The next South Korean presidential election was originally scheduled for 2027. However, following the impeachment of Yoon Suk Yeol on 14 December 2024,[1] an early election in 2025 is likely. According to the South Korean constitution, if President Yoon Suk Yeol resigns or is removed from office by the Constitutional Court, a snap presidential election must be held within 60 days.[2]
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The next presidential election will be the ninth presidential election since democratization and the establishment of the Sixth Republic. Under the South Korean constitution, the president is restricted to a single five-year term in office, making President Yoon ineligible for a second term.[3]
Background
editFollowing the declaration of martial law by President Yoon Suk Yeol on 3 December 2024, the opposition Democratic Party, which held a majority in the National Assembly, announced it would introduce an impeachment motion against President Yoon.[4] On 7 December, the vote on the first impeachment motion failed to achieve the necessary two-thirds majority to meet the quorum, with the ruling People Power Party boycotting the vote.
Following the vote, PPP Leader Han Dong-hoon said President Yoon had agreed to step aside and that Prime Minister Han Duck-soo would manage state affairs until Yoon's "orderly resignation".[5]
On 10 December, the PPP said that it was discussing Yoon's early resignation as early as February 2025 over the ongoing turmoil after his martial law declaration, followed by a snap election in April or May.[6]
On 14 December 2024, President Yoon was impeached by the National Assembly in a second impeachment motion. The National Assembly voted with 204 of 300 lawmakers supporting impeachment.[1]
Electoral system
editThe president of South Korea is elected via a single-round plurality voting system, for a term of five years. Incumbent and former presidents are ineligible to seek re-election.[7]
Potential candidates
editDemocratic Party
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- Lee Jae-myung[8] (Member of the National Assembly)
- Kim Dong-yeon[9] (Governor of Gyeonggi Province)
- Kim Kyoung-soo[10][a] (former Governor of South Gyeongsang Province)
People Power Party
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- Han Dong-hoon[12] (former Minister of Justice)
- Oh Se-hoon[13] (Mayor of Seoul)
- Hong Joon-pyo[14] (Mayor of Daegu)
- Yoo Seong-min[15] (former Member of the National Assembly)
- Ahn Cheol-soo[16] (Member of the National Assembly)
New Reform Party
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New Future Party
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Candidates who are unable to run
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- Cho Kuk[19] (former Member of the National Assembly): Cho was sentenced to prison in December 2024, making him ineligible to run for office until December 2031.[20]
Opinion polls
editPolling before nominees finalized
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| Fieldwork date | Sample size | Margin of error |
Polling firm | DPK | PPP | RKP | NRP | NFP | Others | Und./ no ans. |
Lead | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29-30 Dec 2024 | 1,010 | ±3.1 | Ace Research / Newsis | 40.1 | 4.0 | 1.3 | 9.0 | 5.5 | 6.9 | — | 3.1 | 1.6 | — | 3.5 | 1.8 | 17.9[b] | 5.3 | 31.1 |
| 29-30 Dec 2024 | 1,006 | ±3.1 | Embrain Public / JoongAngIlbo | 35 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 2 | — | 2 | 1 | 13[c] | 22 | 27 |
| 28-29 Dec 2024 | 1,020 | ±3.1 | Metavoice / Kyunghyang Shinmun | 33 | 2 | — | 7 | 5 | 4 | 1 | — | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13[d] | 31 | 26 |
| 26–27 Dec 2024 | 1,000 | ±3.1 | Hankook Researach / Korea Times | 35 | 3 | — | 5 | 4 | 7 | — | 3 | 3 | — | 2 | — | 10[e] | 28 | 28 |
| 22–23 Dec 2024 | 1,000 | ±3.1 | Hankook Researach / Hankookilbo | 38 | 2 | — | 7 | 5 | 5 | — | 3 | 3 | — | 2 | — | 10[f] | 24 | 31 |
| 17–19 Dec 2024 | 1,000 | ±3.1 | Gallup Korea | 37 | — | — | 5 | 2 | 5 | 2 | — | 1 | 3 | 2 | — | 8[g] | 35 | 32 |
| 14–16 Dec 2024 | 2,002 | ±2.2 | Jowon C&I / Straight News | 48.0 | 5.7 | — | 8.0 | 5.7 | 7.0 | — | 4.8 | 2.8 | — | 4.0 | — | 5.9 | 8.1 | 40.0 |
| 9 Dec 2024 | 1,001 | ±3.1 | Gongjung / Dailian | 49.0 | 4.4 | 1.2 | 9.1 | 6.0 | 5.8 | — | — | 3.3 | 6.8 | — | — | 5.6 | 8.6 | 39.9 |
| 7–9 Dec 2024 | 2,002 | ±2.2 | Jowon C&I / Straight News | 47.3 | 4.1 | — | 12.9 | 5.3 | 4.6 | — | 3.5 | 2.6 | 6.9 | 3.3 | — | 2.1 | 7.3 | 34.4 |
| 8 Dec 2024 | 1,000 | ±3.1 | Researchview / KPI News | 46.8 | 4.4 | 1.4 | 7.1 | 5.6 | 5.8 | 2.0 | — | 3.3 | 7.1 | 3.0 | 1.7 | 3.2[h] | 8.6 | 39.7 |
| 8 Dec 2024 | 1,007 | ±3.1 | Media Research / Newspim | 52.4 | 3.9 | 3.1 | 9.8 | 6.7 | 4.9 | — | — | — | 5.5 | — | — | 6.1 | 7.7 | 42.6 |
| 6–7 Dec 2024 | 1,014 | ±3.1 | Gallup Korea / Kukminilbo | 41 | 2 | — | 9 | 2 | 3 | — | — | — | 6 | 2 | — | 8[i] | 29 | 32 |
| 6–7 Dec 2024 | 1,004 | ±3.1 | Flower Research | 42.5 | 2.1 | — | 9.9 | 6.2 | 6.1 | — | — | 1.2 | 5.0 | 0.8 | — | 2.3 | 24.0 | 32.6 |
| 3–5 Dec 2024 | 1,001 | ±3.1 | Gallup Korea | 29 | 3 | — | 11 | 3 | 3 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 1 | — | 7[j] | 37 | 18 |
| 4 Dec 2024 | 1,047 | ±3.0 | Media Research / Newspim | 47.5 | — | — | 13.3 | 4.7 | 5.6 | — | 2.7 | — | 6.0 | — | 3.4 | 6.3 | 10.3 | 34.2 |
| 29–30 Nov 2024 | 1,001 | ±3.1 | Flower Research | 38.4 | 2.8 | — | 13.1 | 7.1 | 5.6 | — | — | 1.6 | 4.4 | 1.5 | — | 1.2 | 24.3 | 25.3 |
| 26–27 Nov 2024 | 1,001 | ±3.1 | KSOI / CBS | 41.3 | 3.4 | 0.7 | 19.3 | 7.0 | 5.8 | — | — | — | 6.3 | — | — | 7.3[k] | 9.0 | 22.0 |
| 23–25 Nov 2024 | 2,001 | ±2.2 | Jowon C&I / Straight News | 43.8 | 4.8 | — | 17.2 | 5.2 | 5.3 | — | 4.2 | 1.2 | 5.8 | 3.6 | — | 2.0 | 7.0 | 26.6 |
| 18–19 Nov 2024 | 1,000 | ±3.1 | Gongjung / Dailian | 43.6 | 3.7 | 1.4 | 17.3 | 7.6 | 5.3 | — | — | 2.5 | 6.3 | — | — | 4.6 | 7.7 | 26.3 |
| 9-11 Nov 2024 | 2,000 | ±2.2 | Jowon C&I / Straight News | 46.9 | 4.1 | — | 17.0 | 4.2 | 4.7 | — | 4.0 | 1.8 | 5.7 | 3.8 | — | 2.2 | 5.5 | 29.9 |
| 8–9 Nov 2024 | 1,005 | ±3.1 | Flower Research | 39.3 | 2.7 | — | 12.7 | 5.4 | 5.4 | — | — | 2.0 | 6.0 | 2.3 | — | 2.1 | 22.1 | 26.6 |
| 4–5 Nov 2024 | 1,000 | ±3.1 | Gongjung / Dailian | 41.0 | 4.2 | 1.2 | 16.7 | 8.5 | 6.3 | — | — | 2.2 | 6.6 | — | — | 6.0 | 7.1 | 24.3 |
| 1–2 Nov 2024 | 1,002 | ±3.1 | KSOI / Ohmynews | 37.3 | 4.1 | 1.7 | 15.3 | 7.1 | 5.8 | — | — | — | 8.2 | 3.9 | — | 7.0 | 9.7 | 22.0 |
| 26–28 Oct 2024 | 2,000 | ±2.2 | Jowon C&I / Straight News | 45.0 | 3.2 | — | 18.6 | 5.2 | 4.3 | — | 3.5 | 2.1 | 5.6 | 4.8 | — | 1.5 | 6.2 | 26.4 |
| 22 Oct 2024 | 1,004 | ±3.1 | Gongjung / Dailian | 42.6 | 3.9 | 1.2 | 19.2 | 6.4 | 4.6 | — | — | 2.2 | 6.0 | — | — | 5.2 | 8.7 | 23.4 |
| 12–14 Oct 2024 | 2,002 | ±2.2 | Jowon C&I / Straight News | 43.3 | 4.1 | — | 19.7 | 4.9 | 4.6 | — | 3.6 | 2.1 | 6.5 | 4.0 | — | 2.7 | 4.3 | 23.6 |
| 7–8 Oct 2024 | 1,000 | ±3.1 | Gongjung / Dailian | 40.5 | 2.9 | 2.0 | 21.4 | 6.3 | 4.1 | — | — | 1.2 | 7.5 | — | — | 5.9 | 8.1 | 19.1 |
| 4–5 Oct 2024 | 1,007 | ±3.1 | Flower Research | 35.1 | 2.0 | — | 15.4 | 5.7 | 5.0 | — | — | 2.4 | 5.1 | 2.1 | — | 2.1 | 24.9 | 19.7 |
| 28–30 Sep 2024 | 2,001 | ±2.2 | Jowon C&I / Straight News | 42.8 | 3.1 | — | 20.7 | 5.0 | 4.7 | — | 3.7 | 1.5 | 6.0 | 4.4 | — | 2.4 | 5.3 | 22.1 |
| 28–29 Sep 2024 | 1,002 | ±3.1 | Ace Research / Newsis | 41.2 | 3.1 | 1.6 | 19.3 | 2.9 | 3.8 | — | 1.6 | 2.1 | 7.1 | 4.5 | — | 5.1[l] | 7.7 | 21.9 |
| 24–26 Sep 2024 | 1,001 | ±3.1 | Gallup Korea | 25 | 2 | — | 15 | 1 | 2 | — | 1 | — | 4 | 3 | — | 6[m] | 40 | 10 |
| 23–24 Sep 2024 | 1,005 | ±3.1 | Gongjung / Dailian | 42.0 | 2.4 | 1.0 | 21.1 | 6.5 | 4.6 | — | — | 2.2 | 7.3 | — | — | 5.7 | 7.2 | 20.9 |
| 11–12 Sep 2024 | 1,002 | ±3.1 | Korea Research / MBC | 29 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 3 | — | 4[n] | 22 | 11 |
| 10–12 Sep 2024 | 2,004 | ±2.2 | Jowon C&I / Straight News | 44.5 | 2.9 | — | 22.0 | 4.7 | 3.2 | — | 3.6 | 1.3 | 6.3 | 4.4 | — | 2.0 | 5.0 | 22.5 |
| 10 Sep 2024 | 1,002 | ±3.1 | Gongjung / Dailian | 42.4 | 2.8 | 1.3 | 20.7 | 7.1 | 5.0 | — | — | 2.3 | 6.6 | — | — | 4.4 | 7.5 | 21.7 |
| 3–5 Sep 2024 | 1,001 | ±3.1 | Gallup Korea | 26 | 1 | — | 14 | 2 | 1 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 3 | — | 5[o] | 40 | 12 |
| 31 Aug-2 Sep 2024 | 2,003 | ±2.2 | Jowon C&I / Straight News | 42.1 | 3.1 | — | 20.9 | 3.7 | 3.3 | — | 4.1 | 1.5 | 6.2 | 5.9 | — | 2.2 | 7.0 | 21.2 |
| 26–27 Aug 2024 | 1,002 | ±3.1 | Gongjung / Dailian | 40.7 | 2.5 | 0.9 | 24.2 | 7.3 | 3.9 | — | — | 1.6 | 6.0 | — | — | 5.3 | 7.8 | 16.5 |
| 20–21 Aug 2024 | 1,004 | ±3.1 | KOPRA / Kihoilbo | 39.4 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 25.2 | 4.7 | 3.5 | — | 3.4 | — | 6.3 | 4.6 | — | 1.0[p] | 8.0 | 14.2 |
| 17–19 Aug 2024 | 2,006 | ±2.2 | Jowon C&I / Straight News | 43.2 | 3.0 | — | 25.6 | 3.6 | 3.5 | — | 3.2 | 1.6 | 4.7 | 4.7 | — | 2.3 | 4.7 | 17.6 |
| 12–13 Aug 2024 | 1,007 | ±3.1 | Media Tomato / News Tomato | 43.9 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 26.1 | 6.0 | 3.8 | — | — | — | 6.5 | 3.3 | — | 3.8 | 3.1 | 17.8 |
| 12–13 Aug 2024 | 1,006 | ±3.1 | Gongjung / Dailian | 28.5 | 4.9 | 5.4 | 19.8 | 7.4 | 6.2 | — | — | 3.3 | 8.7 | — | — | 8.7 | 7.1 | 8.7 |
| 9–10 Aug 2024 | 1,009 | ±3.1 | Flower Research | 36.1 | 1.9 | — | 17.9 | 5.2 | 4.7 | — | — | 1.7 | 5.1 | 3.1 | — | 1.1 | 23.3 | 18.2 |
| 3–5 Aug 2024 | 2,002 | ±2.2 | Jowon C&I / Straight News | 39.0 | 3.1 | — | 27.8 | 3.4 | 4.1 | — | 3.9 | 2.1 | 5.4 | 5.5 | — | 1.1 | 4.6 | 11.2 |
| 29–30 Jul 2024 | 1,009 | ±3.1 | Media Tomato / News Tomato | 42.7 | — | — | 33.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 7.5 | 4.4 | — | 8.1 | 3.9 | 9.3 |
| 29–30 Jul 2024 | 1,005 | ±3.1 | Gongjung / Dailian | 37.9 | 3.1 | — | 29.5 | 5.0 | 4.1 | — | — | 1.6 | 6.8 | 3.8 | — | 3.3 | 4.9 | 8.4 |
| 23–25 Jul 2024 | 1,001 | ±3.1 | Gallup Korea | 22 | — | — | 19 | 2 | 3 | — | 3 | 1 | 5 | 3 | — | 4 | 38 | 3 |
| 20–22 Jul 2024 | 4,029 | ±1.5 | Jowon C&I / Straight News | 38.5 | 2.9 | — | 26.9 | 5.0 | 3.2 | — | 5.8 | 1.4 | 6.1 | 5.1 | — | 1.3 | 3.8 | 11.6 |
| 7–8 Jul 2024 | 2,003 | ±2.2 | Embrain Public / YTN | 27 | 1 | — | 17 | 7 | 5 | 1 | — | 2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 28 | 10 |
| 6–8 Jul 2024 | 2,008 | ±2.2 | Jowon C&I / Straight News | 38.2 | 3.5 | — | 24.6 | 3.6 | 3.9 | — | 6.9 | 1.8 | 6.8 | 4.7 | — | 1.5 | 4.7 | 13.6 |
| 5–6 Jul 2024 | 1,002 | ±3.1 | Flower Research | 34.3 | 1.9 | — | 18.5 | 5.9 | 4.5 | — | — | 1.8 | 5.8 | 2.2 | — | 2.0 | 23.1 | 15.8 |
| 2–4 Jul 2024 | 1,002 | ±3.1 | Gallup Korea | 23 | — | — | 17 | 3 | 3 | — | 2 | 1 | 5 | 2 | — | 5 | 38 | 6 |
| 1–2 Jul 2024 | 1,002 | ±3.1 | Gongjung / Dailian | 35.9 | 4.5 | — | 24.6 | 7.9 | 5.4 | — | — | 1.7 | 7.2 | 4.5 | — | 3.2 | 5.0 | 11.3 |
| 22–24 Jun 2024 | 2,006 | ±2.2 | Jowon C&I / Straight News | 40.1 | 3.0 | — | 21.6 | 4.2 | 3.9 | — | 6.4 | 1.3 | 7.7 | 5.3 | — | 1.8 | 4.5 | 18.5 |
| 17–18 Jun 2024 | 1,002 | ±3.1 | Gongjung / Dailian | 37.8 | 3.9 | — | 24.7 | 5.9 | 3.7 | — | — | 2.3 | 7.9 | 4.8 | — | 3.4 | 5.5 | 13.1 |
| 14–15 Jun 2024 | 1,001 | ±3.1 | Gallup Korea / News1 | 28 | — | — | 17 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | — | 3 | 35 | 11 |
| 11–13 Jun 2024 | 1,000 | ±3.1 | Gallup Korea | 22 | 1 | — | 15 | 2 | 3 | — | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | — | 5 | 42 | 7 |
| 9–10 Jun 2024 | 2,005 | ±2.2 | Jowon C&I / Straight News | 40.7 | 2.3 | — | 23.3 | 4.3 | 3.7 | — | 4.5 | 1.8 | 6.8 | 5.3 | — | 1.8 | 5.3 | 17.4 |
| 3–4 Jun 2024 | 1,004 | ±3.1 | Gongjung / Dailian | 35.6 | 2.8 | — | 25.9 | 6.5 | 4.1 | — | — | 2.0 | 6.5 | 5.5 | — | 3.9 | 7.2 | 9.7 |
| 1–3 Jun 2024 | 2,005 | ±2.2 | Jowon C&I / Straight News | 41.0 | 2.1 | — | 22.0 | 4.0 | 4.4 | — | 5.0 | 1.8 | 8.0 | 5.4 | — | 1.7 | 4.6 | 19.0 |
| 28–30 May 2024 | 1,000 | ±3.1 | Research View / PSPD | 38 | 3 | 2 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 2 | — | 1 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 4[q] | 5 | 14 |
| 25–27 May 2024 | 2,004 | ±2.2 | Jowon C&I / Straight News | 39.6 | 2.5 | — | 22.8 | 3.9 | 4.4 | — | 4.6 | 1.8 | 7.5 | 6.3 | — | 1.5 | 5.1 | 16.8 |
| 20–21 May 2024 | 1,000 | ±3.1 | Gongjung / Dailian | 36.8 | 2.4 | — | 24.5 | 5.5 | 5.2 | — | — | 2.3 | 7.4 | 5.2 | — | 6.5 | 4.3 | 12.3 |
| 11–13 May 2024 | 2,002 | ±2.2 | Jowon C&I / Straight News | 38.6 | 2.6 | — | 25.1 | 3.9 | 4.2 | — | 4.6 | 1.6 | 7.7 | 4.1 | — | 1.4 | 6.1 | 13.5 |
| 7–9 May 2024 | 1,000 | ±3.1 | Gallup Korea | 23 | — | — | 17 | 2 | 3 | — | — | 2 | 7 | 3 | — | 6 | 38 | 7 |
| 6–7 May 2024 | 1,003 | ±3.1 | Gongjung / Dailian | 37.3 | 3.5 | — | 26.0 | 5.3 | 4.7 | — | — | 2.1 | 7.7 | 4.2 | — | 3.1 | 5.9 | 11.3 |
| 27–29 Apr 2024 | 2,006 | ±2.2 | Jowon C&I / Straight News | 39.3 | 3.7 | — | 21.9 | 4.5 | 4.7 | — | 5.0 | 1.6 | 8.1 | 5.7 | — | 1.8 | 4.2 | 17.4 |
| 16–18 Apr 2024 | 1,000 | ±3.1 | Gallup Korea | 24 | — | — | 15 | 1 | 3 | — | 2 | 1 | 7 | 3 | — | 5 | 39 | 9 |
| 13–15 Apr 2024 | 2,013 | ±2.2 | Jowon C&I / Straight News | 37.8 | — | — | 23.9 | — | — | — | — | 4.4 | 10.1 | 5.7 | — | 11.1[r] | 7.1 | 13.9 |
| 2–3 Apr 2024 | 1,002 | ±3.1 | Korea Research / MBC | 27 | 1 | — | 23 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1[s] | 24 | 4 |
| 28–29 Mar 2024 | 1,004 | ±3.1 | Research&Research / Dong-a Ilbo | 31.5 | 4.3 | — | 21.8 | 5.9 | 6.7 | — | 4.1 | 1.5 | 6.2 | — | 3.9 | 2.7 | 11.3 | 9.7 |
| 28–29 Mar 2024 | 1,011 | ±3.1 | Gallup Korea / Seoul Economic Daily | 27 | — | — | 20 | 1 | 2 | — | 1 | — | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 38 | 7 |
| 26–27 Mar 2024 | 1,001 | ±3.1 | Korea Research / MBC | 32 | 2 | — | 24 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1[t] | 19 | 8 |
| 5–7 Mar 2024 | 1,000 | ±3.1 | Gallup Korea | 23 | 1 | — | 24 | 2 | 2 | — | 1 | — | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5[u] | 35 | 1 |
| 20 Feb 2024 | 1,012 | ±3.1 | Media Research / Newspim | 35.8 | 3.6 | — | 35.3 | 4.2 | 4.1 | — | — | — | — | 3.4 | 4.1 | 3.8 | 5.6 | 0.5 |
| 13–14 Feb 2024 | 1,004 | ±3.1 | Ace Research / Newsis | 37 | 5 | — | 34 | 3 | 4 | — | 3 | 2 | — | 4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 6–7 Feb 2024 | 1,001 | ±3.1 | Korea Research / MBC | 26 | 4 | — | 23 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2 | — | 3 | 3 | 1[v] | 21 | 3 |
| 30 Jan–1 Feb 2024 | 1,000 | ±3.1 | Gallup Korea | 26 | 1 | — | 23 | 2 | 2 | — | — | — | — | 4 | 4 | 4 | 35 | 3 |
| 9–11 Jan 2024 | 1,002 | ±3.1 | Gallup Korea | 23 | 1 | — | 22 | 1 | 3 | — | — | 1 | — | 3 | 3 | 5 | 38 | 1 |
| 1–2 Jan 2024 | 1,002 | ±3.1 | Ace Research / Newsis | 39 | 4 | — | 35 | 4 | 3 | — | 2 | 1 | — | — | 4 | 4[w] | 5 | 4 |
| 29–30 Dec 2023 | 1,005 | ±3.1 | Korea Research / MBC | 27 | 3 | — | 22 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 3 | — | 3 | 5 | 1[x] | 21 | 5 |
| 28–29 Dec 2023 | 1,017 | ±3.1 | Gallup Korea / JoongAngIlbo | 22 | 1 | — | 24 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | 3 | 2 | 5[y] | 36 | 2 |
| 26–27 Dec 2023 | 1,000 | ±3.1 | Hankook Research / HankookIlbo | 23 | 3 | — | 21 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3[z] | 26 | 2 |
| 25–26 Dec 2023 | 1,015 | ±3.1 | Gongjung / Dailian | 35.6 | 4.7 | — | 27.2 | 6.3 | — | — | 5.9 | 2.3 | — | — | 4.8 | 1.4[aa] | 11.8 | 8.4 |
| 23–24 Dec 2023 | 1,024 | ±3.1 | Rnsearch / Asia Today | 36.9 | 2.5 | — | 35.8 | 2.8 | 3.3 | — | 1.4 | — | — | 4.2 | 4.3 | 1.8 | 6.9 | 1.1 |
| 5–7 Dec 2023 | 1,000 | ±3.1 | Gallup Korea | 19 | 2 | — | 16 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | — | — | 2 | 3 | 5 | 43 | 3 |
| 7–9 Nov 2023 | 1,001 | ±3.1 | Gallup Korea | 21 | 2 | — | 13 | 4 | 4 | — | 1 | 2 | — | 3 | 2 | 4 | 44 | 8 |
| 10–12 Oct 2023 | 1,002 | ±3.1 | Gallup Korea | 22 | 1 | — | 14 | 4 | 3 | — | 1 | 2 | — | 1 | 1 | 6[ab] | 46 | 8 |
| 5–7 Sep 2023 | 1,000 | ±3.1 | Gallup Korea | 19 | 2 | — | 12 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | — | 1 | 3 | 5[ac] | 48 | 7 |
| 30 May–1 Jun 2023 | 1,002 | ±3.1 | Gallup Korea | 22 | 1 | — | 11 | 4 | 5 | 1 | — | 2 | — | 1 | 2 | 5[ad] | 46 | 11 |
| 11–13 Mar 2023 | 1,020 | ±3.1 | Kookmin Research Group, Ace Research / Newsis | 37.3 | — | — | 16.4 | 7.1 | 7.2 | 3.5 | 5.6 | 4.2 | — | — | 4.1 | 5.7[ae] | 9.0 | 20.9 |
| 29 Feb–2 Mar 2023 | 1,001 | ±3.1 | Gallup Korea | 20 | — | — | 11 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 4 | — | 2 | 3 | 5 | 44 | 9 |
| 26–27 Jan 2023 | 1,006 | ±3.1 | Gallup Korea / Segye Ilbo | 24.6 | — | — | 11.1 | 2.7 | 4.9 | 3.8 | — | 6.9 | — | 1.4 | 2.1 | 4.8 | 37.7 | 13.5 |
| 1–2 Jan 2023 | 1,020 | ±3.1 | Rnsearch / Mewspim | 33.7 | 1.5 | — | 18.1 | 9.0 | 8.3 | 5.4 | — | 3.8 | — | — | 6.4 | 2.6 | 11.2 | 15.6 |
| 26–27 Dec 2022 | 1,015 | ±3.1 | Global Research / The Hankyoreh | 24.4 | 2.4 | 0.6 | 9.9 | 8.2 | 11.9 | 4.5 | — | 5.6 | — | 2.1 | 4.1 | 3.9[af] | 22.5 | 12.5 |
| 16–17 Dec 2022 | 1,016 | ±3.1 | Flower Research | 31.4 | 2.4 | — | 10.2 | 9.1 | — | — | 3.5 | 4.5 | — | — | 5.1 | 6.1[ag] | 27.9 | 21.2 |
| 4–6 Dec 2022 | 1,030 | ±3.1 | Ace Research / Newsis | 37.3 | — | — | 18.6 | 7.9 | 7.4 | 8.0 | 3.3 | 4.1 | — | — | 5.2 | 1.0 | 7.3 | 18.7 |
| 4–5 Dec 2022 | 1,024 | ±3.1 | Rnsearch / Mewspim | 37.8 | 2.3 | — | 18.9 | 7.1 | 9.3 | 4.4 | — | 3.1 | — | — | 5.8 | 1.6 | 9.7 | 18.9 |
| 3–5 Dec 2022 | 1,002 | ±3.1 | Jowon C&I / Straight News | 37.0 | 3.3 | — | 19.1 | 9.8 | 8.2 | — | — | 3.9 | — | — | 6.9 | 5.5[ah] | 6.1 | 17.9 |
| 29 Nov –1 Dec 2022 | 1,000 | ±3.1 | Gallup Korea | 23 | — | — | 10 | 2 | 4 | 2 | — | 3 | — | 2 | 3 | 6 | 44 | 13 |
| 5–7 Nov 2022 | 1,023 | ±3.1 | Rnsearch / Mewspim | 38.3 | 2.4 | — | 18.0 | 10.8 | 8.6 | 4.1 | — | 3.6 | — | — | 5.0 | 1.6[ai] | 7.6 | 20.3 |
| 8–10 Oct 2022 | 1,021 | ±3.1 | Rnsearch / Mewspim | 41.1 | 3.2 | — | 17.1 | 10.8 | 7.3 | — | — | 4.1 | — | — | 6.0 | 3.3 | 7.0 | 24.0 |
| 10–12 Sep 2022 | 1,014 | ±3.1 | Rnsearch / Mewspim | 40.1 | 2.9 | — | 18.5 | 11.7 | 8.0 | — | — | 4.3 | — | — | 4.5 | 3.0 | 7.1 | 21.6 |
| 30 Aug–1 Sep 2022 | 1,000 | ±3.1 | Gallup Korea | 27 | — | — | 9 | 4 | 4 | 2 | — | 4 | — | 3 | 2 | 4 | 41 | 18 |
| 6–8 Aug 2022 | 1,025 | ±3.1 | Rnsearch / Mewspim | 39.6 | 3.4 | — | 12.8 | 13.3 | 8.3 | — | — | 3.8 | — | — | 8.2 | 3.0 | 7.6 | 26.3 |
| 9–12 Jul 2022 | 1,045 | ±3.0 | Rnsearch / Mewspim | 38.5 | 4.7 | — | 12.4 | 15.1 | 6.3 | — | — | 5.6 | — | — | 5.5 | 3.0 | 8.8 | 23.4 |
| 11–13 Jun 2022 | 1,025 | ±3.1 | Rnsearch / Mewspim | 29.3 | 5.6 | — | 9.4 | 23.9 | — | — | 3.5 | 6.9 | — | — | 5.0 | 4.4 | 6.2 | 5.4 |
| 7–9 Jun 2022 | 1,000 | ±3.1 | Gallup Korea | 15 | 4 | — | 4 | 10 | 5 | — | — | 6 | — | 1 | 3 | 4 | 46 | 5 |
| 29–31 Mar 2022 | 1,000 | ±3.1 | ResearchView | 28 | 2 | — | — | 13 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 10 | — | 5 | 7 | 7[aj] | 5 | 15 |
| 9 Mar 2022 | 2022 election | 47.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3.6[ak] | 0.9 | 0.7 | ||
Hypothetical polling
editLee Jae-myung vs. Han Dong-hoon
edit| Fieldwork date | Sample size | Margin of error |
Polling firm | Lee Jae-myung | Han Dong-hoon | Others | Und./ no ans. |
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23–24 Aug 2024 | 1,010 | ±3.1 | Flower Research | 45.6 | 28.0 | 2.9 | 23.6 | 17.6 |
| 19–20 Aug 2024 | 1,008 | ±3.1 | Media Tomato / News Tomato | 54.6 | 36.0 | 8.6 | 0.7 | 18.6 |
| 17–19 Aug 2024 | 1,025 | ±3.1 | Hangil Research / Kukinews | 50.7 | 30.4 | 7.3 | 11.5 | 20.3 |
See also
editNotes
edit- ^ Kim Kyoung-soo was sentenced to prison in July 2021 and was ineligible to run for office until April 2028, but was pardoned and reinstated in August 2024, allowing him to run.[11]
- ^ Kim Moon-soo 10.0, Woo Won-shik 3.9, Kim Boo-kyum 1.5, Na Kyung-won 1.0, Others 1.5
- ^ Kim Moon-soo 5, Woo Won-shik 4, Choo Mi-ae 1, Kim Boo-kyum 1, Na Kyung-won 1, Others 1
- ^ Kim Moon-soo 5, Woo Won-shik 2, Han Duck-soo 2, Others 4
- ^ Woo Won-shik 4, Others 6
- ^ Woo Won-shik 6, Others 4
- ^ Kim Moon-soo 2, Woo Won-shik 1, Others 5
- ^ Kim Boo-kyum 1.1, Others 2.1
- ^ Kim Moon-soo 2, Others 6
- ^ Kim Moon-soo 2, Others 5
- ^ Rhee Chang-yong 0.6, Others 6.7
- ^ Kim Moon-soo 4.3, Kim Boo-kyum 0.8
- ^ Kim Moon-soo 2, Others 4
- ^ Kim Boo-kyum 1, Others 2
- ^ Kim Moon-soo 2, Others 3
- ^ Kim Boo-kyum 1.0
- ^ Choo Mi-ae 2, Others 2
- ^ Na Kyung-won 3.7, Others 7.4
- ^ Kim Boo-kyum 1
- ^ Kim Boo-kyum 1
- ^ Lee Tahney 1, Others 4
- ^ Kim Boo-kyum 1
- ^ Park Yong-jin 1, Others 3
- ^ Kim Boo-kyum 1
- ^ Lee Tahney 1, Others 4
- ^ Sim Sang-jung 2, Others 1
- ^ Sim Sang-jung 1.4
- ^ Lee Tahney 1, Others 5
- ^ Lee Tahney 1, Others 4
- ^ Lee Tahney 1, Others 4
- ^ Kim Boo-kyum 1.6, Others 4.1
- ^ Sim Sang-jung 2.2, Im Jong-seok 0.5, Others 1.2
- ^ Sim Sang-jung 2.0, Others 4.1
- ^ Park Yong-jin 1.0, Others 4.5
- ^ Park Yong-jin 0.3, Others 1.3
- ^ Kim Boo-kyum 2, Song Young-gil 2, Park Yong-jin 1, Others 2
- ^ Sim Sang-jung 2.4, Others 1.2
References
edit- ^ a b Rashid, Raphael; McCurry, Justin (2024-12-14). "South Korean parliament votes to impeach president". The Guardian. ISSN 0261-3077. Retrieved 2024-12-14.
- ^ Rashid, Raphael (2024-12-06). "How South Korea's impeachment process works after Yoon Suk Yeol's martial law bid". The Guardian. ISSN 0261-3077. Retrieved 2024-12-14.
- ^ Republic of Korea: Election for President IFES
- ^ Rashid, Raphael (2024-12-04). "South Korea's president, Yoon Suk Yeol, facing impeachment after martial law shock". The Guardian. ISSN 0261-3077. Retrieved 2024-12-07.
- ^ Min-hee, Jung (2024-12-08). "President Yoon to Resign in Predictable and Transparent Manner, Says PPP Leader". Businesskorea (in Korean). Retrieved 2024-12-07.
- ^ "South Korea's ruling party discusses Yoon's resignation in Feb before snap election". Reuters. 2024-12-10. Retrieved 2024-12-10.
- ^ "IFES Election Guide | Elections: South Korea President 2017". www.electionguide.org. 2017. Retrieved 2022-03-05.
- ^ Kwon, Hye-jin (2024-04-11). ""경쟁자가 없다"…이재명, 총선 민의 힘입어 대권 가도 '탄력'". Kukinews (in Korean). Retrieved 2024-07-14.
- ^ Choi, Dae-ho (2024-06-22). "김동연 여의도 스킨십에 친문까지 품어…대권행보 '주목'". News 1 (in Korean). Retrieved 2024-07-14.
- ^ Cho, Moon-hee (2024-12-04). "탄핵 열차 출발했다…野 '잠룡' 김경수는 '즉시 귀국'". Sisajournal (in Korean). Retrieved 2024-12-12.
- ^ Koo, Hye-jin (2024-12-04). "복권되자마자 김경수 '꿈틀'…조국 제치고 범야권 대선 주자 3위로". JTBC (in Korean). Retrieved 2024-12-22.
- ^ Nam, Seung-ryeol (2024-07-12). "한동훈 "3년 후 대선 이길 수 있는 후보가 저라면 나간다"". News 1 (in Korean). Retrieved 2024-07-14.
- ^ Lee, Jun-hee (2024-05-14). "오세훈 국민의힘 지지층 외연 확장 나서, '대선 잠룡' 존재감 서서히 드러낸다". Business Post (in Korean). Retrieved 2024-07-14.
- ^ Hong, Min-seong (2023-09-13). "홍준표 "내가 특이해 보이는 이유? 한국 정치판이 비정상이라"". hankyung.com (in Korean). Retrieved 2024-07-14.
- ^ Han, Sang-hee (2024-05-07). "유승민 "남은 도전 27년 대선 딱 하나…당대표 출마 깊이 고민"". News 1 (in Korean). Retrieved 2024-07-14.
- ^ Bae, Jae-sung (2024-04-29). "차기 대통령은 누구죠? 질문에…안철수 "접니다!" 손 번쩍". The JoongAng (in Korean). Retrieved 2024-07-14.
- ^ Kim, Hyung-jun (2024-04-11). "동탄서 살아난 이준석, '분열의 아이콘' 극복하고 차기 대선주자 위상 찾나". Hankookilbo (in Korean). Retrieved 2024-07-14.
- ^ Park, Soon-bong (2024-01-12). "총선 출마 선그은 이낙연, 대선엔 "지금은…" 여지". Kyunghyang Shinmun (in Korean). Retrieved 2024-07-14.
- ^ Lee, Jae-ho (2024-03-31). "조국혁신당 총선 돌풍 대선까지? 조국, 차기 대통령 여론조사 3위". Pressian (in Korean). Retrieved 2024-07-14.
- ^ Park, Tae-hun (2024-12-13). "조국 "감옥 가면 턱걸이, 푸시업, 스쾃, 책 읽기…슬감생" 다 계획이 있다". News1 (in Korean). Retrieved 2024-12-22.