2023 Rhode Island's 1st congressional district special election

The 2023 Rhode Island's 1st congressional district special election was held on November 7, 2023.[1] The seat became vacant following incumbent Democratic representative David Cicilline's resignation on May 31, 2023, to become the president and CEO of the Rhode Island Foundation.[2] This was the first congressional special election in Rhode Island since the 1967 2nd district special election and the first special election in the 1st district since 1935.

2023 Rhode Island's 1st congressional district special election

← 2022 November 7, 2023 2024 →

Rhode Island's 1st congressional district
 
Nominee Gabe Amo Gerry Leonard Jr.
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 43,290 23,393
Percentage 64.7% 35.0%

Municipality results
Amo:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      >90%
Leonard:      50–60%

U.S. Representative before election

David Cicilline
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Gabe Amo
Democratic

The 1st district typically elects Democrats. Cicilline was re-elected with 64.0% of the vote in 2022, while Joe Biden won the district with 63.8% of the vote in 2020.[3] The last time a Republican was elected to represent the 1st district was in 1992, when Ronald Machtley won re-election for a third term. Gabe Amo became the first African American to represent Rhode Island in Congress following the election.[4] Amo has worked in different governmental roles, most recently working in the Biden administration in the White House Office of Intergovernmental Affairs.[5] Leonard served in the U.S. Marine Corps for more than 30 years, serving in Afghanistan, Iraq, Kuwait and Somalia.[6]

Democratic primary

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Candidates

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Nominee

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Eliminated in primary

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Withdrawn

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Disqualified

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Declined

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Endorsements

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Nick Autiello (withdrawn)

Organizations

Gabe Amo

Federal officials

U.S. representatives

Statewide officials

Local officials

Organizations

Labor unions

Newspapers

Pamela Azar (withdrawn)

Organizations

Walter Berbrick

Organizations

Stephen Casey

Organizations

Sandra Cano

Statewide officials

State legislators

Local officials

Labor unions

Individuals

  • Donald Carlson, senior executive director of the Tsai Leadership Program at Yale Law School and former 2023 candidate for this seat[15]
Donald Carlson (withdrawn)

U.S. representatives

Local officials

Organizations

Sabina Matos

U.S. representatives

Statewide officials

State legislators

Individuals

Organizations

Labor unions

Ana Quezada

State legislators

  • Jose Batista, state representative from the 12th district (2021–present)[19]
  • Jeanine Calkin, former state senator from the 30th district (2017–2018, 2021–2023) (her policy co-chair)[19]
  • Enrique Sanchez, state representative from the 9th district (2023–present)[19]
  • Scott Slater, state representative from the 10th district (2009–present)[19]

Local officials

Aaron Regunberg

U.S. senators

U.S. representatives

State legislators

Local officials

Individuals

Labor unions

Organizations

Fundraising

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Campaign finance reports as of August 16, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Gabe Amo (D) $604,406 $449,164 $155,242
Stephanie Beauté (D) $16,201 $11,144 $5,056
Walter Berbrick (D) $183,456 $132,976 $50,480
Sandra Cano (D) $307,352 [b] $247,796 $59,556
Stephen Casey (D) $87,008 $48,646 $1,817
John Gonclaves (D) $190,236 $164,644 $25,592
Sabina Matos (D) $578,972 [c] $452,718 $126,254
Ana Quezada (D) $87,255 $57,869 $29,385
Aaron Regunberg (D) $629,821 $438,556 $191,265
Source: Federal Election Commission[85]

Debates and candidate forums

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No. Date Host Moderator Link Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
Gabe Amo Stephanie Beauté Walter Berbrick Sandra Cano Donald Carlson Stephen Casey Spencer Dickinson John Goncalves Sabina Matos Ana Quezada Aaron Regunberg Allen Waters
1 Jul. 19, 2023 Ray-ality TV Raymond Baccari Jr.
Ryan Lukowicz
YouTube (part 1)
YouTube (part 2)
P P P P P P P P P P P P
2 Aug. 17, 2023 Roger Williams University Edward Fitzpatrick
Steph Machado
YouTube P P P P P P N P P P P N
3 Aug. 22, 2023 Rhode Island College
Rhode Island PBS
The Providence Journal
The Public's Radio
Patrick Anderson
Ian Donnis
YouTube P P P P P P N P P P P N
4[86] Aug. 31, 2023 WJAR Brian Crandall YouTube N P N P W P N N N P P P
5 Sep. 1, 2023 WJAR Brian Crandall YouTube P N P N W N P P P N N N

Polling

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Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[d]
Margin
of error
Marvin Abney Gabe Amo Nick Autiello Sandra Cano Don Carlson John Goncalves Sabina Matos Aaron Regunberg Other Undecided
August 27, 2023 Carlson withdraws from the race
Global Strategy Group (D)[87] [A] August 15–17, 2023 451 (V) 19% 11% 8% 11% 28% 8%[e] 15%
July 19, 2023 Autiello withdraws from the race
July 18, 2023 Abney is disqualified from the race
Lake Research Partners (D)[88] [B] July 12–16, 2023 300 (V) 4% 6% 5% 7% 2% 4% 20% 12% 33%
RMG Research[89][C] June 28–30, 2023 300 (LV) ± 5.7% 8% 3% 17% 22% 48%
Expedition Strategies[90][D] June 5–8, 2023 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 4% 3% 3% 6% 2% 5% 22% 9% 4%[f] 43%

Results

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Primary results by municipality:
  Amo
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  Regunberg
  •   20–30%
  Cano
  •   30–40%
  Casey
  •   30–40%
Democratic primary results[91]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Gabe Amo 12,946 32.4
Democratic Aaron Regunberg 9,960 24.9
Democratic Sandra Cano 5,574 13.9
Democratic Sabina Matos 3,210 8.0
Democratic Stephen Casey 2,329 5.8
Democratic Walter Berbrick 1,453 3.6
Democratic Ana Quezada 1,415 3.5
Democratic John Goncalves 1,118 2.8
Democratic Donald Carlson (withdrawn) 690 1.7
Democratic Allen Waters 503 1.3
Democratic Stephanie Beauté 428 1.1
Democratic Spencer Dickinson 354 0.9
Total votes 39,980 100.0

Republican primary

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Candidates

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Nominee

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Eliminated in primary

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Disqualified

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Declined

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Endorsements

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Gerry Leonard Jr.

State legislators

Political parties

Debate and forum

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2023 Rhode Island's 1st congressional district republican primary debate and candidate forum
No. Date Host Moderator Link Republican Republican
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
Terri Flynn Gerry Leonard
1 Aug. 24, 2023 The Providence Journal
The Public's Radio
Rhode Island PBS
Patrick Anderson
Ian Donnis
YouTube P P
2 Sep. 1, 2023 WJAR Gene Valicenti YouTube P P

Fundraising

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Campaign finance reports as of August 16, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Gerry Leonard Jr. (R) $122,221[g] $11,138 $111,082
Source: Federal Election Commission[85]

Results

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Primary results by municipality:
  Leonard Jr.
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  •   >90%
Republican primary results[91]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Gerry Leonard Jr. 3,076 75.7
Republican Terri Flynn 989 24.3
Total votes 4,065 100.0

Independents

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Disqualified

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Declined

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General election

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Predictions

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Source Ranking As of
Inside Elections[99] Safe D February 23, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[100] Safe D February 22, 2023
The Cook Political Report[101] Safe D July 25, 2023
Politico[102] Safe D August 29, 2023

Polling

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Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[d]
Margin
of error
Gabe
Amo (D)
Gerry
Leonard (R)
Undecided
Salve Regina University/Embold Research[103] October 12–17, 2023 386 (RV) ± 4.0% 46% 35% 15%

Results

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2023 Rhode Island's 1st congressional district special election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Gabe Amo 43,290 64.73 0.70
Republican Gerry Leonard Jr. 23,393 34.98 −0.78
Write-in 193 0.29 0.06
Total votes 66,876 100.00
Democratic hold
By county
County Gabe Amo
Democratic
Gerry Leonard Jr.
Republican
Write-in Margin Total votes
# % # % # % # %
Bristol 7,465 67.16% 3,618 32.55% 33 0.30% 3,847 34.61% 11,116
Newport 10,025 62.97% 5,865 36.84% 31 0.19% 4,160 26.13% 15,921
Providence (part) 25,800 64.76% 13,910 34.92% 129 0.32% 11,890 29.85% 39,839
Total 43,290 64.73% 23,393 34.98% 193 0.29% 19,897 29.75% 66,876

See also

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Notes

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  1. ^ This poll was sponsored by Amo's campaign
  2. ^ This poll was sponsored by Autiello's campaign
  3. ^ This poll was sponsored by US Term Limits. While the group has not endorsed a candidate in this race, Amo has signed their term limits pledge.
  4. ^ This poll was sponsored by Matos's campaign
  1. ^ 5 from Rhode Island, 1 from New Hampshire
  2. ^ $80,000 of this total was self-funded by Cano
  3. ^ $20,000 of this total was self-funded by Matos
  4. ^ a b Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  5. ^ "Another candidate not mentioned here" with 8%
  6. ^ Stephen Casey and Ana Quezada with 2%; Walter Berbick with 0%
  7. ^ $50,000 of this total was self-funded by Leonard

References

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  1. ^ Nesi, Ted; Sherman, Eli; Machado, Steph (March 29, 2023). "Dates set for special election to replace Cicilline in Congress". WPRI-TV.
  2. ^ Shapero, Julia (February 21, 2023). "Democratic Rep. Cicilline to leave Congress in June". The Hill. Retrieved February 21, 2023.
  3. ^ "Daily Kos Elections' 2020 presidential results by congressional district, for new and old districts".
  4. ^ LeBlanc, Steve (September 6, 2023). "Democrat Gabe Amo one win away from being 1st person of color to represent Rhode Island in Congress". Associated Press. Retrieved September 7, 2023.
  5. ^ "Gabe Amo '10 appointed to White House role". Wheaton College Massachusetts. March 3, 2021. Retrieved October 25, 2023.
  6. ^ "Meet the Candidates: Gerry Leonard". WPRI.com. August 10, 2023. Retrieved October 25, 2023.
  7. ^ "Gabe Amo wins Democratic primary in RI's 1st Congressional District". WPRI. September 6, 2023. Retrieved September 6, 2023.
  8. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x "Candidates for REPRESENTATIVE IN CONGRESS DISTRICT 1 - UNEXPIRED TERM". The Rhode Island Secretary of State. Retrieved July 3, 2023.
  9. ^ "Autiello drops out of race for Congress". ABC6. July 19, 2023. Retrieved July 19, 2023.
  10. ^ a b "Primary School 8/12". Primary School. August 12, 2023. Retrieved August 12, 2023.
  11. ^ "Lincoln Town Councilor Azar Entering Race for Congress".
  12. ^ a b c Raymond Baccari Jr. [@RayBaccari] (June 8, 2023). "INBOX: Providence City Councilor @justinroias and Lincoln Town Councilor @pazar61135 endorse @anaqforcongress for CD1" (Tweet). Retrieved June 9, 2023 – via Twitter.
  13. ^ Nesi, Ted (March 23, 2023). "Rep. Nathan Biah joins race to replace Cicilline". WPRI-TV.
  14. ^ "Democrat withdraws from congressional special election to run for state Senate". WJAR. June 5, 2023.
  15. ^ a b "Donald Carlson drops out of CD1 race, endorses Sandra Cano". The Providence Journal. Retrieved August 27, 2023.
  16. ^ Fitzpatrick, Edward. "After mini-stroke, Paul LeBon withdraws from R.I. race for Congress - The Boston Globe". The Boston Globe. Retrieved July 10, 2023.
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  19. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad ae af ag ah ai aj ak Fitzpatrick, Edward (May 25, 2023). "May 25 Update: The latest political news in Rhode Island". The Boston Globe. Retrieved May 25, 2023.
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  21. ^ @RayBaccari (February 21, 2023). "As for if he'll run for the soon-to-be open CD-1 seat, Sen. @SamuelWBell said, "I'm focused on fighting for the people of Providence in the Senate and spending time with my family" (Tweet). Retrieved May 31, 2023 – via Twitter.
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  26. ^ a b "State Sen. Sandra Cano announces run for Congress". NBC News 10 WJAR. March 20, 2023. Retrieved April 14, 2023.
  27. ^ Anderson, Patrick; Gregg, Katherine; Noori Farzan, Antonia (August 15, 2023). "The latest from the 1st Congressional District election: Senate President Ruggerio backs Cano over fellow Senator". Providence Journal. Retrieved August 16, 2023.
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  30. ^ Belmore, Ryan (April 13, 2023). "Senator Euer confirms she's not running for Congress, will endorse Sandra Cano in race for CD1". WUN (What's Up News). Retrieved April 13, 2023.
  31. ^ "Helena Foulkes announces she will not run for Congress". WJAR. March 20, 2023. Retrieved March 20, 2023.
  32. ^ "Pawtucket mayor says he won't run for Congress in special election". WJAR. May 31, 2023.
  33. ^ a b "Pawtucket mayor announces endorsement in congressional race". WJAR by NBC News 10. June 12, 2023. Retrieved June 13, 2023.
  34. ^ @SANDRISCANO (June 22, 2023). "I'm honored to receive the endorsement of my friend and legislative colleague, State Senator @MeghanEKallman! "With her tenacity and ability to build coalitions, Sandra will be an incredible voice for us in Washington."" (Tweet). Retrieved June 23, 2023 – via Twitter.
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  38. ^ "Former AG Lynch backs Gabe Amo in packed RI congressional race". WPRI. June 1, 2023. Retrieved June 1, 2023.
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  40. ^ Raymond Host of Ray-ality TV [@RaymondB916] (February 22, 2023). "A spokesperson for @CumberlandMayor tells me that Mayor Mutter "has no intention of running for the congressional seat."" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  41. ^ "Mayor Jeff Mutter and Cumberland Democrats Endorse Sandra Cano for Congress".
  42. ^ "Shekarchi mulls options, Matos visits DC as race for Congress slowly comes into focus". February 28, 2023.
  43. ^ "Daily Kos Elections Live Digest: 2/23". February 23, 2023.
  44. ^ Fitzpatrick, Edward (April 3, 2023). "Central Falls Mayor Rivera won't run for Congress". The Boston Globe. Archived from the original on April 3, 2023.
  45. ^ a b Fujii, Albert (May 25, 2023). "LGBTQ Victory Fund Endorses 17 More Candidates". LGBTQ Victory Fund. Retrieved May 25, 2023.
  46. ^ a b "Matos campaign says poll shows her leading RI race for Congress". WPRI-TV 12. June 12, 2023. Retrieved June 12, 2023.
  47. ^ Fitzpatrick, Edward (August 31, 2023). "In R.I. congressional district race, AOC backs Regunberg and Patrick Kennedy backs Amo". The Boston Globe. Retrieved August 31, 2023.
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  49. ^ "Primary School 8/18". Primary School. August 18, 2023. Retrieved August 18, 2023.
  50. ^ "Candidates". The Collective PAC. Retrieved September 8, 2023.
  51. ^ a b Fitzpatrick, Edward. "Cano and Amo pick up key endorsements as the R.I. congressional race heats up - The Boston Globe". The Boston Globe. Retrieved July 13, 2023.
  52. ^ Reform Party of the United States [@ReformParty] (April 24, 2023). "Three term Lincoln Town Councilor Pamela Azar has aligned herself with the Reform Party! She is running in the 1st Rhode Island Congressional District. If you want reform, vote for Pamela Azar!" (Tweet). Retrieved April 25, 2023 – via Twitter.
  53. ^ "VoteVets PAC Endorses Walter Berbrick for Congress". VoteVets. July 27, 2023. Retrieved July 27, 2023.
  54. ^ Vega, Anthony (June 29, 2023). "North Providence mayor endorses Sen. Cano for Congress". ABC News 6. Retrieved June 29, 2023.
  55. ^ "RIFTHP Proudly Endorses Sandra Cano For RI Congressional District One". Rhode Island Federation of Teachers and Health Professionals. August 16, 2023.
  56. ^ "Elect Democratic Women endorses Sabina Matos in the special election for Rhode Island's 1st Congressional District". Elect Democratic Women. June 20, 2023. Retrieved July 14, 2023.
  57. ^ "First Major Endorsement Goes to Matos". GoLocalProv News. April 20, 2023. Retrieved April 20, 2023.
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  59. ^ a b "Latino Victory Fund Endorses Matos in Historic Bid for Rhode Island's 1st Congressional District". Latino Victory Fund. May 25, 2023. Retrieved May 25, 2023.
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  62. ^ "Powerful Laborers union throws its weight behind Matos in race for Congress". WPRI. July 14, 2023. Retrieved July 14, 2023.
  63. ^ "Bernie Sanders wades into crowded Rhode Island Democratic primary". NBC News. July 27, 2023. Retrieved July 27, 2023.
  64. ^ "Proud to be endorsed by @rosadelauro, one of David Cicilline's closest allies in Congress. She's been fighting to make government work for regular people – not just for entrenched corporate interests – for decades, and I'm honored to have her trust and confidence!".
  65. ^ a b "High-profile progressive lawmakers Khanna, Schakowsky back Regunberg for Congress". WPRI. July 11, 2023. Retrieved July 11, 2023.
  66. ^ "AOC endorses Regunberg, front-runner in CD1 race, as a 'fierce champion for working people'". The Providence Journal. Retrieved August 31, 2023.
  67. ^ a b c Machado, Steph (April 12, 2023). "Providence Sen. Ana Quezada joins crowded RI congressional race". Retrieved April 14, 2023.
  68. ^ Fitzpatrick, Edward (April 20, 2023). "R.I. progressives assail Regunberg as he runs for Congress". The Boston Globe. Retrieved April 20, 2023.
  69. ^ a b c MacGowan, Dan (April 10, 2023). "Aaron Regunberg enters R.I. First Congressional District race". The Boston Globe. Retrieved April 14, 2023.
  70. ^ Fitzpatrick, Edward (May 10, 2023). "Regunberg receives backing and barbs in R.I. congressional race". The Boston Globe. Retrieved May 11, 2023.
  71. ^ Aaron Regunberg [@AaronRegunberg] (September 3, 2023). "So honored to be endorsed by Providence City Council President Rachel Miller @RachelRI and to be surrounded by so many RI leaders as we fight to build a fair economy and a government that works for everyone!" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  72. ^ Nesi, Ted (June 17, 2023). "Nesi's Notes: June 17". WPRI 12. Retrieved June 19, 2023.
  73. ^ a b c "National Environmental Groups Endorse Aaron Regunberg for RI-1". Friends of the Earth Action. August 15, 2023. Retrieved August 15, 2023.
  74. ^ "We do not endorse mediocre Democrats". Climate Hawks Vote. Retrieved June 21, 2023.
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  76. ^ "Aaron Regunberg". JStreetPAC. Archived from the original on August 26, 2023. Retrieved August 26, 2023.
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  78. ^ Minsky, Alan (June 26, 2023). "PDA Endorses Aaron Regunberg for Congress in RI-1 Special Election". Progressive Democrats of America. Retrieved June 26, 2023.
  79. ^ Machado, Steph (May 17, 2023). "RI Working Families Party endorses Regunberg for 1st Congressional District race". WPRI 12. Retrieved May 17, 2023.
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  82. ^ Fernandez, Madison (June 26, 2023). "Dem firm wants to beat 'lazy' campaigns targeting Latinos". Politico. Retrieved June 26, 2023.
  83. ^ Seitz-Wald, Alex (September 2, 2023). "The far left wages an internal fight: Help Democrats or reject the establishment?". NBC News. Retrieved September 3, 2023.
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  86. ^ Zamore, Allegra (August 31, 2023). "All Democratic candidates running in Rhode Island's 1st District special election to debate on NBC 10". WJAR. Retrieved September 25, 2023.
  87. ^ Global Strategy Group (D)
  88. ^ Lake Research Partners (D)
  89. ^ RMG Research
  90. ^ Expedition Strategies
  91. ^ a b "Candidate qualifying deadline passes and reveals slate of 2023 statewide candidates". WLBT. February 1, 2022. Retrieved February 2, 2023.
  92. ^ "Gerry Leonard wins GOP nomination in RI's 1st Congressional District". WPRI. September 6, 2023. Retrieved September 6, 2023.
  93. ^ katherine gregg [@kathyprojo] (April 3, 2023). "Two potential CD#1 candidates have bowed out today: *Central Falls Mayor Maria Rivera, a Democrat *Republican Aaron Guckian, who tells me he's lined up a new job. Details to come. *Hearing at least 1 more person is out who made top tier on some media lists. Awaiting confirmation" (Tweet). Retrieved May 31, 2023 – via Twitter.
  94. ^ katherine gregg [@kathyprojo] (February 22, 2023). "Asked if he will run for CD1, Republican state Rep. @BrianCNewberry told me: "I'd prefer not to be bankrupt and divorced, intriguing as the idea is."" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
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  103. ^ Salve Regina University/Embold Research
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Official campaign websites