Since October 7th, the Biden administration has resorted to the use of military force in the Middle East in response to the regional fallout of the Gaza war. And it has done so without obtaining congressional authorisation, explains Brian Finucane. Questions about how U.S. war powers are divided between Congress and the president are highly contested. Successive administrations have developed aggressive theories about when the president is entitled to go to war without lawmakers’ approval. In making room to engage in post-7 October hostilities, the Biden administration has expanded this doctrine, further corroding guardrails that, however imperfect, help prevent the world’s most powerful country from slipping into imprudent war. 📌 Learn more in our new report ‘U.S. War Powers after 7 October’: https://lnkd.in/eGeJZ6zp
International Crisis Group
International Affairs
Brussels, Brussels Region 200,843 followers
Preventing War. Shaping Peace.
About us
The International Crisis Group is an independent, non-profit, non-governmental organisation committed to preventing and resolving deadly conflict. What distinguishes Crisis Group from other organisations working on conflict prevention and resolution is a unique combination of field-based analysis, practical policy prescriptions and high-level advocacy, with key roles being played by highly experienced senior staff and by a distinguished Board of Trustees comprising leaders from the fields of politics, diplomacy, business and the media. Since 1995, Crisis Group’s reports and the advocacy associated with them have had a significant direct impact on conflict prevention, management and resolution across the world. Crisis Group has been visible and effective in assisting policymakers determine how best to handle terrorism, nuclear proliferation, impunity for international crimes, trafficking in arms and drugs and other problems associated with fragile or conflict-prone states. Increasingly, high-level interlocutors tell Crisis Group that its work in support of international peace and security has become indispensable.
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http://www.crisisgroup.org
External link for International Crisis Group
- Industry
- International Affairs
- Company size
- 51-200 employees
- Headquarters
- Brussels, Brussels Region
- Type
- Nonprofit
- Founded
- 1995
Locations
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Primary
Avenue Louise 235
Brussels, Brussels Region 1000, BE
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48 Gray's Inn Road
London, WC1X 8LT, GB
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1629 K Street NW, Suite 450
Washington, DC, 20006, US
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125 Park Avenue
New York, NY 10170, US
Employees at International Crisis Group
Updates
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🗺 Ukraine War Map: Tracking the Frontlines Follow daily changes in the frontlines of Russia's war in #Ukraine with our new interactive map: https://lnkd.in/ezn6TN6G
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🗞️ This Week in Conflict | Aftermath of a Shooting Our analysts also look at recent developments in #Bangladesh, Democratic Republic of Congo #DRC and #Gaza. We also share a new briefing on rising crime in the #Amazon, a visual explainer with a map to track #Ukraine’s frontlines, as well as a The Brookings Institution op-ed by Ali Wyne regarding the U.S. “consensus” on #China policy. 🎧 Finally, tune into our new podcast episodes, which look at #Gaza on Hold Your Fire!, the #Kenya protests on The Horn, political tensions in the Western #Balkans on War & Peace, and the risks of open war between #DRC and Rwanda on our French podcast Afrique 360.
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Did the United States get China “wrong?” Some answers from Ali Wyne and Ryan Hass for The Brookings Institution. https://lnkd.in/eTW2DHzb
Questioning the presumption of a US “consensus” on China policy | Brookings
https://www.brookings.edu
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“The international community’s inaction sends Israel the message that it can continue waging this war as they have done, with impunity.” Tahani Mustafa, our senior Palestine analyst, was interviewed by Al Jazeera English’s Inside Story about the repeated Israeli strikes on supposed ‘safe’ zones in Gaza. Her insights shed light on the gravity of the situation. “Israel has conducted supposed precise assassinations in densely populated areas and has failed to provide substantial evidence to legitimise these targets.” Tahani underscores the importance of international diplomatic intervention, highlighting the urgent need to support humanitarian efforts to ensure that aid reaches those in need. “Evidence is mounting for the ICJ’s Genocide case; Israel is systematically targeting civilians despite its claims to the contrary,” she explains. 📌 Watch the full interview here: https://lnkd.in/eRzC9Uvj
Will there be an end to Israel’s killing of civilians in Gaza?
aljazeera.com
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After a would-be assassin shot at former U.S. President and current Republican candidate Donald Trump on 13 July, the country’s political leaders, especially Trump himself, should avoid stoking division in order to reduce risks of violence as the November election approaches. Our statement ⬇ https://lnkd.in/erg4_-uf
Aftermath of a Shooting | Crisis Group
crisisgroup.org
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Deep in the Amazon jungle, Brazilian criminal groups have struck partnerships with Colombian guerrilla factions and Peruvian drug trafficking outfits to exploit local communities and the environment’s natural resources, causing great harm to both. Surging cocaine production and the spread of other rackets like gold dredging and illicit logging spur deadly violence, harm the environment and threaten Indigenous ways of life. Left unchecked, organised crime undermines the already tenuous state control of the world’s largest rainforest. “Outgunned and outnumbered, law enforcement agencies face an uphill battle unless they forge strong ties with communities and rebuild trust eroded by corruption scandals. Local people, best positioned to detect threats from violent groups, need a state response that truly addresses their needs,” explains Bram Ebus. 📌 Read the full briefing here: https://lnkd.in/eigNsai9 --- --- --- 🗺️: Organised crime groups are increasingly active along major rivers flowing through the Amazon rainforest in Brazil, Colombia and Peru, including in designated Indigenous territories and environmentally protected areas. Source: RAISG, OSM / CRISIS GROUP 📸: The Amazon and its tributaries offer drug traffickers ample opportunities to discreetly move narcotics toward distribution hubs. Javari, Brazil. January 2024. CRISIS GROUP / Bram Ebus 📸: As the tri-border region has no passable roads, small boats are the main form of public transport. Leticia, Colombia, 2024. CRISIS GROUP / Bram Ebus 📸: Local Indigenous community members labor on coca plantations run by foreigners, with few of the profits from drug trafficking remaining in the affected communities, which suffer from related crime and environmental harm. Loreto, Peru. November 2023. CRISIS GROUP / Bram Ebus 📸: A fairground in Atalaia do Norte, Brazil. January 2024. CRISIS GROUP / Bram Ebus
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The unexpected victory of reformist Masoud Pezeshkian in Iran's presidential elections could potentially lead to a thaw in U.S.-Iran relations. Despite the challenges, there are opportunities for de-escalation and limited cooperation. Our Iran Project Director Ali Vaez notes in this new Foreign Policy op-ed that “having more voices of restraint in Iran’s decision-making process—not least in comparison to the potential of a Jalili presidency—is a net positive.” Pezeshkian’s approach to foreign policy, particularly with the United States, will be influenced by external factors, most crucially the outcome of the U.S. presidential elections. The first opportunity for serious talks will be on the sidelines of the U.N. General Assembly in New York in September. “Laying the groundwork could help a future Democratic administration, should there be one, make rapid progress after the November election. In the event of a second Trump presidency, such groundwork might at least offer it a choice: find a mutually beneficial arrangement with Tehran or risk another perilous confrontation that would only further bog down Washington in the Middle East,” explains Ali. 📌 Read the full op-ed here: https://lnkd.in/eBRGnB5v
Will Pezeshkian’s Win Lead to a Thaw in U.S.-Iran Relations?
https://foreignpolicy.com
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International Crisis Group reposted this
My take on the foreign policy implications of Pezeshkian’s win in Iran’s presidential election.
Will Pezeshkian’s Win Lead to a Thaw in U.S.-Iran Relations?
https://foreignpolicy.com
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Important discussion on the critical role of early warning mechanisms to prevent deadly conflicts across the world, with our partners from Robert Bosch Stiftung. We were honoured to have Dr. Stella Voutta introduce the session, noting the crucial role early warning instruments play in supporting conflict prevention. With the expert moderation of Julia von Dobeneck, our speakers shared invaluable insights on early warning definitions and tools that can help sound the alarm effectively by detecting shifts in conflict dynamics. They also highlighted remaining challenges to inform meaningful interventions to prevent mass atrocities, with specific examples from Central Africa and the Great Lakes region. Thanks to our speakers Isabelle Arradon, Jonas Koll, Philipp Rotmann, Markus Bollmohr, Richard Moncrieff and participants for an informative session. With conflicts multiplying, translating early warnings into early action remains an important priority for conflict prevention organisations today. 📌 For more information on our global conflict tracker CrisisWatch click here: https://lnkd.in/efWTmXAz 📌 For more information on our horizon scanning tool On the Horizon, click here: https://lnkd.in/eyKb4cuZ 📌 For more information on the Robert Bosch Stiftung’s approach to supporting peace actors: https://lnkd.in/dUK_wir
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