---

format:

docx:

reference-doc: my_styles.docx

number-sections: true

title: "*Supplement* Hot and fresh: evidence of climate-related suboptimal water conditions for seagrass in a large Gulf coast estuary"

bibliography: refs.bib

csl: estuaries-and-coasts.csl

crossref:

fig-title: Fig.

author:

- Marcus W Beck:

email: [email protected]

institute: [TBEP]

correspondence: true

- Kerry Flaherty-Walia:

email: [email protected]

institute: [TBEP]

correspondence: false

- Sheila Scolaro:

email: [email protected]

institute: [TBEP]

correspondence: false

- Maya C Burke:

email: [email protected]

institute: [TBEP]

correspondence: false

- Bradley T Furman:

email: [email protected]

institute: [FWRI]

correspondence: false

- David J Karlen:

email: [email protected]

institute: [EPCHC]

correspondence: false

- Christopher Pratt:

email: [email protected]

institute: [EPCHC]

correspondence: false

- Christopher J Anastasiou:

email: [email protected]

institute: [SWFWMD]

correspondence: false

- Edward T Sherwood:

email: [email protected]

institute: [TBEP]

correspondence: false

institute:

- TBEP: Tampa Bay Estuary Program, 263 13th Ave S., Suite 350, St. Petersburg, Florida 33701 USA

- FWRI: Florida Fish and Wildlife Conservation Commission, Florida Fish and Wildlife Research Institute, 100 8th Avenue SE, St. Petersburg, FL 33701, USA

- EPCHC: Environmental Protection Commission of Hillsborough County, 3629 Queen Palm Drive, Tampa, FL 33619, USA

- SWFWMD: Southwest Florida Water Management District, 7601 US Highway 301 North, Tampa, FL 33637, USA

filters:

- templates/scholarly-metadata.lua

- templates/author-info-blocks.lua

execute:

echo: false

warning: false

ft.keepnext: false

ft.align: left

---

```{r}

#| results: hide

library(knitr)

library(here)

library(flextable)

source(here('R/funcs.R'))

load(file = here('data/sgmodsum.RData'))

load(file = here('tabs/supptempfittab.RData'))

load(file = here('tabs/suppsalifittab.RData'))

load(file = here('tabs/supp1mixtab.RData'))

load(file = here('tabs/supp2mixtab.RData'))

load(file = here('tabs/supp1daytab.RData'))

load(file = here('tabs/supp2daytab.RData'))

load(file = here('tabs/suppepcmod1tab.RData'))

load(file = here('tabs/suppepcmod2tab.RData'))

load(file = here('tabs/suppfimmodtab.RData'))

load(file = here('tabs/supppincomodtab.RData'))

```

## Figures {.unnumbered}

{#fig-suppmeteowqraw}

{{< pagebreak >}}

{#fig-suppfimtrnds}

{{< pagebreak >}}

{#fig-supppincotrnds}

{{< pagebreak >}}

{#fig-suppkendall}

{{< pagebreak >}}

{#fig-supgamex}

{{< pagebreak >}}

{#fig-suppmixeff}

{{< pagebreak >}}

{#fig-suppsgmod3}

{{< pagebreak >}}

## Tables {.unnumbered}

```{r}

#| tbl-cap: "Summary statistics for Generalized Additive Model fits to bottom water temperature data at all stations in Tampa Bay monitored by the Environmental Protection Commission of Hillsborough County. Models were fit on monthly data from 1975 to 2022 using decimal year as the single predictor. Fit statistics are Akaike Information Criterion (AIC), Generalized Cross-Validation (GCV) scores, and R-squared values of observed to predicted. OTB: Old Tampa Bay, HB: Hillsborough Bay, MTB: Middle Tampa Bay, LTB: Lower Tampa Bay."

#| label: tbl-supptempfittab

supptempfittab

```

{{< pagebreak >}}

```{r}

#| tbl-cap: "Summary statistics for Generalized Additive Model fits to bottom salinity data at all stations in Tampa Bay monitored by the Environmental Protection Commission of Hillsborough County. Models were fit on monthly data from 1975 to 2022 using decimal year as the single predictor. Fit statistics are Akaike Information Criterion (AIC), Generalized Cross-Validation (GCV) scores, and R-squared values of observed to predicted. OTB: Old Tampa Bay, HB: Hillsborough Bay, MTB: Middle Tampa Bay, LTB: Lower Tampa Bay."

#| label: tbl-suppsalifittab

suppsalifittab

```

{{< pagebreak >}}

Table S3: Summary of mixed-effects models evaluating increases in the number of days each year from 1975 to 2022 when bottom temperature or salinity were above or below critical thresholds, respectively. The slope estimates in the "Both" column indicate trends in the number of days when both temperature and salinity were above or below critical thresholds. - no model. OTB: Old Tampa Bay, HB: Hillsborough Bay, MTB: Middle Tampa Bay, LTB: Lower Tampa Bay.

```{r}

supp1mixtab

```

{{< pagebreak >}}

Table S4: Summary of mixed-effects models evaluating increases in the number of days each year from 1998 to 2022 when bottom temperature or salinity were above or below critical thresholds, respectively. The slope estimates in the "Both" column indicate trends in the number of days when both temperature and salinity were above or below critical thresholds. - no model. OTB: Old Tampa Bay, HB: Hillsborough Bay, MTB: Middle Tampa Bay, LTB: Lower Tampa Bay.

```{r}

supp2mixtab

```

{{< pagebreak >}}

Table S5: Number of days at the beginning and end of the period of record when bottom temperature or salinity were above or below critical thresholds, respectively. Values are the estimated mean number of days (plus standard error) from 1975 to 2022. Columns for "Both" indicate the estimated number of days when both temperature and salinity were above or below critical thresholds. - no model. OTB: Old Tampa Bay, HB: Hillsborough Bay, MTB: Middle Tampa Bay, LTB: Lower Tampa Bay.

```{r}

supp1daytab

```

{{< pagebreak >}}

Table S6: Number of days at the beginning and end of the period of record when bottom temperature or salinity were above or below critical thresholds, respectively. Values are the estimated mean number of days (plus standard error) from 1998 to 2022. Columns for "Both" indicate the estimated number of days when both temperature and salinity were above or below critical thresholds. - no model. OTB: Old Tampa Bay, HB: Hillsborough Bay, MTB: Middle Tampa Bay, LTB: Lower Tampa Bay.

```{r}

supp2daytab

```

{{< pagebreak >}}

```{r}

#| label: tbl-suppepcmod1tab

suppepcmod1tab

```

{{< pagebreak >}}

```{r}

#| label: tbl-suppepcmod2tab

suppepcmod2tab

```

{{< pagebreak >}}

```{r}

#| label: tbl-suppfimmodtab

suppfimmodtab

```

{{< pagebreak >}}

```{r}

#| label: tbl-supppincomodtab

supppincomodtab

```