Wikipedia

2024 United States Senate election in Vermont

For related races, see 2024 United States Senate elections.
Not to be confused with 2024 Vermont Senate election.

The 2024 United States Senate election in Vermont was held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Vermont. Primary elections took place on August 13, 2024.[1] Incumbent Independent Senator Bernie Sanders won re-election to a fourth term, defeating Republican nominee Gerald Malloy.

2024 United States Senate election in Vermont
← 2018 November 5, 2024 2030 →
 
Nominee Bernie Sanders Gerald Malloy
Party Independent Republican
Popular vote 229,429 116,512
Percentage 63.16% 32.07%
Sanders:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
Malloy:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%
Tie:      40–50%
No Data/Vote:      
U.S. senator before election

Bernie Sanders
Independent

Elected U.S. Senator

Bernie Sanders
Independent

Sanders filed paperwork to run for re-election in 2019. On January 8, 2024, he stated he would decide whether or not to seek re-election in the "near future".[2] On May 6, Sanders formally announced that he will run for re-election.[3]

Sanders won by a margin of 31.09 percentage points, making it his weakest Senate electoral performance to date. Sanders lost Essex County, marking his first election since 1994 where he lost any Vermont county, and the first in his Senate career.

Independents

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Candidates

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Declared

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Endorsements

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Bernie Sanders
Organizations

Labor unions

Political parties

Republican primary

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Candidates

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Nominee

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  • Gerald Malloy, businessman and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2022[12]

Results

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Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Gerald Malloy 20,383 96.4%
Write-in 772 3.6%
Total votes 21,155 100.0%

Third-party candidates

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Declared

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General election

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Predictions

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Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[13] Solid I November 9, 2023
Inside Elections[14] Solid I November 9, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[15] Safe I November 9, 2023
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[16] Safe I June 14, 2024
Elections Daily[17] Safe I May 4, 2023
CNalysis[18] Solid I November 21, 2023
RealClearPolitics[19] Solid I August 5, 2024
Split Ticket[20] Safe I October 23, 2024
538[21] Safe I October 23, 2024

Fundraising

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Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Bernie Sanders (I) $33,701,563 $31,717,985 $10,289,572
Gerald Malloy (R) $150,048 $60,752 $90,156
Source: Federal Election Commission[22]

Polling

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Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Bernie
Sanders (I) 		Gerald
Malloy (R) 		Other Undecided
University of New Hampshire[23] October 29 – November 2, 2024 1,167 (LV) ± 2.9% 64% 27% 2%[b] 6%
University of New Hampshire[24] August 15–19, 2024 924 (LV) ± 3.2% 66% 25% 5%[c] 4%

Results

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2024 United States Senate election in Vermont[25]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Independent Bernie Sanders (incumbent) 229,429 63.16% −4.28
Republican Gerald Malloy 116,512 32.07% 4.60
Independent Steve Berry 7,941 2.19% N/A
Libertarian Matt Hill 4,530 1.25% N/A
Green Mountain Peace and Justice Justin Schoville 3,339 0.92% 0.49
E.P.I.C. Mark Stewart Greenstein 1,104 0.30% N/A
Write-in 398 0.11% 0.00
Total votes 363,253 100.0% N/A
Independent hold

Notes

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  1. ^ Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ^ Hill (L) and Berry (I) with 1%
  3. ^ Schoville (GMPJP) with 2%; Hill (L) with 1%; Berry (I) with <1%; "Another candidate" with 2%

References

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  1. ^ "2024 State Primary Election Dates". www.ncsl.org. Retrieved May 13, 2023.
  2. ^ Solender, Andrew. "Bernie Sanders to decide on Senate re-election in "near future"". Axios. Retrieved February 19, 2024.
  3. ^ Metzger, Bryan. "Bernie Sanders is running for reelection". Business Insider. Retrieved May 6, 2024.
  4. ^ a b c d "General Election Candidates". Vermont Secretary of State. May 13, 2024.
  5. ^ Neukam, Stephen; Solender, Andrew (May 6, 2024). "Bernie Sanders will run for re-election". Axios. Retrieved May 6, 2024.
  6. ^ "2024 – Feminist Majority PAC". feministmajoritypac.org. Retrieved March 25, 2024.
  7. ^ "2024 Planned Parenthood Action Fund Endorsed Candidates". Planned Parenthood Action Fund. Retrieved November 6, 2023.
  8. ^ "2024 Endorsements". Population Connection Action Fund. Archived from the original on August 25, 2023. Retrieved March 18, 2024.
  9. ^ "AFA Endorsed Candidates for 2024 Election". Association of Flight Attendants-CWA. Retrieved April 29, 2024.
  10. ^ "Endorsements". UFW. Retrieved February 6, 2024.
  11. ^ https://www.progressiveparty.org/2024endorsements
  12. ^ Bradley, Pat (December 15, 2023). "2022 Senate candidate announces 2024 Senate bid". WAMC. Retrieved January 9, 2024.
  13. ^ "2024 Senate Race ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 25, 2023.
  14. ^ "Senate Ratings". Inside Elections. January 6, 2023. Retrieved January 10, 2023.
  15. ^ "2024 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. January 24, 2023. Retrieved February 13, 2023.
  16. ^ "2024 Senate prediction map". elections2024.thehill.com/. The Hill. June 14, 2024. Retrieved June 8, 2024.
  17. ^ "Election Ratings". Elections Daily. August 1, 2023. Retrieved August 2, 2023.
  18. ^ "'24 Senate Forecast". CNalysis. Retrieved November 21, 2023.
  19. ^ "Battle for the Senate 2024". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved August 5, 2024.
  20. ^ "2024 Senate Forecast". Split Ticket. Retrieved October 23, 2024.
  21. ^ "2024 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved October 23, 2024.
  22. ^ "2024 Election United States Senate - Vermont". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved August 11, 2023.
  23. ^ University of New Hampshire
  24. ^ University of New Hampshire
  25. ^ "2024 General Election Canvass Report" (PDF). VT SOS. Retrieved December 10, 2024.
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Official campaign websites

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