57.34% | |||
| Gupis-Yasin | GBA-20 | Nazir Ahmed | PTI | 5,592 | Khan Akbar Khan | PML(Q) | 3,815 | 1,777 | 42,533 | ||||
| Ghanche | GBA-22 | Mushtaq Hussain | IND | 6,051 | M. Ibrahim Sanai | PTI | 4,945 | 1,106 | 29,104 | 17,169 | 58.99% | ||
| GBA-23 | Abdul Hameed | IND | 3,666 | Amina Ansari | PTI | 3,296 | 370 | 27,522 | 15,393 | 55.93% | |||
| GBA-24 | Engr Mohammad Ismail | PPP | 6,239 | Syed Shamsuddin | PTI | 5,361 | 845 | 20,187 | 12,251 | 60.69% | |||
Notes
[edit]- ^ Except the election in the General Constituency of GBA-3 (Gilgit-III), where the election was postponed due to the death of a major candidate and was held on November 22.[1]
- ^ Six seats are reserved for women, three seats are reserved for technocrats.
- ^ a b One member was an Independent politician
- ^ One member was an Independent politician
- ^ a b Represented by Nawaz Khan Naji. Although Naji is the leader of Balawaristan National Front (N), he ran as an independent in the elections.
References
[edit]- ^ a b Mir, Shabbir (15 November 2020). "PTI stakes claim on G-B govt". The Express Tribune. Archived from the original on 18 November 2020. Retrieved 19 November 2020.
Election in GBA-3 has been postponed till November 22, following the death of contesting candidate.
- ^ a b c "Summary Male, Female voters of Electoral Rolls 2020" (PDF). Summary Male, Female voters of Electoral Rolls 2020.pdf. Election Commission Gilgit-Baltistan. 12 November 2020. Archived (PDF) from the original on 18 November 2020. Retrieved 18 November 2020.
- ^ a b c "President gives nod to GB general polls on Nov 15". President gives nod to GB general polls on Nov 15. Associated Press of Pakistan. 23 September 2020. Archived from the original on 23 September 2020. Retrieved 23 September 2020.
- ^ a b c Sana Jamal (23 September 2020). "Pakistan to hold assembly elections in Gilgit-Baltistan on November 15". Pakistan to hold assembly elections in Gilgit-Baltistan on November 15 | Pakistan — Gulf News. Gulf News. Archived from the original on 23 September 2020. Retrieved 23 September 2020.
- ^ a b c "GB election commission issues schedule for Nov 15 polls". GB election commission issues schedule for Nov 15 polls. Geo News. 25 September 2020. Archived from the original on 27 October 2020. Retrieved 27 October 2020.
- ^ a b c d e "Commissioner announces Gilgit-Baltistan election schedule". Commissioner announces Gilgit-Baltistan election schedule. The Nation (Newspaper). 25 September 2020. Archived from the original on 2020-09-25. Retrieved 27 October 2020.
- ^ "Members". Members - Gilgit-Baltistan Assembly. Gilgit-Baltistan Assembly. Archived from the original on 15 February 2020. Retrieved 23 September 2020.
- ^ "Election Commission Gilgit-Baltistan". Election Commission GB. Archived from the original on 23 September 2020. Retrieved 23 September 2020.
- ^ a b c d e f g h "Final List of Contested Candidates With Allocated of Symbol Who Have Filed Nomination Papers With Returning Officers of 24 Constituencies of Gilgit-Baltistan" (PDF). contesting Candidates 2020.pdf. Election Commission of Gilgit-Baltistan. 13 November 2020. Archived (PDF) from the original on 18 November 2020. Retrieved 18 November 2020.
- ^ a b "Gilgit-Baltistan elections to be held on August 18". Gilgit-Baltistan elections to be held on August 18. Geo News. 28 June 2020. Archived from the original on 23 September 2020. Retrieved 23 September 2020.
- ^ a b Sajjad Ahmad (8 July 2020). "Polls in GB". Polls in GB - Newspaper - DAWN.COM. DAWN News. Archived from the original on 24 August 2020. Retrieved 23 September 2020.
- ^ a b "Gilgit-Baltistan elections postponed". Gilgit-Baltistan elections postponed. The News International. 10 July 2020. Archived from the original on 23 September 2020. Retrieved 23 September 2020.
- ^ a b c Shabbir Hussain (11 July 2020). "G-B elections postponed". G-B elections postponed | The Express Tribune. The Express Tribune. Archived from the original on 16 September 2020. Retrieved 23 September 2020.
- ^ a b "Army's help 'not required' for G-B polls". Army’s help ‘not required’ for G-B polls | The Express Tribune. The Express Tribune. 3 October 2020. Archived from the original on 27 October 2020. Retrieved 27 October 2020.
- ^ a b "Army troops not to be deployed at polling stations: CM". Army troops not to be deployed at polling stations: CM. The Nation (Newspaper). 3 October 2020. Archived from the original on 27 October 2020. Retrieved 27 October 2020.
- ^ Amir Wasim (9 November 2020). "Gender gap among GB voters widens: Fafen". Gender gap among GB voters widens: Fafen - Pakistan - DAWN.COM. DAWN.COM. Archived from the original on 14 November 2020. Retrieved 14 November 2020.
- ^ "At a glance: Gilgit-Baltistan Elections 2020". At a glance: Gilgit-Baltistan Elections 2020 - Dunya News. Dunya News. 9 November 2020. Archived from the original on 14 November 2020. Retrieved 14 November 2020.
- ^ a b "PTI, PPP, PML-N eye victory as Gilgit-Baltistan prepares to vote". SAMAA - PTI, PPP, PML-N eye victory as Gilgit-Baltistan prepares to vote. SAMAA. 13 November 2020. Archived from the original on 14 November 2020. Retrieved 14 November 2020.
- ^ "GB elections: Official results reveal PTI as majority party with 22 seats in hand - DAWN". 24 November 2020.
- ^ "Candidate Result GB Assembly Election 2020 - Elections".
- ^ "GB forest dept building, 4 vehicles torched as PPP's protest against alleged rigging turns violent - DAWN". 23 November 2020.
- ^ "PM felicitates new GB CM Hafiz Hafeez-ur-Rehman | Samaa Digital". Samaa TV. Retrieved 2019-05-23.
- ^ Khan, M. I (2015-06-28). "Profile: The new GB chief". DAWN.COM. Retrieved 2019-05-23.
- ^ "Govt gets Supreme Court nod for caretaker setup in G-B". Govt gets Supreme Court nod for caretaker setup in G-B | The Express Tribune. The Express Tribune. 30 April 2020. Archived from the original on 27 October 2020. Retrieved 27 October 2020.
- ^ Sohail Khan (1 May 2020). "Supreme Court allows govt to hold elections in Gilgit-Baltistan". Supreme Court allows govt to hold elections in Gilgit-Baltistan. The News International. Archived from the original on 27 October 2020. Retrieved 27 October 2020.
- ^ "Gilgit-Baltistan assembly completes its five-year term". Gilgit-Baltistan assembly completes its five-year term. Daily Pakistan. 24 June 2020. Archived from the original on 23 September 2020. Retrieved 23 September 2020.
- ^ Shabbir Mir (24 June 2020). "Mir Afzal sworn in as Gilgit-Baltistan caretaker chief minister". Mir Afzal sworn in as Gilgit-Baltistan caretaker chief minister | The Express Tribune. The Express Tribune. Archived from the original on 4 September 2020. Retrieved 23 September 2020.
- ^ "Govt appoints Mir Afzal as GB's caretaker CM". Govt appoints Mir Afzal as GB's caretaker CM. The Nation. 24 June 2020. Archived from the original on 4 September 2020. Retrieved 23 September 2020.
- ^ "Polling Stations Established for 24 Constituencies of GBA Elections 2020". Election Commission GB. 13 November 2020. Archived from the original on 18 November 2020. Retrieved 18 November 2020.
- ^ "Gilgit-Baltistan Legislative Assembly Election 2020". Dunay News.
- ^ "GB forest dept building, 4 vehicles torched as PPP's protest against alleged rigging turns violent". DAWN. November 23, 2020.
- ^ "PTI bags two-third majority in Gilgit-Baltistan Legislative Assembly". www.geo.tv. Retrieved 2020-11-24.
