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Opinion polling for the 2025 Czech parliamentary election

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Opinion polling for the 2025 Czech parliamentary election started immediately after the 2021 parliamentary election.

Polling aggregations

[edit]

The following table displays the most recent aggregations of polling results from different organisations

Vote share

[edit]
Organisation Last update SPOLU ANO STAN Piráti SPD Tricolour SOCDEM KSČM[a] Z PRO Lead
ODS KDU–ČSL
Seznam Zprávy 17 September 2024 20.5 32.1 9.4 8.0 7.1 7.2 2.9 4.6 11.6
Politico 11 October 2024 13.0 3.0 33.0 11.0 6.0 8.0 1.0 2.0 6.0 3.0 4.0 1.0 2.0 20.0
Europe Elects October 2024 13.3 3.0 4.3 32.8 11.2 6.6 7.5 1.9 3.2 4.5 1.8 19.5
Programy do voleb 17 November 2024 13.7 3.4 3.8 34.5 11.0 7.0 7.1 0.4 0.7 2.6 3.2 2.5 4.2 1.5 0.8 19.8

Seat projection

[edit]
Polling firm Last update SPOLU ANO STAN Piráti SPD Tricolour SOCDEM KSČM[a] Z PRO Gov. Opp. Lead
ODS KDU–ČSL
Programy do voleb 8 November 2024 34 0 0 104 28 16 18 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 78 122 70
Mandáty.cz 7 December 2024 47 83 25 15 16 14 0 0 87 113 36
33–60 70–96 18–35 0–22 0–24 0–21 0–9 0–15 10–63

Party and election coalition polling

[edit]

The polls in this section are done by individual party.

Graphical summary

[edit]
Local regression graph of polls conducted since the 2021 election by party

Polls

[edit]
Polling firm Fieldwork
date
Sample
size
SPOLU ANO STAN Piráti SPD Tricolour SOCDEM KSČM[a] Z PRO Others Lead Gov. Opp. Others
ODS KDU–ČSL
16 Nov 2024 Communist Party of Bohemia and Moravia announces it will lead the Stačilo! list.[1]
NMS 5 – 12 Nov 2024 1,306 10.0 2.8 3.8 35.3 11.1 5.7 7.0 0.7 2.4 3.0 4.4 3.3 5.8 1.8 1.8 1.1 24.2 33.4 42.3 24.3
Phoenix Research 1 – 10 Nov 2024 1,078 16.0 4.4 4.3 32.4 9.9 4.7 10.6 4.5 1.8 6.2 1.0 4.2 16.4 39.3 43.0 17.8
STEM 31 Oct – 8 Nov 2024 1,081 21.1 33.7 8.4 5.9 8.9 0.6 2.1 2.6 4.1 3.0 5.5 2.4 1.1 0.6 12.6 29.5 48.5 22.0
Kantar CZ 21 Oct – 8 Nov 2024 1,200 21.0 37.0 12.0 7.0 7.0 2.5 2.0 3.5 2.0 6.0 16.0 33.0 51.0 16.0
15.0 4.0 3.0 37.0 11.5 7.0 7.0 2.5 2.0 3.5 2.0 5.5 22.0 33.5 51.0 15.5
Median 1 – 31 Oct 2024 1,018 12.0 3.5 4.0 33.5 11.0 6.5 5.0 3.5 6.0 3.0 5.0 2.0 3.0 21.5 30.5 45.0 24.5
28 Oct 2024 The leaders of ODS, KDU-ČSL and TOP 09 sign an agreement to run in the next election as SPOLU again.[2]
STEM 2 – 11 Oct 2024 1,093 14.2 2.7 3.7 32.1 10.6 5.9 9.4 1.1 1.6 4.6 3.2 2.6 5.3 1.1 1.9 17.9 37.1 41.5 21.4
Kantar CZ 30 Sep – 11 Oct 2024 1,019 14.5 3.5 4.5 35.5 13.0 5.0 6.5 2.0 3.0 2.5 2.5 3.0 4.5 21.0 40.5 42.0 17.5
NMS 4 – 9 Oct 2024 1,301 12.2 2.7 3.8 32.9 12.0 6.8 7.5 4.3 3.6 2.9 4.6 2.0 4.7 20.7 37.5 40.4 22.1
1 Oct 2024 Czech Pirate Party leaves the Government.
Median 1 – 30 Sep 2024 1,020 11.5 2.0 4.5 33.0 11.0 8.5 7.0 4.5 3.5 4.0 4.5 2.0 2.0 2.0 21.5 37.5 40.0 22.5
NMS 3 – 10 Sep 2024 1,297 11.3 1.9 4.5 32.1 9.2 7.8 7.7 1.1 2.3 5.2 5.5 2.5 4.5 2.2 1.1 5.2 20.8 32.8 39.8 27.4
STEM 29 Aug – 8 Sep 2024 1,095 14.9 3.5 5.6 33.4 6.8 7.8 7.4 1.0 1.8 3.3 2.6 2.8 4.6 2.7 1.0 0.9 18.5 38.6 40.8 20.6
Phoenix Research[b] 1 – 8 Sep 2024 1,005 14.8 5.4 4.2 26.5 6.4 8.3 7.0 5.1 1.4 5.1 1.0 14.8 11.7 33.5 39.1 27.4
Median 1 – 31 Aug 2024 1,011 13.0 3.5 4.5 32.5 9.5 9.5 11.0 3.5 2.0 3.5 2.0 2.0 2.5 19.5 40.0 43.5 16.5
NMS 1 – 8 Aug 2024 1,291 14.3 2.4 4.7 29.3 9.6 8.0 6.0 1.0 1.7 4.6 4.1 2.8 5.7 2.3 1.5 2.0 15.0 39.0 35.3 25.7
Median 1 – 31 July 2024 1,013 14.0 2.5 4.0 33.0 9.0 8.0 8.0 2.0 5.0 3.5 4.0 2.5 2.0 2.5 19.0 37.5 41.0 21.5
Phoenix Research[b] Jul 2024 ? 14.5 3.8 5.5 26.9 7.2 7.7 5.8 4.1 24.5 12.4 38.7 32.7 28.6
NMS 4 – 12 Jul 2024 1,307 11.3 3.2 5.2 28.2 10.1 9.1 6.9 1.2 3.2 7.2 3.2 5.6 1.6 1.4 2.6 16.9 38.9 35.0 26.1
Median 1 – 30 Jun 2024 1,003 12.0 4.5 5.0 30.5 9.0 10.5 8.5 5.0 2.5 4.5 2.0 1.5 4.5 18.5 41.0 39.0 20.0
Kantar CZ 10 – 21 Jun 2024 1,035 16.0 3.0 4.0 34.0 8.5 9.0 6.0 2.5 4.5 2.5 3.0 2.5 4.5 18.0 42.5 40.5 17.0
2024 European Parliament Election 7–8 Jun 2024 N/A 22.3 26.1 8.7 6.2 5.7 1.8 10.3 1.9 9.6 1.6 2.2 2.9 3.8 37.2 31.8 31.0
STEM Jun 2024 1,609 14.8 2.5 4.5 32.9 6.8 8.7 7.3 1.7 2.0 3.7 2.7 2.5 5.1 2.0 1.9 0.9 18.1 37.3 40.2 22.5
Median 6 – 31 May 2024 1,031 14.5 2.0 5.5 33.0 8.5 10.0 7.5 1.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 1.5 3.0 2.0 18.5 40.5 40.5 19.0
Sanep 15–23 May 2024 2,300 10.4 2.2 3.9 32.1 6.5 11.1 10.1 4.0 3.8 3.7 3.3 6.1 2.8 21.0 34.1 42.2 23.7
Kantar CZ 22 Apr – 10 May 2024 1,008 15.5 3.5 5.0 32.0 7.5 11.0 9.0 3.5 3.0 2.5 2.5 5.0 16.5 42.5 41.0 16.5
Sanep 18–24 Apr 2024 1,900 12.1 1.8 4.1 32.6 5.8 10.7 10.3 3.6 3.2 3.1 3.8 5.8 3.1 20.5 34.5 42.9 22.6
Median 5 Mar – 3 Apr 2024 1,041 14.0 3.5 3.5 32.0 6.0 10.5 7.0 2.0 3.5 4.5 4.5 3.0 4.0 2.0 18.0 37.5 39.0 23.5
Kantar CZ 18 Mar – 5 Apr 2024 1,015 16.0 3.0 4.5 34.5 6.5 10.5 8.0 2.5 2.5 3.0 3.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 18.5 40.5 42.5 17.0
Sanep 25–31 Mar 2024 1,700 10.1 1.5 4.2 33.5 7.1 11.3 11.1 3.5 3.4 2.3 3.5 5.3 3.2 21.6 34.2 44.6 21.2
STEM 15–25 Mar 2024 1,096 14.5 3.1 5.2 32.9 6.6 10.5 9.3 0.8 1.9 2.8 3.6 4.5 2.1 1.9 0.4 18.4 41.3 42.2 17.6
Median 1 Feb – 4 Mar 2024 1006 12.5 3.0 5.5 31.0 9.0 11.0 9.5 3.0 4.5 4.0 2.0 2.0 3.0 18.5 41.0 40.5 18.5
Kantar CZ 12 Feb – 1 Mar 2024 1,015 14.5 2.0 5.0 38.5 7.0 9.5 9.0 2.5 2.5 9.5 24.0 38.0 47.5 14.5
Sanep 22–28 Feb 2024 1,560 10.3 1.6 4.4 33.1 6.4 11.2 11.5 3.7 3.5 2.5 3.2 5.5 3.1 21.6 33.9 44.6 21.5
Kantar CZ 15 Jan – 2 Feb 2024 1,013 15.5 3.5 5.0 35.0 6.5 9.5 9.5 2.5 3.5 4.0 3.0 2.5 19.5 40.0 44.5 15.5
Median 15 Jan – 1 Feb 2024 1019 12.0 3.0 5.5 31.5 7.0 13.0 10.5 3.0 4.0 4.5 1.5 3.0 1.5 18.5 40.5 42.0 16.0
Sanep 22–29 Jan 2024 1,427 10.5 1.7 4.3 33.4 6.1 10.5 11.7 2.7 3.6 2.4 2.9 5.3 4.9 21.7 33.1 45.1 21.8
STEM 18 – 27 Jan 2024 1,092 13.2 2.7 5.0 33.4 7.0 11.3 10.0 1.4 1.7 2.6 3.1 4.8 2.5 0.7 0.5 20.2 39.2 43.4 17.4
Median 29 Nov – 30 Dec 2023 988 13.0 2.5 6.0 35.0 6.5 10.5 9.0 2.5 4.5 4.5 1.5 2.5 2.0 22.0 38.5 44.0 17.5
Sanep 23–29 Nov 2023 1,756 11.3 2.6 4.7 33.0 5.8 9.9 11.2 2.7 2.6 2.8 3.1 5.8 5.1 21.7 34.3 44.2 21.5
STEM Nov 2023 1,097 11.6 3.5 5.2 33.2 6.4 10.2 12.0 1.2 2.3 2.9 4.5 3.0 1.6 1.9 0.4 21.2 36.9 45.2 17.8
Sanep 19–25 Oct 2023 1,826 11.6 3.6 4.7 33.1 5.6 8.9 10.3 2.4 2.7 3.1 2.9 5.2 5.3 21.5 34.4 43.4 22.2
Kantar CZ 16 Oct – 3 Nov 2023 1,200 15.5 2.5 4.5 32.5 7.0 10.5 10.5 2.5 3.5 3.5 2.0 5.5 17.0 40.0 43.0 17.0
Median 3 – 31 Oct 2023 1,016 13.5 3.5 6.0 35.0 6.0 9.0 10.5 3.0 3.5 3.0 1.5 2.5 3.0 21.5 38.0 45.5 16.5
Median 5 Sep – 2 Oct 2023 1,017 13.0 4.0 5.5 34.0 6.5 11.5 9.5 4.0 4.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 21.0 40.5 43.5 16.0
Sanep 21–27 Sep 2023 1,632 11.8 3.7 4.6 32.9 5.2 9.1 10.2 2.2 2.8 2.7 3.2 5.7 5.9 21.1 34.4 43.1 22.5
Kantar CZ 11–29 Sep 2023 982 12.0 3.5 5.0 33.5 7.5 8.5 9.5 3.0 4.0 3.5 3.0 2.0 3.0 2.0 21.5 36.5 43 20.5
STEM 7–17 Sep 2023 1,123 13.1 5.0 5.4 30.8 5.3 9.6 10.9 1.1 2.8 3.2 4.0 4.3 2.7 1.2 0.6 17.7 38.4 41.7 19.9
Median 1 Jul – 8 Aug 2023 1,019 15.0 4.0 5.5 33.0 6.5 12.0 8.0 3.0 5.0 3.0 1.5 1.5 1.5 18.0 43.0 41.0 15.5
Median 12–30 Jun 2023 1,007 14.0 2.0 5.0 35.5 5.5 11.0 10.0 2.5 2.5 4.0 2.5 2.5 1.5 1.5 21.5 37.5 45.5 17.0
Kantar CZ 15 May – 2 Jun 2023 962 17.0 4.0 3.5 33.5 6.5 11.5 8.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 2.0 2.0 3.0 16.5 42.5 41.5 16.0
Median 1 May – 2 Jun 2023 1,012 15.0 4.0 5.5 34.5 6.0 10.5 8.5 2.5 2.0 4.0 3.5 4.0 19.5 41.0 43.0 16.0
STEM 18–29 May 2023 1,141 14.6 3.4 4.7 33.5 5.8 10.8 9.3 1.4 2.2 2.9 4.1 3.8 2.3 1.2 0.2 18.9 39.3 42.8 18.1
Kantar CZ 17 Apr – 5 May 2023 981 17.0 5.0 5.0 30.5 6.0 11.0 9.0 2.5 5.5 2.5 2.0 2.0 2.0 13.5 44.0 39.5 16.5
Median 1 Apr – 2 May 2023 1,015 15.0 5.5 4.5 31.0 7.5 10.5 8.5 1.5 2.0 4.0 4.0 2.0 4.0 16.0 43.0 39.5 17.5
Sanep 20 – 26 Apr 2023 1,543 13.2 3.8 4.2 33.5 4.7 10.1 9.4 6.7 14.4 20.3 36.0 42.9 21.5
Phoenix Research[b] Apr 2023 14.2 3.1 5.3 31.5 7.8 8.9 9.6 1.6 5.2 12.8 17.3 39.3 41.1 19.6
Kantar CZ 20 Mar – 6 Apr 2023 970 20.0 3.0 4.0 29.5 5.5 11.0 8.0 3.5 5.0 2.5 3.0 5.0 9.5 43.5 37.5 19.0
Median 2 Mar – 3 Apr 2023 1,006 15.5 4.0 5.0 34.5 8.0 8.5 10.0 3.0 2.0 4.0 3.0 2.0 1.5 19.0 41.0 44.5 15.5
Sanep 23 – 29 Mar 2023 1,432 13.3 4.1 3.4 33.1 4.3 9.9 9.6 6.4 15.9 19.8 35.0 42.7 22.3
Median 12 Feb – 7 Mar 2023 1,011 14.5 3.5 5.0 32.0 7.0 11.5 9.5 1.5 2.5 5.0 3.5 2.0 2.5 17.5 41.5 41.5 17.0
Kantar CZ 13 Feb – 3 Mar 2023 951 21.5 4.0 5.0 29.5 7.0 9.0 8.5 2.5 4.5 2.0 6.5 8.0 46.5 38.0 15.5
Phoenix[b] Feb – Mar 2023 1,022 14.1 5.8 6.5 27.6 5.6 8.9 9.5 2.2 1.2 4.3 14.3 13.5 40.9 37.1 22.0
Sanep 9–12 Feb 2023 1,536 13.5 3.1 3.9 32.7 4.6 7.9 9.3 3.0 6.1 15.9 19.2 33.0 42.0 25.0
STEM 29 Nov – 5 Dec 2022 2,005 13.9 4.9 4.6 30.8 6.4 9.4 12.4 4.0 4.2 9.5 16.9 39.2 43.2 17.7
Kantar CZ 17 Oct – 4 Nov 2022 1,200 21.5 3.5 5.5 26.5 6.0 11.5 11.0 2.0 2.5 3.5 2.5 4.0 5.0 48.0 37.5 14.5
Median 1–31 Oct 2022 1,005 13.5 6.0 5.0 31.5 5.5 11.0 12.0 1.5 2.0 5.5 2.0 2.0 2.5 18.0 41.0 43.5 15.5
Kantar CZ 12–30 Sep 2022 997 18.0 6.0 4.0 29.5 7.5 9.0 11.5 4.0 2.5 2.0 2.0 4.0 11.5 44.5 41.0 14.5
Median 1–30 Sep 2022 1,010 16.0 2.5 6.0 30.5 5.5 11.0 11.5 2.0 3.0 4.5 2.5 2.0 2.5 14.5 41.0 42.0 16.5
Sanep 8–14 Sep 2022 1,678 13.1 3.4 3.9 29.9 4.5 7.4 12.6 3.5 5.3 16.4 15.7 32.3 42.5 25.2
STEM 1–8 Sep 2022 2,003 14.2 4.5 5.0 30.0 5.0 9.4 14.3 3.5 4.0 10.1 15.7 38.1 44.3 17.6
Kantar CZ 15 Aug – 2 Sep 2022 893 19.5 4.0 4.5 30.5 6.5 8.5 11.0 2.0 3.0 3.0 3.5 4.0 11.0 43.0 41.5 15.5
Median 1 – 31 Aug 2022 1,005 16.0 3.5 3.5 29.0 4.0 11.5 14.0 2.0 3.5 5.0 3.5 2.0 2.5 13.0 38.5 43.0 18.5
Sanep 25–30 Aug 2022 1,632 13.9 3.6 3.4 31.1 4.2 7.2 13.1 3.1 3.9 16.5 17.2 32.3 44.2 23.5
STEM 4 – 11 Aug 2022 2,093 15.5 3.4 5.6 31.1 5.5 9.3 11.9 4.8 3.4 9.6 15.6 39.3 43.0 17.8
Median 8 Jul – 2 Aug 2022 1,005 15.5 4.5 5.0 30.0 5.5 10.5 12.5 2.5 3.0 5.0 2.5 2.0 1.5 14.5 41.0 42.5 16.5
Median 20 Jun – 4 Jul 2022 1,543 16.1 4.6 5.2 29.0 4.8 11.8 12.5 1.6 2.2 5.6 2.8 1.8 1.8 12.9 42.5 41.5 15.8
Sanep 23–27 Jun 2022 1,543 16.1 4.1 3.1 29.2 4.9 5.7 13.7 3.5 3.0 16.7 13.1 33.9 42.9 23.2
Kantar CZ 16 May – 2 Jun 2022 962 22.5 3.5 4.0 28.0 6.5 8.5 11.0 2.0 4.5 2.5 2.0 5.0 5.5 45.0 39.0 16.0
Median 1 May – 2 Jun 2022 1,018 16.5 4.5 4.5 28.5 8.5 9.0 11.5 2.5 3.0 5.5 3.0 3.0 12.0 43.0 40.0 17.0
Sanep 26–30 May 2022 1,429 19.6 4.0 3.3 30.1 7.8 4.6 14.3 3.6 2.3 1.0 9.4 10.5 39.3 44.4 16.3
Kantar CZ 8–29 Apr 2022 1,200 26.0 4.5 3.0 27.5 10.0 5.0 11.0 3.0 2.5 2.0 2.0 3.5 1.0 48.5 38.5 13.0
Sanep 13–20 Apr 2022 1,631 19.8 3.9 6.2 28.1 8.7 4.8 12.9 3.3 2.6 0.8 8.9 8.3 43.4 41.0 15.6
Kantar CZ 14 Mar – 1 Apr 2022 1,200 22.5 4.0 5.0 27.5 10.0 7.5 9.5 2.0 3.5 2.5 2.5 3.5 5.0 49.0 37.0 14.0
Sanep 10–16 Mar 2022 1,673 19.1 4.8 6.5 27.9 9.8 5.1 12.7 3.4 3.0 0.9 6.8 8.8 45.3 40.6 14.1
Kantar CZ 14 Feb – 4 Mar 2022 1,200 21.0 5.5 6.5 25.0 11.0 7.5 11.5 3.0 3.0 2.0 4.0 4.0 51.5 36.5 12.0
Sanep 24–28 Feb 2022 1,673 17.3 4.6 6.4 28.7 9.5 5.2 11.2 2.1 3.7 2.4 1.2 7.7 11.4 43.0 39.9 17.1
Phoenix[c] Feb 2022 1,066 15.4 6.5 5.1 26.4 10.3 7.1 7.5 11.0 44.4 33.9 21.7
Sanep 20–26 Jan 2022 1,839 14.7 4.1 6.0 29.1 9.2 5.4 11.3 1.8 4.2 3.2 1.2 6.9 14.4 39.4 40.4 17.3
Sanep 18–24 Nov 2021 1,912 14.1 4.3 6.2 27.6 10.7 7.6 9.9 3.2 5.1 3.8 1.0 6.5 13.5 42.9 35.2 19.6
Kantar CZ 1–19 Nov 2021 935 15.5 3.5 7.0 27.0 13.0 8.0 9.5 2.5 2.5 4.0 3.5 4.0 11.5 47.0 36.5 16.5
2021 legislative election 8–9 Oct 2021 N/A 27.8 27.1 15.6 9.6 2.8 4.7 N/A 4.7 3.6 1.0 N/A 2.9 0.7 43.4 36.7 19.7

Seat projections

[edit]

The Czech Chamber of Deputies has 200 seats, 101 seats are needed for a majority.

Polling firm Fieldwork
date
ODS KDU–ČSL ANO STAN Piráti SPD SOC DEM KSČM Tricolour Z PRO Lead Gov. Opp.
Median 1 – 31 Oct 2024 30 0 0 85 27 16 13 0 16 0 13 0 0 0 0 55 57 143
Median 1 – 30 Sep 2024 34 0 0 86 30 25 25 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 52 89 111
Median 1 – 31 Aug 2024 34 0 0 86 25 25 30 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 52 84 116
Median 1 – 31 July 2024 35 0 0 85 24 21 21 14 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 50 80 120
Median 1 – 30 Jun 2024 30 0 13 74 22 26 22 13 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 44 91 109
Kantar CZ 10 – 21 Jun 2024 43 0 0 95 18 25 19 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 52 86 114
Median 6 – 31 May 2024 31 0 15 79 24 29 22 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 48 99 101
Kantar CZ 22 Apr – 10 May 2024 41 0 0 96 15 26 22 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 55 82 118
Median 5 Apr – 2 May 2024 35 0 0 89 22 27 27 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 54 84 116
Median 5 Mar – 3 Apr 2024 41 0 0 92 17 30 20 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 51 88 112
Median 1 Feb – 4 Mar 2024 31 0 15 79 22 29 24 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 48 97 103
Kantar CZ 12 Feb – 1 Mar 2024 35 0 9 95 15 24 22 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 60 83 117
Median 15 Jan – 1 Feb 2024 30 0 14 79 17 33 27 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 46 94 106
Median 29 Nov – 30 Dec 2023 33 0 15 87 15 27 23 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 54 90 110
Median 3 – 31 Oct 2023 35 0 15 87 15 23 27 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 50 86 114
Median 5 Sep – 2 Oct 2023 35 0 13 85 16 29 24 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 50 91 109
Median 1 Jul – 8 Aug 2023 35 0 12 77 16 29 19 0 0 12 0 0 0 0 0 42 92 108
Median 12–30 Jun 2023 37 0 14 87 15 26 21 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 50 92 108
Median 1 May – 2 Jun 2023 37 0 14 87 15 26 21 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 50 92 108
Kantar CZ 17 Apr – 5 May 2023 49 0 0 81 14 25 20 0 0 11 0 0 0 0 0 32 88 112
Median 2 Mar – 3 Apr 2023 38 0 12 85 20 21 24 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 47 91 109
STEM 1–18 Sep 2022 37 0 11 82 11 22 37 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 45 81 119
2021 legislative election 8–9 Oct 2021 71 72 37 20 0 N/A 0 0 0 0 1 108 92
34 23 14 72 33 4 20 0 0 0 0 0 0 38

Hypothetical scenarios

[edit]

European Parliament election coalitions

[edit]

The polls in this section took place following the 2024 European Parliament elections. The SPOLU coalition was reformed; Přísaha joined with the Motorists; KSČM created the Stačilo! coalition; SPD and Tricolour formed a joint list.

Polling firm Fieldwork
date
Sample
size
SPOLU ANO STAN Piráti PRO SPD Tricolour SOC DEM Stačilo! Z Others Lead
ODS KDU–ČSL
SANEP 5 – 11 Sep 2024 2,250 19.5 30.2 8.4 7.1 13.8 1.5 6.5 2.5 5.9 2.0 2.6 10.5
2024 regional elections 20–21 Sep 2024 N/A 24.4 35.4 13.7 3.9 6.5 0.3 2.0 3.5 6.2 1.0 3.1 11.0
NMS 1–8 Aug 2024 1,291 21.4 29.3 9.6 8.0 8.5 1.7 8.7 2.8 5.7 2.3 2.0 7.9
2024 European Parliament Election 7–8 Jun 2024 N/A 22.3 26.1 8.7 6.2 2.2 5.7 1.8 10.3 1.9 9.6 1.6 2.9 3.8
2021 legislative election 8–9 Oct 2021 N/A 27.8 27.1 15.6 N/A 9.6 2.8 4.7 N/A 4.7 3.6 1.0 2.9 0.7

Polls including SPOLU

[edit]

The polls in this section took place after the Pirates and Mayors alliance, which ran in the 2021 election, ruled out working together at the next election.[3] They show the polls if the ODS, KDU-ČSL and TOP 09 join to continue the SPOLU alliance that contested the 2021 election and came in first place, over ANO. These polls took place prior to the announcement SPOLU would be recreated in the next election.

Polling firm Fieldwork
date
Sample
size
SPOLU ANO STAN Piráti SPD SOC DEM KSČM Tricolour–S–S Z PRO Others Lead
ODS KDU–ČSL Tricolour
Kantar CZ 30 Sep – 11 Oct 2024 1,019 20.0 36.5 14.0 5.0 7.0 3.0 2.5 3.0 2.0 2.5 4.5 16.5
Kantar CZ 10 – 21 Jun 2024 1,035 22.5 34.5 8.5 9.0 6.0 4.5 2.5 3.0 2.5 2.5 4.5 12.0
Kantar CZ 22 Apr – 10 May 2024 1,008 22.5 32.5 7.5 11.0 9.0 3.5 3.0 2.5 2.5 6.0 10.0
Kantar CZ 18 Mar – 5 Apr 2024 1,015 21.5 35.5 6.5 11.0 8.0 2.5 3.0 3.0 2.5 2.0 2.0 2.5 14.0
Kantar CZ 12 Feb – 1 Mar 2024 1,015 20.0 39.0 7.5 10.0 9.0 2.5 2.5 2.0 2.0 5.5 19.0
Kantar CZ 15 Jan – 2 Feb 2024 1,013 22.5 35.5 7.0 10.0 10.0 3.5 4.0 3.0 2.5 2.0 13.0
Kantar CZ 16 Oct – 3 Nov 2023 1,200 21.5 33.0 7.0 10.5 10.5 2.5 3.5 3.5 2.0 6.0 11.5
Kantar CZ 11–29 Sep 2023 982 19.5 33.5 7.5 8.5 9.5 4.0 3.5 3.0 3.0 2.0 3.0 3.0 14.0
Kantar CZ 15 May – 2 Jun 2023 955 24.0 33.5 6.0 11.5 8.0 2.5 3.5 3.5 2.5 2.0 3.0 9.5
Kantar CZ 17 Apr – 5 May 2023 964 25.0 31.0 6.5 11.5 9.5 2.5 5.5 2.5 2.0 2.0 2.0 6.0
Kantar CZ 20 Mar – 6 Apr 2023 951 27.5 29.5 5.5 10.5 8.0 3.5 5.0 2.5 3.0 5.0 2.0
2021 legislative election 8–9 Oct 2021 N/A 27.8 27.1 15.6 9.6 4.7 4.7 3.6 2.8 1.0 N/A N/A 2.9 0.7

Polls including SPOLU and PirSTAN

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The polls in this section include both the SPOLU alliance and the Pirates and Mayors alliance.

Graphical summary

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Local regression graph of polls conducted since the 2021 election by coalition, with SPOLU and PirSTAN

Polls

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Polling firm Fieldwork
date
Sample
size
SPOLU ANO Pirates and Mayors SPD ČSSD KSČM Tricolour–S–S Z PRO Others Lead
ODS KDU–ČSL STAN Piráti Tricolour
Kantar CZ 13 Feb – 3 Mar 2023 951 31.0 30.5 13.0 9.0 2.5 5.0 2.0 7.0 0.5
Kantar CZ 17 Oct – 4 Nov 2022 1,200 31.5 28.0 14.0 11.5 2.5 4.0 3.0 2.0 3.5 3.5
Kantar CZ 12–30 Sep 2022 997 28.5 31.5 12.0 12.0 4.0 2.5 2.0 2.0 5.0 3.0
Kantar CZ 15 Aug – 2 Sep 2022 893 29.0 32.0 10.0 11.0 3.5 3.5 4.0 7.0 3.0
Kantar CZ 16 May – 2 Jun 2022 962 28.5 29.5 12.5 11.5 2.5 5.0 2.5 2.5 5.5 1.0
Kantar CZ 8–29 Apr 2022 1,200 33.5 28.5 11.5 11.0 3.0 4.0 2.0 2.0 4.5 5.0
Kantar CZ 14 Mar – 4 Apr 2022 1,200 31.5 29.0 15.5 9.5 4.0 3.0 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5
Median 1 Mar – 1 Apr 2022 1,159 26.5 27.5 16.5 10.0 3.0 5.5 4.0 3.0 4.0 1.0
Kantar CZ 14 Feb – 4 Mar 2022 1,200 32.5 27.5 14.5 12.0 3.5 3.0 2.0 3.0 2.0 5.0
Median 1 Nov – 2 Dec 2021 1,073 26.0 29.5 16.5 8.5 4.0 4.5 4.5 3.0 3.5 3.5
Kantar CZ 1–19 Nov 2021 935 28.0 28.0 17.0 9.5 3.5 4.0 3.5 3.5 3.0 Tie
2021 legislative election 8–9 Oct 2021 N/A 27.8 27.1 15.6 9.6 4.7 4.7 3.6 2.8 1.0 N/A 2.9 0.7

Seat projections

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Polling firm Fieldwork
date
SPOLU ANO Pirates and Mayors SPD ČSSD KSČM Tricolour–S–S Z Lead
ODS KDU–ČSL STAN Piráti Tricolour
Kantar CZ 12 Feb – 1 Mar 2024 49 93 14 23 21 0 9 0 0 0 0 44
Kantar CZ 17 Apr – 5 May 2023 63 75 13 22 18 0 9 0 0 0 0 12
Kantar CZ 1–19 Nov 2021 71 71 38 20 0 0 0 0 0 Tie
2021 legislative election 8–9 Oct 2021 71 72 37 20 0 0 0 0 0 1
34 23 14 72 33 4 20 0 0 0 0 0 0 38

Notes

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  1. ^ a b c Communist Party of Bohemia and Moravia until 17 October
  2. ^ a b c d 'Don't know' responses have been merged with 'Others' in this poll
  3. ^ Reporting of this poll is incomplete

References

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  1. ^ "Je rozhodnuto: komunisté podpoří STAČILO!". 16 November 2024. Retrieved 19 November 2024.
  2. ^ Svorník, Petr (28 October 2024). "Fiala, Pekarová a Výborný stvrdili společnou kandidátku, chtějí porazit „levicový populismus"". Novinky.cz (in Czech). Borgis. Retrieved 28 October 2024.
  3. ^ "Rakušan: Příště půjdeme do voleb bez Pirátů". Novinky.cz (in Czech). 6 November 2021. Retrieved 5 June 2023.