Wikipedia

2010 Ohio gubernatorial election

See also: 2010 United States gubernatorial elections

The 2010 Ohio gubernatorial election took place on November 2, 2010. Incumbent Democratic Governor Ted Strickland ran for re-election to a second term as governor and was opposed by former U.S. Representative John Kasich; both Strickland and Kasich won their respective primaries uncontested. The race between the two major candidates was prolonged and brutal, with both candidates employing various campaign surrogates to bolster their campaigns. Ultimately, Kasich defeated Strickland.

2010 Ohio gubernatorial election
← 2006 November 2, 2010 2014 →
 
Nominee John Kasich Ted Strickland
Party Republican Democratic
Running mate Mary Taylor Yvette Brown
Popular vote 1,889,186 1,812,059
Percentage 49.04% 47.04%
Kasich:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%
Strickland:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
Governor before election

Ted Strickland
Democratic

Elected Governor

John Kasich
Republican

Strickland's defeat was widely attributed to the decline of Ohio's economy, as well as the loss of 400,000 jobs since the beginning of his term. The policies of the then-president Barack Obama proved to be a hot topic among voters, with Strickland voicing his support for the healthcare overhauls initiated by Obama's administration, contrary to Kasich, who opposed the policies.[1] As of 2023, this is the last time an incumbent governor of Ohio lost re-election.

Democratic primary

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Candidates

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Results

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Democratic primary results[2]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Ted Strickland (incumbent) 630,785 100.00%
Total votes 630,785 100.00%

Republican primary

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Candidates

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Results

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Republican primary results[3]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican John Kasich 746,719 100.00%
Total votes 746,719 100.00%

Libertarian primary

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Candidates

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  • Ken Matesz

Results

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Libertarian Party primary results[4]
Party Candidate Votes %
Libertarian Ken Matesz 4,407 100.00%
Total votes 4,407 100.00%

Green primary

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Candidates

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  • Dennis Spisak, former congressional candidate

Results

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Green Party primary results[5]
Party Candidate Votes %
Green Dennis Spisak 924 100.00%
Total votes 924 100.00%

General election

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Predictions

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Source Ranking As of
Cook Political Report[6] Tossup October 14, 2010
Rothenberg[7] Tilt R (flip) October 28, 2010
RealClearPolitics[8] Tossup November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[9] Lean R (flip) October 28, 2010
CQ Politics[10] Tossup October 28, 2010

Polling

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Poll source Date(s) administered Ted
Strickland (D) 		John
Kasich (R)
Public Policy Polling[11] October 28–30, 2010 48% 49%
Angus Reid Public Opinion[12] October 27–29, 2010 46% 49%
Survey USA[13] October 22–26, 2010 44% 49%
Quinnipiac University[14] October 18–24, 2010 43% 49%
Fox News/POR[15] October 23, 2010 43% 47%
CNN/Time Magazine[16] October 15–19, 2010 48% 46%
University of Cincinnati[17] October 14–18, 2010 47% 49%
Quinnipiac University[18] October 12–17, 2010 41% 51%
University of Cincinnati[19] October 8–13, 2010 43% 51%
Rasmussen Reports[20] October 11, 2010 45% 48%
Fox News/POR[21] October 9, 2010 42% 47%
Angus Reid Public Opinion[22] October 5–8, 2010 46% 48%
Quinnipiac University[23] September 29 – October 3, 2010 41% 50%
Fox News/POR[24] October 2, 2010 43% 49%
Rasmussen Reports[25] September 27, 2010 42% 50%
CBS/NY Times[26] September 23–27, 2010 42% 43%
Reuters/Ipsos[27] September 23–25, 2010 46% 47%
Ohio Newspapers Poll/UC[28] September 24, 2010 45% 49%
SurveyUSA[29] September 14, 2010 40% 52%
CNN/Time Magazine[30] September 10–14, 2010 44% 51%
Quinnipiac[31] September 9–14, 2010 37% 54%
Rasmussen Reports[32] September 13, 2010 43% 50%
Fox News/Pulse Research[33] September 11, 2010 43% 48%
The Columbus Dispatch[34] August 25 – September 3, 2010 37% 49%
Rasmussen Reports[35] August 30, 2010 39% 47%
Public Policy Polling[36] August 27–29, 2010 40% 50%
Rasmussen Reports[37] August 16, 2010 40% 48%
Reuters/Ipsos[38] August 6–8, 2010 39% 48%
Rasmussen Reports[39] August 2, 2010 42% 45%
Rasmussen Reports[40] July 19, 2010 43% 48%
Rasmussen Reports[41] June 29, 2010 40% 47%
Public Policy Polling[42] June 26–27, 2010 41% 43%
Quinnipiac[43] June 22–27, 2010 43% 38%
Rasmussen Reports[44] June 3, 2010 42% 47%
UC/The Ohio Poll[45] May 11–20, 2010 49% 44%
Rasmussen Reports[46] May 5, 2010 45% 46%
Quinnipiac[47] April 21–26, 2010 44% 38%
Research 2000[48] April 5–7, 2010 45% 40%
Rasmussen Reports[49] March 30, 2010 45% 46%
Quinnipiac[50] March 23–29, 2010 43% 38%
Public Policy Polling[51] March 20–21, 2010 37% 42%
Rasmussen Reports[52] March 4, 2010 38% 49%
Quinnipiac[53] February 16–21, 2010 44% 39%
Rasmussen Reports[54] February 5–6, 2010 41% 47%
The Ohio Newspaper[55] January 13–19, 2010 45% 51%
Ohio Right to Life[56] January 8–12, 2010 33% 43%
Rasmussen Reports[57] January 12, 2010 40% 47%
Rasmussen Reports[58] December 7, 2009 39% 48%
Quinnipiac[59] November 5–9, 2009 40% 40%
The Ohio Newspaper[60] October 14–20, 2009 48% 47%
Rasmussen Reports[61] September 23, 2009 45% 46%
Quinnipiac[62] September 10–13, 2009 46% 36%
Research 2000[63] July 8, 2009 44% 39%
Quinnipiac[64] June 26 – July 1, 2009 43% 38%
Public Policy Polling[65] June 17–19, 2009 44% 42%
Quinnipiac[66] April 28 – May 4, 2009 51% 32%
Quinnipiac[67] March 10–15, 2009 51% 31%
Quinnipiac[68] January 29 – February 2, 2009 56% 26%
Public Policy Polling[69] January 17–18, 2009 45% 39%

Results

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When the polls closed on election night, the race was very close, with Strickland and Kasich neck and neck. As the night wore on, Kasich's lead began to pick up strength, however once Cuyahoga County came in, Kasich's lead began to erode. In the end Kasich still won, but it was one of the closest gubernatorial elections in Ohio history. Strickland conceded at around 2 A.M. EST.

2010 Ohio gubernatorial election[70]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican John Kasich 1,889,186 49.04% 12.39%
Democratic Ted Strickland (incumbent) 1,812,059 47.04% −13.50%
Libertarian Ken Matesz 92,116 2.39% 0.61%
Green Dennis Spisak 58,475 1.52% 0.50%
Write-in 633 0.02% N/A
Majority 77,127 2.00% −21.89%
Total votes 3,852,469 100.00%
Republican gain from Democratic

By county

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County[71] John Kasich
Republican		 Ted Strickland
Democratic		 Other votes Total
votes
% # % # % #
Adams 57.96% 4,837 38.23% 3,191 3.81% 318
Allen 57.57% 8,401 38.69% 1,936 3.74% 1,233
Ashland 60.89% 10,586 33.92% 5,897 5.19% 902
Ashtabula 42.30% 12,582 50.85% 15,128 6.86% 2,038
Athens 26.42% 4,525 70.48% 12,073 3.10% 531
Auglaize 65.79% 10,873 28.97% 4,788 1.61% 265
Belmont 43.96% 10,411 52.64% 12,467 3.40% 805
Brown 58.60% 7,803 36.76% 4,894 4.64% 618
Butler 62.69% 74,942 33.59% 40,153 3.72% 4,444

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

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References

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  1. ^ "Ohio - Election Results 2010 - The New York Times". www.nytimes.com. Retrieved May 21, 2020.
  2. ^ "Governor and Lieutenant Governor - Democratic: May 4, 2010 - Ohio Secretary of State". www.sos.state.oh.us.
  3. ^ "Governor and Lieutenant Governor - Republican: May 4, 2010 - Ohio Secretary of State". www.sos.state.oh.us.
  4. ^ "Governor and Lieutenant Governor - Libertarian: May 4, 2010 - Ohio Secretary of State". www.sos.state.oh.us.
  5. ^ "Governor and Lieutenant Governor - Green: May 4, 2010 - Ohio Secretary of State". www.sos.state.oh.us.
  6. ^ "2010 Governors Race Ratings". Cook Political Report. Archived from the original on October 28, 2010. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  7. ^ "Governor Ratings". Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  8. ^ "2010 Governor Races". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  9. ^ "THE CRYSTAL BALL'S FINAL CALLS". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  10. ^ "Race Ratings Chart: Governor". CQ Politics. Archived from the original on October 5, 2010. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  11. ^ Public Policy Polling
  12. ^ Angus Reid Public Opinion[usurped]
  13. ^ Survey USA
  14. ^ Quinnipiac University
  15. ^ Fox News/POR
  16. ^ CNN/Time Magazine
  17. ^ University of Cincinnati
  18. ^ Quinnipiac University
  19. ^ University of Cincinnati
  20. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  21. ^ Fox News/POR
  22. ^ Angus Reid Public Opinion[usurped]
  23. ^ Quinnipiac University
  24. ^ Fox News/POR
  25. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  26. ^ CBS/NY Times
  27. ^ Reuters/Ipsos
  28. ^ Ohio Newspapers Poll/UC
  29. ^ SurveyUSA
  30. ^ CNN/Time Magazine
  31. ^ Quinnipiac
  32. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  33. ^ Fox News/Pulse Research
  34. ^ The Columbus Dispatch
  35. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  36. ^ Public Policy Polling
  37. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  38. ^ Reuters/Ipsos
  39. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  40. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  41. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  42. ^ Public Policy Polling
  43. ^ Quinnipiac
  44. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  45. ^ UC/The Ohio Poll
  46. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  47. ^ Quinnipiac
  48. ^ Research 2000
  49. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  50. ^ Quinnipiac
  51. ^ Public Policy Polling
  52. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  53. ^ Quinnipiac
  54. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  55. ^ The Ohio Newspaper
  56. ^ Ohio Right to Life [permanent dead link‍]
  57. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  58. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  59. ^ Quinnipiac
  60. ^ The Ohio Newspaper
  61. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  62. ^ Quinnipiac
  63. ^ Research 2000
  64. ^ Quinnipiac
  65. ^ Public Policy Polling
  66. ^ Quinnipiac
  67. ^ Quinnipiac
  68. ^ Quinnipiac
  69. ^ Public Policy Polling
  70. ^ "Governor and Lieutenant Governor: November 2, 2010 - Ohio Secretary of State". www.sos.state.oh.us. Archived from the original on July 2, 2017. Retrieved December 31, 2012.
  71. ^ "2010 Gubernatorial General Election Results - Ohio". uselectionatlas.org. 2010. Retrieved October 3, 2024.
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Debates

Official campaign websites (Archived)

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