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North East Hampshire (UK Parliament constituency)

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North East Hampshire is a constituency[n 1] represented in the House of Commons of the UK Parliament by Alex Brewer, a Liberal Democrat.[n 2]

North East Hampshire
County constituency
for the House of Commons
Map
Boundaries since 2024
Map of constituency
Boundary of North East Hampshire in South East England
CountyHampshire
Electorate73,306 (2023) [1]
Major settlements
Current constituency
Created1997
Member of ParliamentAlex Brewer (Liberal Democrats)
SeatsOne
Created from

History

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The constituency was created in 1997 from parts of the seats of Aldershot and East Hampshire. It was represented at Westminster by James Arbuthnot until 2015 when he was succeeded by Ranil Jayawardena. The constituency has, since its creation, given large majorities to the Conservatives, and in 2015, Jayawardena was elected with a lead of 29,916 votes, or 55.4%. This made North East Hampshire the safest Conservative seat at that election in both percentage and numerical terms.[2] Nevertheless, at the 2024 General Election the seat was gained by the Liberal Democrats with a swing of over 20%.

Boundaries

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Map of 2010–2024 boundaries

1997–2010: The District of Hart wards of Church Crookham, Crondall, Eversley, Fleet Courtmoor, Fleet Pondtail, Fleet West, Hartley Wintney, Hook, Long Sutton, Odiham, and Whitewater, and the District of East Hampshire wards of Binsted, Bramshott and Liphook, Froyle and Bentley, Grayshott, Headley, Selborne, Whitehill Bordon and Whitehill, and Whitehill Lindford.

2010–2024: The District of Hart wards of Church Crookham East, Church Crookham West, Crondall, Eversley, Fleet Central, Fleet Courtmoor, Fleet North, Fleet Pondtail, Fleet West, Greywell, Hartley Wintney, Hook, Long Sutton, Odiham, Yateley East, Yateley North, and Yateley West, and the Borough of Basingstoke and Deane wards of Calleva, Pamber, Sherborne St John, and Upton Grey and The Candovers.

This constituency was slightly altered for the 2010 general election. The seat's southernmost part was transferred to East Hampshire while it gained some wards from Basingstoke and additional Hart wards from Aldershot.

2024–present: Further to the 2023 periodic review of Westminster constituencies which came into effect for the 2024 general election, the constituency is composed of the following (as they existed on 1 December 2020):

  • The Borough of Basingstoke and Deane wards of: Basing & Upton Grey; Bramley.
  • The District of Hart wards of: Crookham East; Crookham West and Ewshot; Fleet Central; Fleet East; Fleet West; Hartley Wintney; Hook; Odiham; Yateley West.[3]

Revised boundaries largely arising from changes to local authority ward structures since the previous review.

Towns and villages in the constituency include Bramley, Church Crookham, Elvetham Heath, Eversley, Ewshot, Fleet, Greywell, Hartley Wintney, Herriard, Hook, Odiham, Old Basing, Sherfield on Loddon, Silchester, Upton Grey and Yateley (west).

Constituency profile

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The seat includes significant software, hardware and military sectors and a significant proportion of Basingstoke, Bracknell and City of London commuters, particularly the latter towards Hook railway station on the South West Main Line; the average income level is higher than the national average.[4] This area also has low unemployment[5] and a high proportion of semi-detached and detached properties.[6]

Members of Parliament

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East Hampshire and Aldershot prior to 1997

Election Member[7] Party
1997 James Arbuthnot Conservative
2015 Ranil Jayawardena Conservative
2024 Alex Brewer Liberal Democrats

Elections

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Elections in the 2020s

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General election 2024: North East Hampshire
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Liberal Democrats Alex Brewer 21,178 38.1 15.7
Conservative Ranil Jayawardena 20,544 36.9 –24.9
Reform UK Paul Morton 6,673 12.0 N/A
Labour Bradley Phillips 5,057 9.1 –1.1
Green Mohamed Miah 1,425 2.5 –0.4
Monster Raving Loony Howling Laud Hope 340 0.6 –0.4
Hampshire Ind. Duncan Stone 274 0.4 N/A
Libertarian Alex Zychowski 69 0.1 N/A
Majority 634 1.1 N/A
Turnout 55,560 72.4 –5.0
Registered electors 76,975
Liberal Democrats gain from Conservative Swing 20.3

Elections in the 2010s

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2019 notional result[8]
Party Vote %
Conservative 35,124 61.9
Liberal Democrats 12,691 22.4
Labour 5,808 10.2
Green 1,700 3.0
Others 1,407 2.5
Turnout 56,730 77.4
Electorate 73,306
General election 2019: North East Hampshire[9]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Conservative Ranil Jayawardena 35,280 59.5 –6.0
Liberal Democrats Graham Cockarill 15,069 25.4 13.3
Labour Barry Jones 5,760 9.7 –7.6
Green Culann Walsh 1,754 3.0 0.4
Independent Tony Durrant 831 1.4 N/A
Monster Raving Loony Howling Laud Hope 576 1.0 N/A
Majority 20,211 34.1 –14.1
Turnout 59,270 75.1 –2.2
Conservative hold Swing –9.6
General election 2017: North East Hampshire[10][11]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Conservative Ranil Jayawardena 37,754 65.5 –0.4
Labour Barry Jones 9,982 17.3 7.5
Liberal Democrats Graham Cockarill 6,987 12.1 1.6
Green Chas Spradbery 1,476 2.6 –1.8
UKIP Mike Gascoigne 1,061 1.8 –7.0
Independent Robert Blay 367 0.6 N/A
Majority 27,772 48.2 –7.2
Turnout 57,627 76.3 3.4
Conservative hold Swing –3.95
General election 2015: North East Hampshire[12]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Conservative Ranil Jayawardena 35,573 65.9 5.3
Liberal Democrats Graham Cockarill 5,657 10.5 –15.0
Labour Amran Hussain 5,290 9.8   0.0
UKIP Robert Blay1 4,732 8.8 4.6
Green Andrew Johnston 2,364 4.4 N/A
Monster Raving Loony Mad Max Bobetsky 384 0.7 N/A
Majority 29,916 55.4 20.3
Turnout 54,000 72.9 –0.4
Conservative hold Swing 10.15

1: After nominations were closed, Blay was suspended from UKIP after threatening to shoot his Conservative opponent.[13][14] His name still appeared on ballot papers as it was too late to remove him.[15]

General election 2010: North East Hampshire[16]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Conservative James Arbuthnot 32,075 60.6 7.5
Liberal Democrats Denzil Coulson 13,478 25.5 –1.6
Labour Barry Jones 5,173 9.8 –6.8
UKIP Ruth Duffin 2,213 4.2 0.9
Majority 18,597 35.1 8.6
Turnout 52,939 73.3 8.5
Conservative hold Swing 4.55

Elections in the 2000s

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General election 2005: North East Hampshire[17]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Conservative James Arbuthnot 25,407 53.7 0.5
Liberal Democrats Adam Carew 12,858 27.2 4.2
Labour Kevin McGrath 7,630 16.1 –3.8
UKIP Paul Birch 1,392 2.9 –1.0
Majority 12,549 26.5 –3.7
Turnout 47,287 64.8 3.2
Conservative hold Swing –1.8
General election 2001: North East Hampshire[18]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Conservative James Arbuthnot 23,379 53.2 2.3
Liberal Democrats Michael Plummer 10,122 23.0 0.3
Labour Barry Jones 8,744 19.9 3.9
UKIP Graham Mellstrom 1,702 3.9 3.0
Majority 13,257 30.2 2.0
Turnout 43,947 61.6 –12.0
Conservative hold Swing 1.0

Elections in the 1990s

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General election 1997: North East Hampshire[19]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Conservative James Arbuthnot 26,017 50.9
Liberal Democrats Ian Mann 11,619 22.7
Labour Peter Dare 8,203 16.0
Referendum Winston Rees 2,420 4.7
Independent Keki Jessavala 2,400 4.7
UKIP Christopher Berry 452 0.9
Majority 14,398 28.2
Turnout 51,111 73.6
Conservative win (new seat)

See also

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Notes

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  1. ^ A county constituency (for the purposes of election expenses and type of returning officer)
  2. ^ As with all constituencies, the constituency elects one Member of Parliament (MP) by the first past the post system of election at least every five years.

References

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  1. ^ "The 2023 Review of Parliamentary Constituency Boundaries in England – Volume two: Constituency names, designations and composition – South East". Boundary Commission for England. Retrieved 13 June 2024.
  2. ^ Williams, Zoe (1 June 2017). "In the country's safest Tory seat, prosperity seeks a steady hand | Zoe Williams". The Guardian. ISSN 0261-3077. Retrieved 7 October 2019.
  3. ^ "The Parliamentary Constituencies Order 2023". Schedule 1 Part 6 South East region.
  4. ^ "2001 Census". Neighbourhood.statistics.gov.uk. Retrieved 4 February 2013.
  5. ^ Unemployment claimants by constituency The Guardian
  6. ^ "2011 census interactive maps". Ons.gov.uk. Archived from the original on 29 January 2016. Retrieved 4 February 2013.
  7. ^ Leigh Rayment's Historical List of MPs – Constituencies beginning with "H" (part 1)
  8. ^ "Notional results for a UK general election on 12 December 2019". Rallings & Thrasher, Professor David Denver (Scotland), Nicholas Whyte (NI) for Sky News, PA, BBC News and ITV News. UK Parliament. Retrieved 11 July 2024.
  9. ^ "Hart Council Statement of Persons Nominated". Retrieved 20 November 2019.
  10. ^ "Loony Party Candidates". Retrieved 7 May 2017.
  11. ^ "North Hampshire general election candidates". Basingstoke Observer. 12 May 2017. Retrieved 16 May 2017.
  12. ^ "Election Data 2015". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 17 October 2015. Retrieved 17 October 2015.
  13. ^ "UKIP candidate Robert Blay suspended over shooting threat". BBC News. 5 May 2015.
  14. ^ Rawlinson, Kevin (5 May 2015). "Ukip candidate suspended for threatening to 'put a bullet in' Tory rival". The Guardian.
  15. ^ Myers, Russell; Sorrell, Lee (5 May 2015). "Robert Blay: UKIP suspends parliamentary candidate". Daily Mirror.
  16. ^ "Election Data 2010". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 26 July 2013. Retrieved 17 October 2015.
  17. ^ "Election Data 2005". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 15 October 2011. Retrieved 18 October 2015.
  18. ^ "Election Data 2001". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 15 October 2011. Retrieved 18 October 2015.
  19. ^ "Election Data 1997". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 15 October 2011. Retrieved 18 October 2015.

Sources

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51°17′N 0°58′W / 51.28°N 0.96°W / 51.28; -0.96

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