The 2016 United States Senate election in New York was held November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of New York, concurrently with the presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. The primaries took place on June 28. As of 2023, this is the last time any U.S. Senate candidate in New York won a general election by more than 35 percentage points.
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Schumer: 40-50% 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% 80-90% >90% Long: 40-50% 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 40–50% 50% No votes | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Incumbent Democratic Senator Chuck Schumer won re-election to a fourth term in office.[1] This was considered by many polling aggregate groups to be one of the safest Democratic seats in the nation for this cycle. The prediction turned out to be correct, with Schumer winning around 71% of the vote and all but 5 of the state's 62 counties: Hamilton, Orleans, Wyoming, Allegany and Steuben.
Democratic primary
editCandidates
editDeclared
edit- Chuck Schumer, incumbent U.S. Senator[1]
Republican primary
editCandidates
editDeclared
edit- Wendy Long, attorney and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2012[2]
Declined
edit- Richard L. Hanna, U.S. Representative[3]
- Larry Kudlow, economist, television personality and columnist[4][5]
- Adele Malpass, Chairwoman of the Manhattan Republican Party and wife of 2010 Senate candidate David Malpass
Third-party and independent candidates
editLibertarian Party
edit- Alex Merced, activist[6]
Green Party
edit- Robin Laverne Wilson[7]
Conservative Party
edit- Wendy Long, attorney and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2012[8]
General election
editDebates
edit| Dates | Location | Schumer | Long | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 30, 2016 | Schenectady, New York | Participant | Participant | [9] |
Endorsements
editChuck Schumer
U.S. Senators
- Al D'Amato, former U.S. Senator from New York, 1981-1999 (Republican)[10]
Media Companies
Predictions
edit| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[12] | Safe D | November 2, 2016 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] | Safe D | November 7, 2016 |
| Rothenberg Political Report[14] | Safe D | November 3, 2016 |
| Daily Kos[15] | Safe D | November 8, 2016 |
| Real Clear Politics[16] | Safe D | November 7, 2016 |
Polling
edit| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Chuck Schumer (D) |
Wendy Long (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyMonkey[17] | November 1–7, 2016 | 2,208 | ± 4.6% | 71% | 25% | — | 4% |
| SurveyMonkey[18] | October 31–November 6, 2016 | 2,132 | ± 4.6% | 71% | 25% | — | 4% |
| Siena College[19] | November 3–4, 2016 | 617 | ± 4.5% | 67% | 25% | — | 8% |
| SurveyMonkey[20] | October 28–November 3, 2016 | 1,949 | ± 4.6% | 71% | 26% | — | 3% |
| SurveyMonkey[21] | October 27–November 2, 2016 | 1,755 | ± 4.6% | 70% | 26% | — | 4% |
| SurveyMonkey[22] | October 26–November 1, 2016 | 1,645 | ± 4.6% | 70% | 27% | — | 3% |
| SurveyMonkey[23] | October 25–31, 2016 | 1,734 | ± 4.6% | 68% | 28% | — | 4% |
| Siena College[24] | October 13–17, 2016 | 611 | ± 4.6% | 66% | 27% | 1% | 6% |
| NBC 4 NY/WSJ/Marist[25] | September 21–23, 2016 | 676 | ± 3.8% | 70% | 24% | 1% | 6% |
| Siena College[26] | September 11–15, 2016 | 600 | ± 5.0% | 69% | 23% | — | 8% |
| Emerson College[27] | August 28–30, 2016 | 800 | ± 3.4% | 60% | 23% | 4% | 12% |
| Siena College[28] | August 7–10, 2016 | 717 | ± 4.3% | 63% | 24% | — | 13% |
| Quinnipiac University[29] | July 13–17, 2016 | 1,104 | ± 3.0% | 60% | 28% | 1% | 8% |
| Siena College[30] | June 22–28, 2016 | 803 | ± 4.0% | 66% | 23% | — | 11% |
| Siena College[31] | May 22–26, 2016 | 825 | ± 3.9% | 64% | 22% | — | 14% |
| Siena College[32] | April 24–27, 2016 | 802 | ± 4.1% | 64% | 24% | — | 12% |
| Public Policy Polling[33] | April 7–10, 2016 | 1,403 | ± 2.6% | 55% | 23% | — | 22% |
| Quinnipiac University[34] | March 22–29, 2016 | 1,667 | ± 2.4% | 63% | 24% | — | 11% |
Results
edit| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Chuck Schumer | 4,784,218 | 64.72% | 6.25% | |
| Working Families | Chuck Schumer | 241,672 | 3.27% | −0.73% | |
| Independence | Chuck Schumer | 150,654 | 2.04% | −1.82% | |
| Women's Equality | Chuck Schumer | 45,401 | 0.61% | N/A | |
| Total | Chuck Schumer (incumbent) | 5,221,945 | 70.64% | 4.31% | |
| Republican | Wendy Long | 1,723,920 | 23.32% | −3.65% | |
| Conservative | Wendy Long | 267,622 | 3.62% | −1.62% | |
| Reform | Wendy Long | 17,813 | 0.24% | N/A | |
| Total | Wendy Long | 2,009,355 | 27.18% | −5.03% | |
| Green | Robin Laverne Wilson | 113,413 | 1.53% | 0.61% | |
| Libertarian | Alex Merced | 48,120 | 0.65% | 0.11% | |
| Total votes | 7,392,833 | 100.0% | N/A | ||
| Democratic hold | |||||
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
editCounties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
edit- Alleghany (largest municipality: Wellsville)
- Orleans (largest municipality: Albion)
- Steuben (largest municipality: Corning)
By congressional district
editSchumer won all 27 congressional districts, including nine that elected Republicans.[36]
| District | Schumer | Long | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 58% | 40% | Lee Zeldin |
| 2nd | 61% | 38% | Peter T. King |
| 3rd | 64% | 35% | Steve Israel |
| Thomas Suozzi | |||
| 4th | 66% | 32% | Kathleen Rice |
| 5th | 90% | 9% | Gregory Meeks |
| 6th | 75% | 22% | Grace Meng |
| 7th | 88% | 8% | Nydia Velázquez |
| 8th | 89% | 8% | Hakeem Jeffries |
| 9th | 89% | 9% | Yvette Clarke |
| 10th | 82% | 15% | Jerry Nadler |
| 11th | 64% | 34% | Dan Donovan |
| 12th | 83% | 14% | Carolyn Maloney |
| 13th | 92% | 5% | Charles B. Rangel |
| Adriano Espaillat | |||
| 14th | 84% | 14% | Joe Crowley |
| 15th | 95% | 4% | Jose Serrano |
| 16th | 80% | 19% | Eliot Engel |
| 17th | 68% | 30% | Nita Lowey |
| 18th | 59% | 39% | Sean Patrick Maloney |
| 19th | 58% | 39% | John Faso |
| 20th | 68% | 30% | Paul Tonko |
| 21st | 57% | 40% | Elise Stefanik |
| 22nd | 59% | 38% | Richard L. Hanna |
| Claudia Tenney | |||
| 23rd | 56% | 42% | Tom Reed |
| 24th | 66% | 32% | John Katko |
| 25th | 68% | 30% | Louise Slaughter |
| 26th | 74% | 23% | Brian Higgins |
| 27th | 55% | 43% | Chris Collins |
References
edit- ^ a b Emily Cahn; Alexis Levinson (January 28, 2015). "Senators Confirm Re-Election Bids for 2016". Roll Call. Archived from the original on January 29, 2015. Retrieved January 29, 2015.
- ^ Tumulty, Brian (March 3, 2016). "Republican Wendy Long will run against Sen. Chuck Schumer". Gannett News Service. Retrieved March 3, 2016.
- ^ Weiner, Mark (April 7, 2015). "U.S. Rep. Richard Hanna says he won't run against Chuck Schumer in 2016 NY senate race". Syracuse.com. Retrieved April 7, 2015.
- ^ Johnson, Eliana (June 24, 2015). "Larry Kudlow and NRSC Renew Discussions on Senate Run". National Review. Retrieved June 25, 2015.
- ^ Burns, Alexander (September 22, 2015). "Larry Kudlow Weighs Run Against Senator Richard Blumenthal in Connecticut". The New York Times. Retrieved October 1, 2015.
- ^ "Candidates 2016". Libertarian Party of New York. Archived from the original on December 17, 2018. Retrieved December 19, 2018.
- ^ "Dr. Jill Stein Wins 89% of GPNY Presidential Convention Vote, Robin Laverne Wilson Rallies For US Senate". Green Party of New York. June 12, 2016.
- ^ "Wendy Long works convention to boost long-shot Senate bid". The Journal News.
- ^ Full debate
- ^ Campanile, Carl (September 29, 2015). "D'Amato endorses former opponent Schumer for re-election". New York Post. Archived from the original on January 17, 2022. Retrieved January 17, 2022.
- ^ "Editorial endorsement: U.S. Sen. Charles Schumer for re-election in 2016". Advance Media New York. October 21, 2016. Archived from the original on January 17, 2022. Retrieved January 17, 2022.
- ^ "2016 Senate Race Ratings for November 2, 2016". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved March 26, 2021.
- ^ "2016 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved September 19, 2016.
- ^ "2016 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved November 3, 2016.
- ^ "Daily Kos Election 2016 forecast: The final version". Daily Kos. Retrieved March 27, 2021.
- ^ "Battle for the Senate 2016". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved October 28, 2016.
- ^ SurveyMonkey
- ^ SurveyMonkey
- ^ Siena College Archived June 3, 2017, at the Wayback Machine
- ^ SurveyMonkey
- ^ SurveyMonkey
- ^ SurveyMonkey
- ^ SurveyMonkey
- ^ Siena College Archived March 11, 2017, at the Wayback Machine
- ^ NBC 4 NY/WSJ/Marist
- ^ Siena College Archived January 31, 2017, at the Wayback Machine
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Siena College
- ^ Quinnipiac University Archived August 15, 2016, at the Wayback Machine
- ^ Siena College
- ^ Siena College Archived January 31, 2017, at the Wayback Machine
- ^ Siena College Archived March 3, 2017, at the Wayback Machine
- ^ Public Policy Polling
- ^ Quinnipiac University Archived August 15, 2016, at the Wayback Machine
- ^ "New York State Official Election Night Results" (PDF). New York Board of Elections. Archived from the original (PDF) on February 27, 2021. Retrieved December 28, 2016.
- ^ "DRA 2020". Daves Redistricting.
External links
editOfficial campaign websites