Wikipedia

Opinion polling for the 2024 Slovak presidential election

This page lists nationwide public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the 2024 Slovak presidential election. Poll results are listed in the tables below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading candidate's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. Poll results use the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication; however, if such date is unknown, the date of publication will be given instead.

Opinion polls for the first round

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Diagram

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Since nominations were closed

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Date Agency Ivan Korčok Peter Pellegrini Štefan Harabin Krisztián Forró Igor Matovič Ján Kubiš Patrik Dubovský Marian Kotleba Milan Náhlik Andrej Danko Róbert Švec
23 March 2024 First round election[1] 42.52% 37.03% 11.74% 2.91% 2.18% 2.04% 0.71% 0.57% 0.14% 0.08% 0.08%
23 March 2024

(Exit Poll)

RTVS Median[2] 34.9% 34.3% 15.0% 3.0% 4.5% 4.3% 0.5% 2.8% 0.5% — —
20 March 2024 Róbert Švec drops out and endorses Štefan Harabin (remains on ballot)[3]
16–19 March 2024 Ipsos[4] 36.3% 37.5% 13.1% 4.3% 3.6% 2.5% 1.1% 0.9% 0.1% — 0.8%
18 March 2024 Andrej Danko drops out and endorses Štefan Harabin (remains on ballot)[5]
13–18 March 2024 NMS[6] 36.0% 34.2% 16.0% 2.7% 4.0% 2.8% 0.9% 2.2% 0.2% 0.5% 0.5%
11–17 March 2024 Sanep[7] 33.1% 35.6% 12.0% 2.6% 5.2% 3.6% 1.9% 2.7% 0.5% 2.0% 0.8%
12–16 March 2024 Ipsos[4] 36.6% 37.4% 11.3% 2.8% 4.3% 2.4% — 1.8% 1.1% 0.9% —
7–13 March 2024 Median[8] 35.7% 34.2% 11.4% 2.7% 3.2% 3.2% 1.8% 2.3% 1.0% 2.3% 2.2%
7–11 March 2024 Focus[9] 33.1% 34.4% 12.7% 3.2% 4.7% 4.5% 1.5% 1.8% 0.4% 3.1% 0.6%
26–29 February 2024 Sanep[10] 32.7% 38.3% 10.2% 2.8% 5.8% 4.1% 1.3% 1.9% 0.6% 2.0% 0.3%
23–27 February 2024 Median[11] 36.0% 32.7% 11.2% 2.7% 4.9% 3.2% 2.0% 2.1% 1.1% 2.2% 1.9%
16–21 February 2024 Ipsos[12] 36.3% 40.2% 8.5% 3.0% 4.3% 3.4% 1.3% 1.7% — 1.1% —
14–21 February 2024 Focus[13] 34.0% 35.2% 11% 3.1% 5.0% 4.3% 1.3% 2.4% 0.5% 3.2% —
14–18 February 2024 NMS[14] 34.6% 35.8% 10% 2.2% 6.6% 4.8% 1.1% 2% 1.5% 1.3% —
5–12 February 2024 AKO[15] 37.2% 39.0% 8.1% 2.4% 4.8% 3.0% 1.9% 0.9% 0.6% 2.1% —

Before nominations were closed

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Date Agency Peter Pellegrini Ivan Korčok Maroš Žilinka Štefan Harabin Peter Weiss Robert Mistrík Marian Kotleba Ján Kubiš Miriam Lexmann Robert Fico Ján Drgonec Andrej Danko Krisztián Forró Ľudovít Ódor Jozef Banáš Milan Uhrík Boris Kollár Others
28 January 2024 Focus[16] 38.1% 35.6% — 10.9% — — — 4.9% — — — 3.3% 2.3% — — — — —
22–25 January 2024 Ipsos[17] 40.7% 38.2% — 8.0% — — 1.6% 2.1% — — — 1.7% 3.3% — — — — 3.3%
11–16 January 2024 AKO[18] 40.6% 37.7% — 8.0% — — — 3.1% — — 2.2% — 2.4% — — — — —
16 January 2024 NMS[19] 32.4% 33.0% — 11.0% — — — 4.3% — — 2.2% 1.8% 1.9% — — — — 4.1%
2 January 2024 SANEP[20] 43.9% 32.3% — 9.8% — — — 9.9% — — — 3.5% 0.6% — — — — —
13–18 December 2023 Ipsos[21] 25% 16% — 7% — — — 2% 2% — — — 2% — — — — —
13 November-17 December 2023 Median SK[22] 30.3% 23.3% 2.1% — — 3.2% — — 2.5% 15.2% — — — 4.9% 5.5% 4.2% 3.7% 5.1%
7–14 November 2023 AKO[23] 40.0% 30.4% — 8.9% — 3.6% — 5.8% 1.9% — — — — — — — — 9.5%
10 November 2023 Ipsos[24] 19% 14% 8% 8% — 3% — 2% — — — — — — — — — —
July 2023 Ipsos[25] 12% 11% 8% 7% — 3% — 3% 3% 13% — — 4% — — — — —
21–28 June 2023 Focus[26] 13% 10% 8% 4% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% — — — — — — — — —

Polls with Čaputová

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Date Agency Zuzana Čaputová Peter Pellegrini Robert Fico Štefan Harabin Milan Uhrík Maroš Žilinka Marian Kotleba Maroš Šefčovič Mikuláš Dzurinda Iveta Radičová Jozef Banáš Eduard Chmelár Andrej Kiska Boris Kollár Ivan Korčok Miroslav Lajčák Peter Weiss Robert Mistrík Others
26-29 February 2024 Sanep[10] 14% 20% 4.0% — — — — — — — — — — — 9.0% — — — 22.0%
14 March 2023 Ipsos[27] 30.0% — — 7.0% — 7.0% 3.0% — — — — — — — 6.0% — 3.0% 2.0% —
1–8 February 2023 Focus[28] 18.3% 6.0% 5.4% 2.5% 1.5% 1.5% 1.4% 1.4% 1.3% 1.3% 1.2% 1.2% 1.2% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% — — 52.7%

Opinion polls for the second round

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Diagram

 

Pellegrini vs Korčok

Date Agency Peter Pellegrini Ivan Korčok
6 April 2024 Second round election 53.1 46.9
6 April 2024
(Exit poll) 		Median SK[29] 48.9

51.1

30 March–2 April 2024 Ipsos[30] 49.9

50.1

28 March–2 April 2024 NMS[31] 48.3

51.7

28 March–2 April 2024 Focus[32] 50.8 49.2
28–31 March 2024 Median SK[33] 51.1 48.9
25–2 April 2024 SCIO[33] 45.01

54.99

23 March 2024 1st round of election
16–19 March 2024 Ipsos[4] 54.5 45.5
13–18 March 2024 NMS[6] 50.9 49.1
11–17 March 2024 Sanep[7] 54.9 45.1
12–16 March 2024 Ipsos[4] 53.4 46.6
7–13 March 2024 Median[8] 52.9 47.1
7–11 March 2024 Focus[9] 56 44
26-29 February 2024 Sanep[10] 54.1 45.9
23–27 February 2024 Median[11] 51.7 48.3
16–21 February 2024 Ipsos[12] 53.8 46.2
14–21 February 2024 Focus[13] 54.9 45.1
14–18 February 2024 NMS[14] 52.3 47.7
5–12 February 2024 AKO[15] 53.7 46.3
28 January 2024 Focus[16] 54.2 45.8
22–25 January 2024 Ipsos[17] 54.7 45.3
16 January 2024 NMS[19] 51.5 48.5
2 January 2024 Sanep[20] 58.1 41.9
15–22 November 2023 Focus[34] 60 40
13–18 December 2023 Ipsos[24] 48 27
10 November 2023 Ipsos[24] 40 26
6–13 September 2023 Focus[35] 58 42

Hypothetical polling

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The polls listed below include candidates who decided not to run, withdrawn from election or failed to advance to second round.

Pellegrini vs Harabin

Date Agency Peter Pellegrini Štefan Harabin
7–11 March 2024 Focus[9] 72.9 27.1
14–21 February 2024 Focus[13] 76.1 23.9
14–18 February 2024 NMS[36] 71.0 29.0
5–12 February 2024 AKO[15] 68.6 31.4
15–22 November 2023 Focus[34] 84 16
10 November 2023 Ipsos[24] 45 13

Korčok vs Harabin

Date Agency Ivan Korčok Štefan Harabin
7–11 March 2024 Focus[9] 56.1 43.9
14–21 February 2024 Focus[13] 62.8 37.2
14–18 February 2024 NMS[36] 59.8 40.2
5–12 February 2024 AKO[15] 63.1 36.9
15–22 November 2023 Focus[34] 67 33
6–13 September 2023 Focus[35] 63 37

Pellegrini vs Kubiš

Date Agency Peter Pellegrini Ján Kubiš
14–21 February 2024 Focus[13] 71.2 28.8
15–22 November 2023 Focus[34] 74 26
10 November 2023 Ipsos[24] 49 19

Korčok vs Kubiš

Date Agency Ivan Korčok Ján Kubiš
5–12 February 2024 AKO[15] 64.3 35.7
15–22 November 2023 Focus[34] 62 38
6–13 September 2023 Focus[35] 58 42

Kubiš vs Harabin

Date Agency Ján Kubiš Štefan Harabin
15–22 November 2023 Focus[34] 67 33
6–13 September 2023 Focus[35] 66 34

Pellegrini vs Matovič

Date Agency Peter Pellegrini Igor Matovič
16–21 February 2024 Ipsos[12] 80.6 19.4

Pellegrini vs Danko

Date Agency Peter Pellegrini Andrej Danko
16–21 February 2024 Ipsos[12] 83.6 16.4

Pellegrini vs Kotleba

Date Agency Peter Pellegrini Marian Kotleba
16–21 February 2024 Ipsos[12] 88.5 11.5

Korčok vs Matovič

Date Agency Ivan Korčok Igor Matovič
16–21 February 2024 Ipsos[12] 86.5 13.5

Korčok vs Danko

Date Agency Ivan Korčok Andrej Danko
16–21 February 2024 Ipsos[12] 66.9 33.1

Korčok vs Kotleba

Date Agency Ivan Korčok Marian Kotleba
16–21 February 2024 Ipsos[12] 79.9 20.1

Pellegrini vs Fico

Date Agency Peter Pellegrini Robert Fico
6–13 September 2023 Focus[35] 65 35

Pellegrini vs Mistrík

Date Agency Peter Pellegrini Robert Mistrík
10 November 2023 Ipsos[24] 42 18
6–13 September 2023 Focus[35] 68 32

Pellegrini vs Žilinka

Date Agency Peter Pellegrini Maroš Žilinka
10 November 2023 Ipsos[24] 51 18

Korčok vs Fico

Date Agency Ivan Korčok Robert Fico
6–13 September 2023 Focus[35] 50 50

Čaputová vs Fico

Date Agency Zuzana Čaputová Robert Fico
20 April 2023 Ipsos[37] 41 27

Čaputová vs Harabin

Date Agency Zuzana Čaputová Štefan Harabin
20 April 2023 Ipsos[37] 42 21

Čaputová vs Mistrík

Date Agency Zuzana Čaputová Robert Mistrík
20 April 2023 Ipsos[37] 36 13

Čaputová vs Pellegrini

Date Agency Zuzana Čaputová Peter Pellegrini
20 April 2023 Ipsos[37] 37 28

Čaputová vs Weiss

Date Agency Zuzana Čaputová Peter Weiss
20 April 2023 Ipsos[37] 39 16

Čaputová vs Žilinka

Date Agency Zuzana Čaputová Maroš Žilinka
20 April 2023 Ipsos[37] 39 21

Other polls

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Polling
firm 		Fieldwork
date 		Sample
size 		Question Answer Lead
Certainly
yes 		Maybe Certainly
no 		Don't know
Focus[38] 25–31
May 2022 		1,008 Would you vote for Zuzana Čaputová
in the presidential election? 		15% 31% 46% 8% 15%


Polling
firm 		Fieldwork
date 		Sample
size 		Question Answer Lead
Certainly
yes 		Probably
yes 		Probably
no 		Certainly
no
AKO[39] 20–23
Nov 2021 		1,000 Would you vote for Zuzana Čaputová
in the presidential election? 		44.9% 15.9% 8.4% 30.8% 14.1%

References

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  1. ^ "Voľby prezidenta SR - Voľby prezidenta Slovenskej republiky 2024". www.volbysr.sk. Retrieved 2024-03-24.
  2. ^ REFRESHER. "PRVÝ EXIT POLL MEDIANU: Medzi Pellegrinim a Korčokom je veľmi tesný rozdiel ( graf)". news.refresher.sk (in Slovak). Retrieved 2024-03-24.
  3. ^ "Róbert Švec odstúpil z boja o prezidentské kreslo". Štandard (in Slovak). Retrieved 2024-03-20.
  4. ^ a b c d Franková, Andrea (17 March 2024). "Lídrom oboch kôl prezidentských volieb by bol Peter Pellegrini". Správy RTVS (in Slovak). Retrieved 17 March 2024.
  5. ^ "Danko sa vzdal kandidatúry na prezidenta v prospech Harabina". Denník N (in Slovak). 18 March 2024. Retrieved 18 March 2024.
  6. ^ a b Tomečková, Nicol (20 March 2024). "Prezidentom by sa tesne stal Peter Pellegrini, ukazuje prieskum". Správy RTVS (in Slovak). Retrieved 20 March 2024.
  7. ^ a b "PRIESKUM krátko pred voľbami mieša karty: Prvé kolo tesné, v druhom jasný víťaz!". Topky.sk (in Slovak). 19 March 2024. Retrieved 19 March 2024.
  8. ^ a b "Korčok by vyhral prvé kolo, v druhom by ho však Pellegrini porazil (prezidentský prieskum)". domov.sme.sk (in Slovak). Retrieved 16 March 2024.
  9. ^ a b c d Kiššová, Katarína. "Exkluzívny prieskum: Prezidentské voľby by v oboch kolách vyhral Peter Pellegrini". tvnoviny.sk. Retrieved 15 March 2024.
  10. ^ a b c "Prieskum SANEP: Pellegrini naďalej vedie, zväčšuje svoj náskok pred Korčokom. Vo voľnom výbere by porazil aj Čaputovú". ta3. 7 March 2024. Retrieved 12 March 2024.
  11. ^ a b Tomečková, Nicol (1 March 2024). "Prvé kolo volieb by vyhral I. Korčok, v druhom by sa karta obrátila". Správy RTVS (in Slovak). Retrieved 1 March 2024.
  12. ^ a b c d e f g h "Ďalší predvolebný PRIESKUM: Pellegrini si drží prvenstvo, jasný by bol aj výsledok druhého kola". Topky.sk (in Slovak). 24 February 2024. Retrieved 26 February 2024.
  13. ^ a b c d e Plávalová, Barbora. "Prieskum: Pellegrini by mal v druhom kole pred Korčokom pohodlný náskok. Čo vplýva na voličov?". SME (in Slovak). Retrieved 26 February 2024.
  14. ^ a b "Prezidentský prieskum: Ani v druhom kole to Pellegrini nemá isté. Danka zatieňuje Harabin". SME (in Slovak). Retrieved 20 February 2024.
  15. ^ a b c d e Katuška, Michal (15 February 2024). "Prezidentský prieskum: Matovič je už v prvej štvorke. Súboj Korčoka s Pellegrinim je tesný". SME (in Slovak). Retrieved 17 February 2024.
  16. ^ a b Poloha, Natanael Leo (28 January 2024). "Aktuálny PRIESKUM: Pellegrini by v druhom kole Korčoka rozdrvil. Harabinovi stúpajú preferencie". Startitup.sk (in Slovak). Retrieved 17 February 2024.
  17. ^ a b Mikušovič, Dušan (26 January 2024). "Ipsos: Súboj medzi Pellegrinim a Korčokom je tesný, druhé kolo môžu rozhodnúť Harabinovi voliči ( kde berú kandidáti podporu)". Denník N (in Slovak). Retrieved 1 February 2024.
  18. ^ Kerekes, Daniel (18 January 2024). "Korčok mobilizuje a doťahuje sa na Pellegriniho. Danka by nevolili ani dve percentá voličov". Denník N. Retrieved 18 January 2024.
  19. ^ a b Hajčáková, Daniela (16 January 2024). "Volebný model: Duel Pellegriniho s Korčokom môže byť omnoho tesnejší, ako sa zdalo". Sme. Retrieved 16 January 2024.
  20. ^ a b Belej, Martin (2 January 2024). "PRIESKUM: Kto bude naším novým prezidentom? Z vlády má šancu len jeden, veľkú časť hlasov ukradol kandidát z vonku". ta3. Retrieved 4 January 2024.
  21. ^ "Podpora Pellegriniho rastie, aj keď neohlásil prezidentskú kandidatúru. Teraz by ho Korčok neporazil". dennikn.sk (in Slovak). 21 December 2023. Retrieved 21 December 2023.
  22. ^ "Prezidentský volebný model". median.sk (in Slovak). Retrieved 4 January 2023.
  23. ^ "Prezidentský prieskum AKO: Pellegrini by zbieral hlasy aj medzi voličmi opozície, pred Korčokom vedie". Denník N (in Slovak). 23 November 2023. Retrieved 25 November 2023.
  24. ^ a b c d e f g Kern, Miro (10 November 2023). "Prieskum Ipsosu: Najväčšiu šancu vyhrať prezidentské voľby má Pellegrini, pred Korčokom má zatiaľ náskok". Denník N. Retrieved 12 November 2023.
  25. ^ Mikušovič, Dušan (3 August 2023). "Korčok po rozhodnutí prezidentky nekandidovať získava nových voličov. V druhom kole by porazil Fica, Pellegriniho nie". Denník N (in Slovak). Retrieved 4 August 2023.
  26. ^ "Exkluzívny PRIESKUM: Najväčšiu šancu stať sa novým prezidentom by mal Pellegrini". tvnoviny.sk (in Slovak). 4 July 2023. Retrieved 6 July 2023.
  27. ^ Mikušovič, Dušan (14 March 2023). "Čaputová má šancu na znovuzvolenie, určite by ju volilo 30 % ľudí. Žilinka má podporu ako Harabin (prieskum Ipsosu)". Denník N (in Slovak). Retrieved 14 March 2023.
  28. ^ Mikušovič, Dušan (5 March 2023). "Čaputovú by chcelo za prezidentku 18 percent ľudí, s odstupom nasledujú Pellegrini a Fico". Denník N (in Slovak). Retrieved 8 March 2023.
  29. ^ https://twitter.com/ForeignpolicyWB/status/1776705606671274235
  30. ^ Muradajová, Alex. "Prieskum IPSOS: Tesnejšie to medzi Korčokom a Pellegrinim ani nemôže byť". TV Noviny (in Slovak). Retrieved 3 April 2024.
  31. ^ Katuška, Michal; Hajčáková, Daniela (2 April 2024). "Finálový prieskum k prezidentským voľbám: Korčok si drží náskok, ale víťazstvo nemá isté". SME (in Slovak). Retrieved 2 April 2024.
  32. ^ Muradajová, Alex (2 April 2024). "PRIESKUM: Prezidentom by sa stal Peter Pellegrini s mimoriadne tesným náskokom". TV Noviny (in Slovak). Retrieved 2 April 2024.
  33. ^ a b "AKTUÁLNE Predvolebné prieskumy sú už takmer kompletné! Zverejnili ďalšie dva, tie výsledky musíte vidieť". Topky.sk (in Slovak). 3 April 2024. Retrieved 3 April 2024.
  34. ^ a b c d e f Hajčáková, Daniela. "Prieskum: V druhom kole by Pellegrini porazil Korčoka so 60-percentnou podporou". domov.sme.sk (in Slovak). Retrieved 17 February 2024.
  35. ^ a b c d e f g "Prezidentské voľby: Ivan Korčok by našiel podľa prieskumu svojho premožiteľa". Aktuality.sk (in Slovak). 17 September 2023. Retrieved 23 September 2023.
  36. ^ a b "Veľký predvolebný PRIESKUM: Pellegrini stále vedie, črtá sa však najtesnejší súboj v histórii Slovenka". Topky.sk (in Slovak). 20 February 2024. Retrieved 20 February 2024.
  37. ^ a b c d e f "Čaputová by vo voľbách porazila Fica, Pellegriniho aj Harabina. Prieskum ukázal, ako by si s nimi poradila". news.refresher.sk (in Slovak). Retrieved 9 May 2023.
  38. ^ "Prieskum: Čaputovú by za prezidentku nevolila takmer polovica opýtaných". domov.sme.sk (in Slovak). Retrieved 2022-06-19.
  39. ^ "Exkluzívny prieskum pre HN: Čaputová by voľby vyhrala aj dnes. Jedna otázka odhalila jej slabinu". slovensko.hnonline.sk (in Slovak). 25 November 2021. Retrieved 2022-01-23.
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