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{{Short description|Chances of dying}}{{More sources|date=February 2024}}
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'''Mortality forecasting''' refers to the art and science of determining likely future mortality rates.<ref>{{Cite journal |last=Rabbi |first=Ahbab Mohammad Fazle |last2=Mazzuco |first2=Stefano |date=2020-04-08 |title=Mortality Forecasting with the Lee–Carter Method: Adjusting for Smoothing and Lifespan Disparity |url=https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7865054/ |journal=European Journal of Population = Revue Européenne de Démographie |volume=37 |issue=1 |pages=97–120 |doi=10.1007/s10680-020-09559-9 |issn=0168-6577 |pmc=7865054 |pmid=33603592}}</ref> It is especially important in rich countries with a high proportion of aged people, since populations with lower mortality accumulate more [[pensions]].<ref>{{Cite web |title=How Does Mortality Contribute to Lifetime Pension Inequality? Evidence From Five Decades of Swedish Taxation Data |url=https://read.dukeupress.edu/demography/article/59/5/1843/318522/How-Does-Mortality-Contribute-to-Lifetime-Pension |access-date=2024-02-06 |website=read.dukeupress.edu}}</ref>
{{unreferenced|date=October 2010}}
'''Mortality [[forecasting]]''' refers to the art and science of determining likely future mortality rates. It is especially important in rich countries with a high proportion of aged people, since aged populations are expensive in terms of [[pensions]] (both public and private). It is a major topic in [[Ageing]] studies.


==See also==
==See also==

Revision as of 06:15, 6 February 2024

Mortality forecasting refers to the art and science of determining likely future mortality rates.[1] It is especially important in rich countries with a high proportion of aged people, since populations with lower mortality accumulate more pensions.[2]

See also

  1. ^ Rabbi, Ahbab Mohammad Fazle; Mazzuco, Stefano (2020-04-08). "Mortality Forecasting with the Lee–Carter Method: Adjusting for Smoothing and Lifespan Disparity". European Journal of Population = Revue Européenne de Démographie. 37 (1): 97–120. doi:10.1007/s10680-020-09559-9. ISSN 0168-6577. PMC 7865054. PMID 33603592.
  2. ^ "How Does Mortality Contribute to Lifetime Pension Inequality? Evidence From Five Decades of Swedish Taxation Data". read.dukeupress.edu. Retrieved 2024-02-06.