Wikipedia

2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona

The 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona were held on November 6, 2018, to elect the nine U.S. representatives from the State of Arizona, one from each of the state's nine congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2018 Arizona gubernatorial election, as well as other elections to the U.S. House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections. The 2018 general elections saw the Democratic party gain the 2nd congressional district, thus flipping the state from a 5–4 Republican advantage to a 5–4 Democratic advantage, the first time since the 2012 election in which Democrats held more House seats in Arizona than the Republicans.

2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona
← 2016 November 6, 2018 (2018-11-06) 2020 →
All 9 Arizona seats to the United States House of Representatives
  Majority party Minority party
 
Party Democratic Republican
Last election 4 5
Seats won 5 4
Seat change Increase 1 Decrease 1
Popular vote 1,179,193 1,139,251
Percentage 50.37% 48.67%
Swing Increase 5.65% Decrease 3.82%

Overview

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Statewide

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Party Candidates Votes Seats
No. % No. /– %
Democratic 9 1,179,193 50.37 5  1 55.56
Republican 9 1,139,251 48.67 4  1 44.44
Green 2 22,378 0.96 0   0.0
Write-in 3 147 0.01 0   0.0
Total 23 2,341,270 100.0 9   100.0
Popular vote
Democratic
 
 50.37%
Republican
 
 48.67%
Green
 
 0.96%
Other
 
 0.01%
House seats
Democratic
 
 55.56%
Republican
 
 44.44%

By district

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Results of the 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona by district:[1]

District Democratic Republican Others Total Result
Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes %
District 1 143,240 53.83% 122,784 46.14% 65 0.03% 266,089 100.0% Democratic hold
District 2 161,000 54.73% 133,083 45.24% 69 0.02% 294,152 100.0% Democratic gain
District 3 114,650 63.87% 64,868 36.13% 0 0.00% 179,518 100.0% Democratic hold
District 4 84,521 30.51% 188,842 68.16% 3,672 1.33% 277,035 100.0% Republican hold
District 5 127,027 40.58% 186,037 59.42% 0 0.00% 313,064 100.0% Republican hold
District 6 140,559 44.81% 173,140 55.19% 0 0.00% 313,699 100.0% Republican hold
District 7 113,044 85.61% 301 0.20% 19,007 14.39% 132,051 100.0% Democratic hold
District 8 135,569 44.53% 168,835 55.46% 13 0.01% 304,417 100.0% Republican hold
District 9 159,583 61.09% 101,662 38.91% 0 0.00% 261,245 100.0% Democratic hold
Total 1,179,193 50.37% 1,139,251 48.66% 22,826 0.97% 2,341,270 100.0%

District 1

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2018 Arizona's 1st congressional district election
 
← 2016
2020 →
     
Nominee Tom O'Halleran Wendy Rogers
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 143,240 122,784
Percentage 53.8% 46.1%
 
 
County results
O'Halleran:      50–60%      60-70%      70-80%      80-90%     ≥90%
Rogers:      50-60%      60–70%     70-80%      80-90%      ≥90%
Tie:      
No votes:      
U.S. Representative before election

Tom O'Halleran
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Tom O'Halleran
Democratic

See also: Arizona's 1st congressional district

The 1st district is home to the Grand Canyon and stretches along the eastern and northeastern portions of the state and includes Casa Grande, Flagstaff, and Marana. This district has a significant Native-American population, making up 25% of the population in the district. This district is home to a number of Indian reservations, including the Gila River Indian Community, Hopi Reservation, and the Navajo Nation. Incumbent Democrat Tom O'Halleran, who had represented the district since 2017, ran for re-election.[2] He was elected with 51% of the vote in 2016, and the district had a PVI of R 2, making it one of the most competitive in the state with a PVI of R 2.

Democratic primary

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Candidates

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Nominee
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Withdrawn
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  • Miguel Olivas[4]

Primary results

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Democratic primary results[5]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Tom O'Halleran (incumbent) 64,114 100.0
Total votes 64,114 100.0

Republican primary

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The district was one of 36 Democratic-held House districts targeted by the National Republican Congressional Committee.[6]

Candidates

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Nominee
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Eliminated in primary
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Declined
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Polling

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Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Wendy
Rogers 		Tiffany
Shedd 		Steve
Smith 		Other Undecided
Grassroots Partners (R-Smith)[12] July 15–16, 2018 393 ± 4.6% 23% 15% 27% – –
Data Orbital (R-Defending Rural Arizona PAC)[13] June 28–30, 2018 450 ± 4.59% 22% 15% 10% 3% 50%

Endorsements

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Wendy Rogers

U.S. representatives

Organizations

Tiffany Shedd

U.S. Senators

  • Jon Kyl, former U.S. Senator (R-AZ)

U.S. representatives

State officials

State legislators

Organizations

Steve Smith

U.S. Senators

U.S. representatives

State officials

State legislators

Organizations

Individuals

Primary results

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Republican primary results[5]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Wendy Rogers 30,180 43.7
Republican Steve Smith 25,552 37.0
Republican Tiffany Shedd 13,260 19.2
Total votes 68,992 100.0

Libertarian primary

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Candidates

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General election

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Endorsements

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Tom O'Halleran (D)

Labor unions

Organizations

Newspapers

Wendy Rogers (R)

U.S. representatives

Organizations

Polling

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Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Tom
O'Halleran (D) 		Wendy
Rogers (R) 		Other Undecided
0ptimus/DDHQ[42] October 31 – November 1, 2018 756 ± 3.6% 48% 45% 1%[a] 6%
American Viewpoint (R)[43] October 16–18, 2018 400 ± 4.9% 46% 46% – 5%
Go Right Strategies (R-Rogers)[44] October 9–10, 2018 943 ± 3.0% 38% 44% – 18%
Go Right Strategies (R-Rogers)[45] September 27–28, 2018 738 ± 4.0% 36% 39% – 24%

Predictions

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Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[46] Lean D November 5, 2018
Inside Elections[47] Lean D November 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[48] Likely D November 5, 2018
RCP[49] Tossup November 5, 2018
Daily Kos[50] Likely D November 5, 2018
538[51] Likely D November 7, 2018
CNN[52][53] Lean D October 31, 2018
Fox News[54] Lean D September 21, 2018
Politico[55] Lean D November 2, 2018

Results

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Arizona's 1st congressional district, 2018[56]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Tom O'Halleran (incumbent) 143,240 53.8
Republican Wendy Rogers 122,784 46.1
Independent David Shock (write-in) 65 0.1
Majority 20,456 7.7
Total votes 266,089 100.0
Democratic hold

District 2

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2018 Arizona's 2nd congressional district election
 
← 2016
2020 →
     
Nominee Ann Kirkpatrick Lea Márquez Peterson
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 161,000 133,083
Percentage 54.7% 45.2%
 
County results
Kirkpatrick:      50-60%
Martin:      50–60%
U.S. Representative before election

Martha McSally
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Ann Kirkpatrick
Democratic

See also: Arizona's 2nd congressional district

The 2nd district is based in the southeastern corner of Arizona and includes Cochise County and parts of suburban Tucson. Incumbent Republican Martha McSally, who had represented the district since 2015, did not run for re-election, instead running for the U.S. Senate. She was re-elected with 57% of the vote in 2016, and the district had a PVI of R 1.[57]

Republican primary

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Candidates

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Nominee
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Eliminated in primary
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Withdrew

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Declined

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Primary results

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Republican primary results[5]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Lea Márquez Peterson 23,571 34.2
Republican Brandon Martin 19,809 28.7
Republican Casey Welch 14,499 21.0
Republican Daniel Morales, Jr. 11,135 16.1
Total votes 69,014 100.0

Democratic primary

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This district was one of 80 Republican-held House districts targeted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee.[64]

Candidates

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Nominee
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Eliminated in primary
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Withdrawn
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Declined
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Endorsements

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Matt Heinz

U.S. Senators

State legislators

Labor unions

Organizations

Ann Kirkpatrick

U.S. representatives

State legislators

Labor unions

Organizations

Mary Matiella

Organizations

Polling

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Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Randy
Friese 		Matt
Heinz 		Ann
Kirkpatrick 		Billy
Kovacs 		Mary
Matiella 		Bruce
Wheeler 		Other Undecided
FM3 Research (D-Heinz)[78] August 1–2, 2018 402 ± 4.9% – 31% 26% – – – 13% 29%
FM3 Research (D-Heinz)[79] April 29 – May 3, 2018 400 ± 4.9% – 27% 23% 4% 6% 4% – 36%
Public Policy Polling (D-Heinz)[80] May 5–7, 2017 392 ± 5.0% 6% 40% 30% – – – – 24%

Primary results

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Democratic primary results[5]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Ann Kirkpatrick 33,938 41.8
Democratic Matt Heinz 23,992 29.6
Democratic Mary Matiella 7,606 9.4
Democratic Bruce Wheeler 6,814 8.4
Democratic Billy Kovacs 5,350 6.6
Democratic Barbara Sherry 2,074 2.6
Democratic Yahya Yuksel 1,319 1.6
Total votes 81,093 100.0

General election

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Endorsements

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Lea Márquez Peterson (R)

Organizations

Ann Kirkpatrick (D)

U.S. representatives

State legislators

Labor unions

Organizations

Newspapers

Debates

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Polling

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Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Lea
Marquez-Peterson (R) 		Ann
Kirkpatrick (D) 		Undecided
NYT Upshot/Siena College[89] September 26 – October 1, 2018 502 ± 4.5% 39% 50% 11%
Public Policy Polling (D-Heinz)[90] February 8–10, 2018 841 ± 3.4% 34% 43% 23%
Hypothetical polling

With Heinz

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Lea
Marquez-Peterson (R) 		Matt
Heinz (D) 		Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D-Heinz)[90] February 8–10, 2018 841 ± 3.4% 31% 45% 24%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Martha
McSally (R) 		Matt
Heinz (D) 		Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D-Heinz)[91] May 5–7, 2017 944 ± N/A 44% 48% 8%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Martha
McSally (R) 		Ann
Kirkpatrick (D) 		Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[92] October 6–8, 2017 714 ± 3.7% 44% 44% —
Public Policy Polling (D-Heinz)[91] May 5–7, 2017 944 ± N/A 44% 48% 8%

Predictions

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Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[46] Lean D (flip) November 5, 2018
Inside Elections[47] Lean D (flip) November 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[48] Likely D (flip) November 5, 2018
RCP[49] Lean D (flip) November 5, 2018
Daily Kos[50] Likely D (flip) November 5, 2018
538[51] Safe D (flip) November 7, 2018
CNN[52][53] Likely D (flip) October 31, 2018
Fox News[54] Lean D (flip) September 21, 2018
Politico[55] Lean D (flip) November 2, 2018

Results

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Arizona's 2nd congressional district, 2018[56]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Ann Kirkpatrick 161,000 54.7
Republican Lea Márquez Peterson 133,083 45.2
Independent Jordan Flayer (write-in) 50 0.1
Republican Melissa Grable (write-in) 19 0.0
Majority 27,917 9.5
Total votes 294,152 100.0
Democratic gain from Republican

District 3

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2018 Arizona's 3rd congressional district election
 
← 2016
2020 →
     
Nominee Raúl Grijalva Nicolas Pierson
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 114,650 64,868
Percentage 63.9% 36.1%
 
 
County results
Grijalva:      50–60%      60-70%     70-80%     80-90%      >90%
Pierson:      50–60%      60-70%     70-80%     80-90%
     No votes
U.S. Representative before election

Raúl Grijalva
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Raúl Grijalva
Democratic

See also: Arizona's 3rd congressional district

The third district is based in Tucson and stretches along the southern border of Arizona including Yuma, rural portions of Maricopa County such as Gila Bend, and the western suburbs of Phoenix including Avondale, Buckeye, Goodyear, and parts of Litchfield Park. has represented this district since 2002, and ran unopposed in 2016. Incumbent Democrat Raúl Grijalva, who had represented the district since 2003, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 99% of the vote in 2016, and the district had a PVI of D 13.

Democratic primary

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Candidates

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Nominee
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Eliminated in primary
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Endorsements

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Raúl Grijalva

Labor unions

Primary results

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Democratic primary results[5]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Raúl Grijalva (incumbent) 45,186 99.8
Write-in 81 0.2
Total votes 45,267 100.0

Republican primary

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Candidates

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Nominee
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Eliminated in primary
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  • Sergio Arellano, veteran[3][93]
  • Edna San Miguel, schoolteacher[3]
Withdrawn
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  • Bill Abatecola, businessman (endorsed Arellano)[94]

Primary results

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Republican primary results[5]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican J. Nicholas Pierson 13,090 49.9
Republican Sergio Arellano 7,400 28.2
Republican Edna San Miguel 5,756 21.9
Total votes 26,246 100.0

General election

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Endorsements

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Raúl Grijalva (D)

Labor unions

Organizations

Newspapers

Results

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Arizona's 3rd congressional district, 2018[56]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Raúl Grijalva (incumbent) 114,650 63.9
Republican Nicolas Pierson 64,868 36.1
Majority 49,782 27.8
Total votes 179,518 100.0
Democratic hold

District 4

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2018 Arizona's 4th congressional district election
 
← 2016
2020 →
     
Nominee Paul Gosar David Brill
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 278,002 120,484
Percentage 68.2% 30.5%
 
 
Results
Gosar:      50-60%     60-70%     70-80%     80-90%     >90%
Brill:      50-60%     60-70%
No votes:      
U.S. Representative before election

Paul Gosar
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Paul Gosar
Republican

See also: Arizona's 4th congressional district

The fourth district takes up most of rural northwestern and western Arizona and includes Kingman, Lake Havasu City, Prescott, and San Tan Valley. Incumbent Republican Paul Gosar, who had represented the district since 2011, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 71% of the vote in 2016, and the district had a PVI of R 21, making it the most Republican district in Arizona.

Republican primary

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Candidates

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Nominee
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Primary results

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Republican primary results[5]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Paul Gosar (incumbent) 94,092 100.0
Total votes 94,092 100.0

Democratic primary

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Candidates

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Nominee
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  • David Brill, Manager of Primary Care services for the Northern Arizona Veterans Administration[3]
Eliminated in primary
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Endorsements

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David Brill

Labor unions

Primary results

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Democratic primary results[5]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic David Brill 19,048 52.4
Democratic Delina Disanto 17,256 47.5
Write-in 49 0.1
Total votes 36,353 100.0

Green primary

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Candidates

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Nominee
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  • Haryaksha Gregor Knauer[3]

Primary results

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Green primary results[5]
Party Candidate Votes %
Green Haryaksha Gregor Knauer 323 100.0
Total votes 323 100.0

General election

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Campaign

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This race received national media coverage after Democratic nominee David Brill aired television advertisements in which six of Republican incumbent Paul Gosar's nine siblings each condemned their brother and endorsed Brill, imploring residents of the fourth district to vote their brother out of office.[97] Gosar responded to this advert with a tweet in which he dismissed his siblings' criticisms and characterized them as "disgruntled Hillary supporters" who "put political ideology before family".[98]

Endorsements

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Paul Gosar (R)

Organizations

David Brill (D)

Labor unions

Organizations

Polling

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Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Paul
Gosar (R) 		David
Brill (D) 		Haryaksha
Gregor Knauer (G) 		Undecided
OH Predictive Insights[101] September 25, 2018 370 ± 5.09% 57% 25% 2% 16%

Results

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Arizona's 4th congressional district, 2018[56]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Paul Gosar (incumbent) 188,842 68.2
Democratic David Brill 84,521 30.5
Green Haryaksha Gregor Knauer 3,672 1.3
Majority 104,321 37.7
Total votes 277,035 100.0
Republican hold

District 5

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2018 Arizona's 5th congressional district election
 
← 2016
2020 →
     
Nominee Andy Biggs Joan Greene
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 186,037 127,027
Percentage 59.4% 40.6%
U.S. Representative before election

Andy Biggs
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Andy Biggs
Republican

See also: Arizona's 5th congressional district

The 5th district is based in the East Valley region of suburban Phoenix and includes Gilbert and Queen Creek, as well as portions of Chandler and Mesa. Incumbent Republican Andy Biggs, who had represented the district since 2017, ran for re-election. He was elected with 64% of the vote in 2016, and the district had a PVI of R 15.

Republican primary

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Candidates

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Nominee
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Primary results

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Republican primary results[5]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Andy Biggs (incumbent) 86,418 100.0
Total votes 86,418 100.0

Democratic primary

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Candidates

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Nominee
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  • Joan Greene, business owner[3]
Eliminated in primary
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  • Jose Torres, engineer and businessman[3]
Withdrawn
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  • Lisa Chappelle
  • Tony Margalis
  • Scott Menor

Endorsements

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Joan Greene

Labor unions

Organizations

Primary results

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Democratic primary results[5]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Joan Greene 27,222 59.3
Democratic Jose Torres 18,671 40.7
Total votes 45,893 100.0

General election

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Endorsements

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Andy Biggs (R)

Organizations

Joan Greene (D)

Labor unions

Organizations

Results

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Arizona's 5th congressional district, 2018[56]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Andy Biggs (incumbent) 186,037 59.4
Democratic Joan Greene 127,027 40.6
Majority 59,010 18.8
Total votes 313,064 100.0
Republican hold

District 6

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2018 Arizona's 6th congressional district election
 
← 2016
2020 →
     
Nominee David Schweikert Anita Malik
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 173,140 140,559
Percentage 55.2% 44.8%
U.S. Representative before election

David Schweikert
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

David Schweikert
Republican

See also: Arizona's 6th congressional district

The sixth district is based in northeastern suburban Phoenix and is centered around Scottsdale, and also includes many affluent communities such as Fountain Hills and Paradise Valley. Incumbent Republican David Schweikert, who had represented the district since 2011, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 62% of the vote in 2016, and the district had a PVI of R 9.

Republican primary

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Candidates

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Nominee
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Primary results

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Republican primary results[5]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican David Schweikert (incumbent) 83,406 100.0
Total votes 83,406 100.0

Democratic primary

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This district was one of 80 Republican-held House districts targeted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee.[64]

Candidates

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Nominee
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  • Anita Malik, tech executive[3]
Eliminated in primary
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  • Garrick McFadden, attorney[3]
  • Heather Ross, nurse practitioner[3]

Endorsements

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Garrick McFadden

Labor unions

Primary results

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Democratic primary results[5]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Anita Malik 22,666 42.2
Democratic Heather Ross 20,203 37.6
Democratic Garrick McFadden 10,825 20.2
Total votes 53,694 100.0

General election

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Endorsements

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David Schweikert (R)

Organizations

Anita Malik (D)

Labor unions

Organizations

Polling

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Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		David
Schweikert (R) 		Anita
Malik (D) 		Undecided
NYT Upshot/Siena College[105] October 11–15, 2018 500 ± 4.5% 50% 36% 14%

Predictions

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Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[46] Likely R November 5, 2018
Inside Elections[47] Safe R November 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[48] Likely R November 5, 2018
RCP[49] Likely R November 5, 2018
Daily Kos[50] Safe R November 5, 2018
538[51] Likely R November 7, 2018
CNN[53] Likely R October 31, 2018
Politico[55] Likely R September 21, 2018

Results

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Arizona's 6th congressional district, 2018[56]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican David Schweikert (incumbent) 173,140 55.2
Democratic Anita Malik 140,559 44.8
Majority 32,581 10.4
Total votes 313,699 100.0
Republican hold

District 7

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2018 Arizona's 7th congressional district election
 
← 2016
2020 →
     
Nominee Ruben Gallego Gary Swing
Party Democratic Green
Popular vote 114,650 18,706
Percentage 85.6% 14.2%
U.S. Representative before election

Ruben Gallego
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Ruben Gallego
Democratic

See also: Arizona's 7th congressional district

The seventh district is based in the city of Phoenix and also includes parts of Glendale and Tolleson. Incumbent Democrat Ruben Gallego, who had represented the district since 2015, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 75% of the vote in 2016,[2] and the district had a PVI of D 23, making it the most Democratic district in Arizona.

Democratic primary

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Candidates

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Nominee
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Eliminated in primary
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Endorsements

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Ruben Gallego

Labor unions

Organizations

Primary results

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Democratic primary results[5]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Ruben Gallego (incumbent) 32,231 74.8
Democratic Catherine Miranda 10,856 25.2
Total votes 43,087 100.0

Republican primary

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No Republican candidate filed to run.

General election

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Endorsements

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Ruben Gallego (D)

Labor unions

Organizations

Results

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Arizona's 7th congressional district, 2018[56]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Ruben Gallego (incumbent) 113,044 85.6
Green Gary Swing 18,706 14.2
Republican James "007" Bond IV (write-in) 301 0.2
Majority 794,338 71.4
Total votes 132,051 100.0
Democratic hold

District 8

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2018 Arizona's 8th congressional district election
 
     
Nominee Debbie Lesko Hiral Tipirneni
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 168,835 135,569
Percentage 55.5% 44.5%
U.S. Representative before election

Debbie Lesko
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Debbie Lesko
Republican

See also: Arizona's 8th congressional district and Arizona's 8th congressional district special election, 2018

The eighth district is based in the West Valley region of suburban Phoenix and includes the cities of El Mirage, Peoria, and Surprise, and also many retirement communities such as Sun City. Republican Trent Franks who had represented the district since 2003[2] resigned from Congress on December 8, 2017, after a controversy regarding surrogate mothers.[108] Republican Debbie Lesko won the special election that took place on April 24, 2018, defeating Democratic nominee Hiral Tipirneni with 53% of the vote. The district had a PVI of R 13.

Republican primary

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Candidates

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Nominee
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Eliminated in primary
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Declined
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Primary results

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Republican primary results[5]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Debbie Lesko (incumbent) 73,776 77.2
Republican Sandra E. Dowling 21,825 22.8
Total votes 95,601 100.0

Democratic primary

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Candidates

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Nominee
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Removed from the ballot
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Declined
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  • Robert Kyle Schuster[3][117]
  • Brianna Westbrook, political activist and LGBTQ community leader (running for Arizona state senate)[118]

Endorsements

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Hiral Tipirneni

Labor unions

Primary results

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Democratic primary results[5]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Hiral Tipirneni 52,215 100.0
Total votes 52,215 100.0

Independent candidates

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Not on the ballot

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General election

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Campaign

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The Lesko campaign was criticized for producing yard sign attacking Tipirneni as a "fake doctor" and as a "phony." on TV ads. These signs were taken down, but after Lesko accused Tipirneni of professional dishonesty during a TV appearance, the Arizona Medical Association withdrew its endorsement of Lesko.[119]

Endorsements

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Debbie Lesko (R)

Organizations

Hiral Tipirneni (D)

Labor unions

Organizations

Polling

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Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Debbie
Lesko (R) 		Hiral
Tipirneni (D) 		Undecided
Lake Research Partners (D-Tipirneni)[121] September 24–26, 2018 400 ± 4.9% 48% 44% 8%
Lake Research Partners (D-Tipirneni)[122] August 7–13, 2018 400 – 49% 40% 10%

Predictions

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Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[123][46] Likely R November 5, 2018
Inside Elections[47] Likely R November 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[48] Likely R November 5, 2018
RCP[49] Likely R November 5, 2018
Daily Kos[50] Safe R November 5, 2018
538[51] Likely R November 7, 2018
CNN[53] Likely R October 31, 2018
Politico[55] Likely R September 21, 2018

Results

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In the general election, Lesko won a full term, again defeating Tipirneni.[124]

Arizona's 8th congressional district, 2018[56]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Debbie Lesko (incumbent) 168,835 55.5
Democratic Hiral Tipirneni 135,569 44.5
New Paradigm Party Steven Hummel (write-in) 13 0.0
Majority 33,266 11.0
Total votes 304,417 100.0
Republican hold

District 9

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2018 Arizona's 9th congressional district election
 
← 2016
2020 →
     
Nominee Greg Stanton Steve Ferrara
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 159,583 101,662
Percentage 61.1% 38.9%
U.S. Representative before election

Kyrsten Sinema
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Greg Stanton
Democratic

See also: Arizona's 9th congressional district

The ninth district is based in suburban Phoenix and is centered around Tempe, and also includes portions of Chandler, Mesa, and Scottsdale. Incumbent Democrat Kyrsten Sinema, who had represented the district since 2013, did not seek re-election, instead running for U.S. Senate. She was re-elected with 61% of the vote in 2016, and the district had a PVI of D 4, making it moderately competitive.

Democratic primary

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Candidates

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Nominee
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Not on the ballot
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  • Talia Fuentes,[3] 2016 Democratic nominee for the 5th district[126]
Declined
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Endorsements

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Greg Stanton

Labor unions

Organizations

Primary results

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Democratic primary results[5]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Greg Stanton 59,066 100.0
Total votes 59,066 100.0

Republican primary

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This district was one of 36 Democratic-held House districts targeted by the National Republican Congressional Committee.[6]

Candidates

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Nominee
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Eliminated in primary
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  • Irina Baroness von Behr, pilot and Tempe City Council candidate in 2016[3][129]
  • David Giles, engineer, business consultant and nominee for this seat in 2016[3][130]

Declined

Endorsements

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Steve Ferrara

Organizations

Primary results

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Republican primary results[5]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Steve Ferrara 31,006 59.9
Republican David Giles 16,722 32.3
Republican Irina Baroness von Behr 4,020 7.8
Total votes 51,748 100.0

Libertarian primary

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Candidates

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Withdrawn
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General election

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Endorsements

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Greg Stanton (D)

Labor unions

Organizations

Steve Ferrara (R)

Organizations

Predictions

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Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[46] Safe D November 5, 2018
Inside Elections[47] Safe D November 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[48] Safe D November 5, 2018
RCP[49] Likely D November 5, 2018
Daily Kos[50] Safe D November 5, 2018
538[51] Safe D November 7, 2018
CNN[52][53] Likely D October 31, 2018
Politico[55] Likely D November 2, 2018

Results

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Arizona's 9th congressional district, 2018[56]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Greg Stanton 159,583 61.1
Republican Steve Ferrara 101,662 38.9
Majority 57,921 22.2
Total votes 261,245 100.0
Democratic hold

Notes

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  1. ^ "Will not vote" with 1%

References

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  1. ^ Johnson, Cheryl L. (February 28, 2019). "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 6, 2018". Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives. Retrieved April 27, 2019.
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Official campaign websites
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